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OT--Forget the head-to-head numbers
If you look at the state-by-state, favorable/unfavorable internals, you'll
see that Kerry is cooked. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6369953/ Florida Bush favorable: 51% unfavorable: 39% Kerry favorable: 42% unfavorable: 42% Ohio Bush favorable: 48% unfavorable: 41% Kerry favorable: 41% unfavorable: 41% (it says 18, but that's reversed with the neutral) Wisconsin Bush favorable: 46% unfavorable: 43% Kerry favorable: 44% unfavorable: 41% Pennsylvania Bush favorable: 46% unfavorable: 43% Kerry favorable: 42% unfavorable: 43% New Mexico Bush favorable: 51% unfavorable: 37% Kerry favorable: 43% unfavorable: 44% Michigan Bush favorable: 45% unfavorable: 44% Kerry favorable: 42% unfavorable: 41% --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bush's average favorability rating is 47.83%. Kerry's is 42.33%. Bush leads by more than 5 1/2 points. Bush's average unfavorability rating is 41.17%. Kerry's is 42.00%. Bush leads by less than a point. |
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