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#2
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posted to rec.boats
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In article ,
says... On Fri, 20 Sep 2013 11:18:45 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:43:50 -0400, John H wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:30:54 -0400, wrote: On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 23:38:46 -0700, jps wrote: Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link between gun ownership and homicide, according to a new study. The study, which appears in the American Journal of Public Health, challenges the National Rifle Association?s claim that increased gun ownership does not lead to higher levels of gun violence. Covering 30 years from 1981 and all 50 US states, it determined that for every one percentage point in the prevalence of gun ownership in a given state, the firearm homicide rate increased by 0.9 percent. In the absence of state-level data on household gun ownership, the study used a proxy variable ? the percentage of a state?s suicides committed with a firearm ? that has been validated in previous research. The study, led by Boston University community health sciences professor Michael Siegel, is the first of its kind since the December 2012 mass shooting of 20 children at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut. ?In the wake of the tragic shooting in Newtown ? many states are considering legislation to control firearm-related deaths,? said Siegel in a statement. ?This research is the strongest to date to document that states with higher levels of gun ownership have disproportionately large numbers of deaths from firearm-related homicides,? he said. ?It suggests that measures which succeed in decreasing the overall prevalence of guns will lower firearm homicide rates.? The study found that, over three decades, the mean estimated percentage of gun ownership ranged from a low of 25.8 percent in Hawaii to a high of 76.8 percent in Mississippi, with a national average of 57.7 percent. The mean age-adjusted firearm homicide rate stretched from 0.9 percent per 100,000 in New Hampshire to 1.8 percent in Louisiana, with an average for all states of four per 100,000. The study also acknowledged a long-term decline in firearm homicide for all states, from 5.2 per 100,000 in 1981 to 3.5 per 100,000 in 2010. Firearms were involved in 11,078 homicides of the 16,259 homicides in the United States in 2010, the latest year for which data is available, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Cite? Loogy? No, John, not Loogy, but even he wouldn't be wrong to ask for a cite to as stupid an assertion such as, "Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link... " Which researchers? Claim? Convincing statistical link? Really? I'd still like to see the citation that supports this silly allegation. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. Can't extrapolate the data? |
#3
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posted to rec.boats
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In article ,
says... On Sat, 21 Sep 2013 10:23:46 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Fri, 20 Sep 2013 11:18:45 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:43:50 -0400, John H wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:30:54 -0400, wrote: On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 23:38:46 -0700, jps wrote: Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link between gun ownership and homicide, according to a new study. The study, which appears in the American Journal of Public Health, challenges the National Rifle Association?s claim that increased gun ownership does not lead to higher levels of gun violence. Covering 30 years from 1981 and all 50 US states, it determined that for every one percentage point in the prevalence of gun ownership in a given state, the firearm homicide rate increased by 0.9 percent. In the absence of state-level data on household gun ownership, the study used a proxy variable ? the percentage of a state?s suicides committed with a firearm ? that has been validated in previous research. The study, led by Boston University community health sciences professor Michael Siegel, is the first of its kind since the December 2012 mass shooting of 20 children at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut. ?In the wake of the tragic shooting in Newtown ? many states are considering legislation to control firearm-related deaths,? said Siegel in a statement. ?This research is the strongest to date to document that states with higher levels of gun ownership have disproportionately large numbers of deaths from firearm-related homicides,? he said. ?It suggests that measures which succeed in decreasing the overall prevalence of guns will lower firearm homicide rates.? The study found that, over three decades, the mean estimated percentage of gun ownership ranged from a low of 25.8 percent in Hawaii to a high of 76.8 percent in Mississippi, with a national average of 57.7 percent. The mean age-adjusted firearm homicide rate stretched from 0.9 percent per 100,000 in New Hampshire to 1.8 percent in Louisiana, with an average for all states of four per 100,000. The study also acknowledged a long-term decline in firearm homicide for all states, from 5.2 per 100,000 in 1981 to 3.5 per 100,000 in 2010. Firearms were involved in 11,078 homicides of the 16,259 homicides in the United States in 2010, the latest year for which data is available, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Cite? Loogy? No, John, not Loogy, but even he wouldn't be wrong to ask for a cite to as stupid an assertion such as, "Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link... " Which researchers? Claim? Convincing statistical link? Really? I'd still like to see the citation that supports this silly allegation. