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Reginald P. Smithers III wrote:
Wayne.B wrote: On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 10:22:26 GMT, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. Yes, and the next thing you know we'll be seeing another well researched article showing that the number of tropical storms has doubled. Wayne, From what I can tell, the current definition of tropical storm goes back to at least 1992, and probably is older. It describes a type of storm, and the intensity of the storm and includes storms that develop in the Tropics or the Subtropics. While the conditions are greatest for a Tropical Storm to originate in the Tropics, it is not limited to the Tropics. Wayne and Tom, It appears that the definition used to include historical Tropical Storms and Hurricanes from 1886 forward is the same one used today. 3. Data a. Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones The positions and intensities (sustained wind speed and minimum surface pressure) of all Atlantic basin tropical cyclones of at least tropical storm strength have been archived and are continually being updated by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida. (The `Atlantic basin' is defined as the tropical and subtropical regions north of the equator in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.) This data set extends from 1886 to 1990 and is described in detail by Jarvinen et al. (1984). This ``Best Track'' data set (as it is known since it is composed of the ``best'' estimate of positions and intensities in a post-analysis of all data available) or HURDAT (short for HURricane DATa) has been used quite extensively in our Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University. We have followed the recommendations by Neumann et al. (1987) to use tropical cyclone statistics based upon data since the mid-1940's, when organized aircraft reconnaissance began, since this ``probably best represents Atlantic tropical cyclone frequencies''. The same logic follows for the day to day assessment of the intensity of individual storms; again because in the earlier period ``storms that were detected could have been mis-classified as to intensity''. from: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/sahel/index.html |
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