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NOAA getting desperate?
Ok, somebody explain to me how it is that an ocean storm located at
37.8N, 64.9W is a Tropical Depression. Go ahead - I'll wait. Ah - well that's because it's a SUB tropical Depression and thus just an ocean storm. NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. And yeah, yeah, I know - height of the season is coming, yada, yada, yada. I'm just saying... :) |
NOAA getting desperate?
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Ok, somebody explain to me how it is that an ocean storm located at 37.8N, 64.9W is a Tropical Depression. Go ahead - I'll wait. Ah - well that's because it's a SUB tropical Depression and thus just an ocean storm. NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. And yeah, yeah, I know - height of the season is coming, yada, yada, yada. I'm just saying... :) Tom, while I am not certain when these definition of Tropical Cyclone and Tropical Depression originated, but based upon NOAA definitions it is a tropical Depression if the Cyclone develops in tropical or Sub-Tropical waters. Tropical Cyclone: A warm-core non-frontal synoptic-scale cyclone, originating over tropical or subtropical waters, with organized deep convection and a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center. Once formed, a tropical cyclone is maintained by the extraction of heat energy from the ocean at high temperature and heat export at the low temperatures of the upper troposphere. In this they differ from extratropical cyclones, which derive their energy from horizontal temperature contrasts in the atmosphere (baroclinic effects Tropical Depression: A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind speed (using the U.S. 1-minute average) is 33 kt (38 mph or 62 km/hr) or less. |
NOAA getting desperate?
Reginald P. Smithers III wrote:
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: Ok, somebody explain to me how it is that an ocean storm located at 37.8N, 64.9W is a Tropical Depression. Go ahead - I'll wait. Ah - well that's because it's a SUB tropical Depression and thus just an ocean storm. NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. And yeah, yeah, I know - height of the season is coming, yada, yada, yada. I'm just saying... :) Tom, while I am not certain when these definition of Tropical Cyclone and Tropical Depression originated, but based upon NOAA definitions it is a tropical Depression if the Cyclone develops in tropical or Sub-Tropical waters. Tropical Cyclone: A warm-core non-frontal synoptic-scale cyclone, originating over tropical or subtropical waters, with organized deep convection and a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center. Once formed, a tropical cyclone is maintained by the extraction of heat energy from the ocean at high temperature and heat export at the low temperatures of the upper troposphere. In this they differ from extratropical cyclones, which derive their energy from horizontal temperature contrasts in the atmosphere (baroclinic effects Tropical Depression: A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind speed (using the U.S. 1-minute average) is 33 kt (38 mph or 62 km/hr) or less. This definition from ( http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A1.html) goes back to at least 1993, so it really isn't a new definition for Tropical Storm. The terms "hurricane" and "typhoon" are regionally specific names for a strong "tropical cyclone". A tropical cyclone is the generic term for a non-frontal synoptic scale low-pressure system over tropical or sub-tropical waters with organized convection (i.e. thunderstorm activity) and definite cyclonic surface wind circulation (Holland 1993). Tropical cyclones with maximum sustained surface winds of less than 17 m/s (34 kt, 39 mph) are called "tropical depressions" (This is not to be confused with the condition mid-latitude people get during a long, cold and grey winter wishing they could be closer to the equator ;-)). Once the tropical cyclone reaches winds of at least 17 m/s (34 kt, 39 mph) they are typically called a "tropical storm" and assigned a name. If winds reach 33 m/s (64 kt, 74 mph)), then they are called: "hurricane" (the North Atlantic Ocean, the Northeast Pacific Ocean east of the dateline, or the South Pacific Ocean east of 160E) "typhoon" (the Northwest Pacific Ocean west of the dateline) "severe tropical cyclone" (the Southwest Pacific Ocean west of 160E or Southeast Indian Ocean east of 90E) "severe cyclonic storm" (the North Indian Ocean) "tropical cyclone" (the Southwest Indian Ocean) (Neumann 1993). |
NOAA getting desperate?