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. Can't extrapolate the data? No, I don't choose to "extrapolate," since that yields an opinion or attempts expand known data into an area not known so as to arrive at a conjectural position. No it doesn't. I didn't ask you to make an opinon, I asked you to extrapolate. You yourself said it was "raw data". In other words, I'm not going to perpetuate rumor or attempt to divine tea leaves, so as to support a predisposed position. No rumors involved. It's "raw data". Besides, researchers have already crunched the existing data and found it to support the following position: http://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/b...ence-with-ban/ That's because there are no fewer guns. No one made anybody get rid of what they have. You do realize, don't you, that most gun crimes are committed with guns that were either stolen or borrowed from a legal owner, don't you? |
#4
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posted to rec.boats
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In article ,
says... On Sat, 21 Sep 2013 15:35:33 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: No, John, not Loogy, but even he wouldn't be wrong to ask for a cite to as stupid an assertion such as, "Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link... " Which researchers? Claim? Convincing statistical link? Really? I'd still like to see the citation that supports this silly allegation. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. Can't extrapolate the data? No, I don't choose to "extrapolate," since that yields an opinion or attempts expand known data into an area not known so as to arrive at a conjectural position. No it doesn't. I didn't ask you to make an opinon, I asked you to extrapolate. You yourself said it was "raw data". In other words, I'm not going to perpetuate rumor or attempt to divine tea leaves, so as to support a predisposed position. No rumors involved. It's "raw data". Besides, researchers have already crunched the existing data and found it to support the following position: http://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/b...ence-with-ban/ That's because there are no fewer guns. No one made anybody get rid of what they have. You do realize, don't you, that most gun crimes are committed with guns that were either stolen or borrowed from a legal owner, don't you? "The study found that, over three decades, the mean estimated percentage of gun ownership ranged from a low of 25.8 percent in Hawaii to a high of 76.8 percent in Mississippi, with a national average of 57.7 percent." THAT is raw data. But finding correlation and drawing a final conclusion, without establishing causation is sophomoric, at best. I suggest you review the following paragraph on cause and effect: http://www.vassarstats.net/textbook/ch3pt2.html I suggest you read the whole thing instead of just cherry picking one paragraph. THAT is "sophomoric, at best". |
#5
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posted to rec.boats
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In article ,
says... On Sat, 21 Sep 2013 16:12:07 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Sat, 21 Sep 2013 15:35:33 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: No, John, not Loogy, but even he wouldn't be wrong to ask for a cite to as stupid an assertion such as, "Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link... " Which researchers? Claim? Convincing statistical link? Really? I'd still like to see the citation that supports this silly allegation. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. Can't extrapolate the data? No, I don't choose to "extrapolate," since that yields an opinion or attempts expand known data into an area not known so as to arrive at a conjectural position. No it doesn't. I didn't ask you to make an opinon, I asked you to extrapolate. You yourself said it was "raw data". In other words, I'm not going to perpetuate rumor or attempt to divine tea leaves, so as to support a predisposed position. No rumors involved. It's "raw data". Besides, researchers have already crunched the existing data and found it to support the following position: http://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/b...ence-with-ban/ That's because there are no fewer guns. No one made anybody get rid of what they have. You do realize, don't you, that most gun crimes are committed with guns that were either stolen or borrowed from a legal owner, don't you? "The study found that, over three decades, the mean estimated percentage of gun ownership ranged from a low of 25.8 percent in Hawaii to a high of 76.8 percent in Mississippi, with a national average of 57.7 percent." THAT is raw data. But finding correlation and drawing a final conclusion, without establishing causation is sophomoric, at best. I suggest you review the following paragraph on cause and effect: http://www.vassarstats.net/textbook/ch3pt2.html I suggest you read the whole thing instead of just cherry picking one paragraph. THAT is "sophomoric, at best". Have it your way, you are going to believe what the DNC tells you to believe, anyway. I'm sorry, please show where the DNC was involved in the above study, I must have missed it. |
#6
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posted to rec.boats
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In article , says...
