If you look at the state-by-state, favorable/unfavorable internals, you'll
see that Kerry is cooked.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6369953/


Florida
Bush favorable: 51% unfavorable: 39%
Kerry favorable: 42% unfavorable: 42%

Ohio
Bush favorable: 48% unfavorable: 41%
Kerry favorable: 41% unfavorable: 41% (it says 18, but that's
reversed with the neutral)

Wisconsin
Bush favorable: 46% unfavorable: 43%
Kerry favorable: 44% unfavorable: 41%

Pennsylvania
Bush favorable: 46% unfavorable: 43%
Kerry favorable: 42% unfavorable: 43%

New Mexico
Bush favorable: 51% unfavorable: 37%
Kerry favorable: 43% unfavorable: 44%

Michigan
Bush favorable: 45% unfavorable: 44%
Kerry favorable: 42% unfavorable: 41%


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Bush's average favorability rating is 47.83%. Kerry's is 42.33%. Bush
leads by more than 5 1/2 points.

Bush's average unfavorability rating is 41.17%. Kerry's is 42.00%. Bush
leads by less than a point.