On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 10:22:26 GMT, Short Wave Sportfishing
wrote: NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. Yes, and the next thing you know we'll be seeing another well researched article showing that the number of tropical storms has doubled. |
NOAA getting desperate?
Wayne.B wrote:
On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 10:22:26 GMT, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. Yes, and the next thing you know we'll be seeing another well researched article showing that the number of tropical storms has doubled. Wayne, From what I can tell, the current definition of tropical storm goes back to at least 1992, and probably is older. It describes a type of storm, and the intensity of the storm and includes storms that develop in the Tropics or the Subtropics. While the conditions are greatest for a Tropical Storm to originate in the Tropics, it is not limited to the Tropics. |
NOAA getting desperate?
Reginald P. Smithers III wrote:
Wayne.B wrote: On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 10:22:26 GMT, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. Yes, and the next thing you know we'll be seeing another well researched article showing that the number of tropical storms has doubled. Wayne, From what I can tell, the current definition of tropical storm goes back to at least 1992, and probably is older. It describes a type of storm, and the intensity of the storm and includes storms that develop in the Tropics or the Subtropics. While the conditions are greatest for a Tropical Storm to originate in the Tropics, it is not limited to the Tropics. Wayne and Tom, It appears that the definition used to include historical Tropical Storms and Hurricanes from 1886 forward is the same one used today. 3. Data a. Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones The positions and intensities (sustained wind speed and minimum surface pressure) of all Atlantic basin tropical cyclones of at least tropical storm strength have been archived and are continually being updated by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida. (The `Atlantic basin' is defined as the tropical and subtropical regions north of the equator in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.) This data set extends from 1886 to 1990 and is described in detail by Jarvinen et al. (1984). This ``Best Track'' data set (as it is known since it is composed of the ``best'' estimate of positions and intensities in a post-analysis of all data available) or HURDAT (short for HURricane DATa) has been used quite extensively in our Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University. We have followed the recommendations by Neumann et al. (1987) to use tropical cyclone statistics based upon data since the mid-1940's, when organized aircraft reconnaissance began, since this ``probably best represents Atlantic tropical cyclone frequencies''. The same logic follows for the day to day assessment of the intensity of individual storms; again because in the earlier period ``storms that were detected could have been mis-classified as to intensity''. from: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/sahel/index.html |
NOAA getting desperate?
Wayne.B wrote:
On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 10:22:26 GMT, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. Yes, and the next thing you know we'll be seeing another well researched article showing that the number of tropical storms has doubled. Why worry? With all the poisonous foods and dangerous products being imported from China, dangerous Rx drugs flooding our country, record foreclosures, and millions of jobs being exported by corporate America, we'll all be scrounging a third-world existence soon. |
NOAA getting desperate?
"HK" wrote in message ... Wayne.B wrote: On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 10:22:26 GMT, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: NOAA must be getting desperate this late into the season that their predictions for named storms is jetting into the crapper. They already named one Sub Tropical Storm, first of the TD of the season - now there is this one. Yes, and the next thing you know we'll be seeing another well researched article showing that the number of tropical storms has doubled. Why worry? With all the poisonous foods and dangerous products being imported from China, dangerous Rx drugs flooding our country, record foreclosures, and millions of jobs being exported by corporate America, we'll all be scrounging a third-world existence soon. And after year 2012 all will be fine. http://survive2012.com/ |
NOAA getting desperate?
On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 06:52:45 -0400, "Reginald P. Smithers III"
wrote: Tropical Depression: A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind speed (using the U.S. 1-minute average) is 33 kt (38 mph or 62 km/hr) or less. Yes Chuck. |
NOAA getting desperate?
On Tue, 31 Jul 2007 06:59:50 -0400, "Reginald P. Smithers III"
wrote: (Neumann 1993). Yes Chuck. |
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