On Fri, 20 Sep 2013 11:18:45 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:43:50 -0400, John H wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:30:54 -0400, wrote: On Thu, 12 Sep 2013 23:38:46 -0700, jps wrote: Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link between gun ownership and homicide, according to a new study. The study, which appears in the American Journal of Public Health, challenges the National Rifle Association?s claim that increased gun ownership does not lead to higher levels of gun violence. Covering 30 years from 1981 and all 50 US states, it determined that for every one percentage point in the prevalence of gun ownership in a given state, the firearm homicide rate increased by 0.9 percent. In the absence of state-level data on household gun ownership, the study used a proxy variable ? the percentage of a state?s suicides committed with a firearm ? that has been validated in previous research. The study, led by Boston University community health sciences professor Michael Siegel, is the first of its kind since the December 2012 mass shooting of 20 children at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut. ?In the wake of the tragic shooting in Newtown ? many states are considering legislation to control firearm-related deaths,? said Siegel in a statement. ?This research is the strongest to date to document that states with higher levels of gun ownership have disproportionately large numbers of deaths from firearm-related homicides,? he said. ?It suggests that measures which succeed in decreasing the overall prevalence of guns will lower firearm homicide rates.? The study found that, over three decades, the mean estimated percentage of gun ownership ranged from a low of 25.8 percent in Hawaii to a high of 76.8 percent in Mississippi, with a national average of 57.7 percent. The mean age-adjusted firearm homicide rate stretched from 0.9 percent per 100,000 in New Hampshire to 1.8 percent in Louisiana, with an average for all states of four per 100,000. The study also acknowledged a long-term decline in firearm homicide for all states, from 5.2 per 100,000 in 1981 to 3.5 per 100,000 in 2010. Firearms were involved in 11,078 homicides of the 16,259 homicides in the United States in 2010, the latest year for which data is available, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Cite? Loogy? No, John, not Loogy, but even he wouldn't be wrong to ask for a cite to as stupid an assertion such as, "Researchers in the United States claim to have established a convincing statistical link... " Which researchers? Claim? Convincing statistical link? Really? I'd still like to see the citation that supports this silly allegation. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. At least you can look at the raw data and interpret it yourself. Maybe you can even find the rise in the data. |
#7
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posted to rec.boats
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In article ,
says... On Sun, 22 Sep 2013 21:40:55 -0400, BAR wrote: In article , says... http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. At least you can look at the raw data and interpret it yourself. Maybe you can even find the rise in the data. The data does not address the original premise of the thread. They talk about the weapons used in the homicides/suicides but they do not link it to firearm ownership overall. Wait, if a person didn't "own" a firearm, how would he use it to commit the crime? |
#8
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mon, 23 Sep 2013 10:32:40 -0400, wrote:
On Mon, 23 Sep 2013 08:24:29 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Sun, 22 Sep 2013 21:40:55 -0400, BAR wrote: In article , says... http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. At least you can look at the raw data and interpret it yourself. Maybe you can even find the rise in the data. The data does not address the original premise of the thread. They talk about the weapons used in the homicides/suicides but they do not link it to firearm ownership overall. Wait, if a person didn't "own" a firearm, how would he use it to commit the crime? But it doesn's say anything about the majority who do own a gun and never commit a crime with it and that is the point. A lot of those people may not admit owning a gun to an anonymous person on the phone. You understand that. You won't even tell us your first name because of your paranoia.. It's Kevin. -- John H. Hope you're having a great day! |
#9
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posted to rec.boats
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In article ,
says... On Mon, 23 Sep 2013 10:32:40 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2013 08:24:29 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Sun, 22 Sep 2013 21:40:55 -0400, BAR wrote: In article , says... http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. At least you can look at the raw data and interpret it yourself. Maybe you can even find the rise in the data. The data does not address the original premise of the thread. They talk about the weapons used in the homicides/suicides but they do not link it to firearm ownership overall. Wait, if a person didn't "own" a firearm, how would he use it to commit the crime? But it doesn's say anything about the majority who do own a gun and never commit a crime with it and that is the point. A lot of those people may not admit owning a gun to an anonymous person on the phone. You understand that. You won't even tell us your first name because of your paranoia.. It's Kevin. Oh, so YOU'RE kevin, got it.... |
#10
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posted to rec.boats
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In article ,
says... On Mon, 23 Sep 2013 08:24:29 -0400, iBoaterer wrote: In article , says... On Sun, 22 Sep 2013 21:40:55 -0400, BAR wrote: In article , says... http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm That is what I thought. No cite to the "study" described, just raw data from the CDC. At least you can look at the raw data and interpret it yourself. Maybe you can even find the rise in the data. The data does not address the original premise of the thread. They talk about the weapons used in the homicides/suicides but they do not link it to firearm ownership overall. Wait, if a person didn't "own" a firearm, how would he use it to commit the crime? But it doesn's say anything about the majority who do own a gun and never commit a crime with it and that is the point. A lot of those people may not admit owning a gun to an anonymous person on the phone. You understand that. You won't even tell us your first name because of your paranoia.. I won't tell someone my first name on usenet because it's just plain stupid to do so. Please show me ONE cite that says that it's an intelligent and prudent thing to do so, and no one should worry about doing so. |
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