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#1
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I've been sorta neutral on the subject of the TAmpa to Orlando high
speed train. Years ago I did vote for the high speed train amendment to the Fl constitution but only as a way to show how silly it was to amend the constitution by popular ballot (I also voted on the pregnant pig amendment that requires prego pigs to be treated nicely). I have only driven from Orlando to Tampa once and it was no problem so I never knew why this corridor was chosen but maybe it does have a lot of traffic. However, being in Tallahassee, I see a lot of the political crap going on about Gov Scott vetoing it and looked into the matter. The feds would pay about half the projected cost and Fl taxpayers the rest. Might be a good deal but, turns out the cost estimates were done by the very companies who will benefit from it so are suspect. A look at ALL other high speed rail projects show cost overruns of 1.8-2.2X and us Fl taxpayers would be on the hook for that amount...........not so good. How much time would it save? Wiki has a table showing about 15 minutes at most and that is very optimistic and would probably be less if they add stops. By the time you add in parking and waiting for a cab, you lose time. Ridership, bizarro optimistic projections done by those who will benefit from the construction. Operating costs would be paid by FL and there is only one passenger train in the entire USA that pays its own costs (NE corridor). No way this one will pay its own way and us taxpayers will end paying these costs. Now the kicker. If ridership is low, the feds can decide they want their 2 billion back from us FL taxpayers. Huh? No way. Cancel this clunker of a deal now. Generate jobs? During construction yes. Long term jobs, no. Keeping the money in pvt hands is well known to generate more jobs. An interesting measure of potential ridership might be the number of people who take private buses each day from one end to the other. Such buses are truly convenient because they normally go right to where people want to go. I cannot find anybody who has looked into this as a measurement of possible ridership. |
#2
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#3
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mar 4, 1:38*pm, wrote:
On Fri, 04 Mar 2011 13:10:33 -0500, Harryk wrote: On 3/4/11 12:55 PM, wrote: On Fri, 4 Mar 2011 08:07:37 -0800 (PST), Frogwatch *wrote: I've been sorta neutral on the subject of the TAmpa to Orlando high speed train. *Years ago I did vote for the high speed train amendment to the Fl constitution but only as a way to show how silly it was to amend the constitution by popular ballot (I also voted on the pregnant pig amendment that requires prego pigs to be treated nicely). I have only driven from Orlando to Tampa once and it was no problem so I never knew why this corridor was chosen but maybe it does have a lot of traffic. However, being in Tallahassee, I see a lot of the political crap going on about Gov Scott vetoing it and looked into the matter. The feds would pay about half the projected cost and Fl taxpayers the rest. *Might be a good deal but, turns out the cost estimates were done by the very companies who will benefit from it so are suspect. *A look at ALL other high speed rail projects show cost overruns of 1.8-2.2X and us Fl taxpayers would be on the hook for that amount...........not so good. How much time would it save? *Wiki has a table showing about 15 minutes at most and that is very optimistic and would probably be less if they add stops. *By the time you add in parking and waiting for a cab, you lose time. Ridership, bizarro optimistic projections done by those who will benefit from the construction. Operating costs would be paid by FL and there is only one passenger train in the entire USA that pays its own costs (NE corridor). *No way this one will pay its own way and us taxpayers will end paying these costs. Now the kicker. *If ridership is low, the feds can decide they want their 2 billion back from us FL taxpayers. *Huh? *No way. Cancel this clunker of a deal now. Generate jobs? *During construction yes. *Long term jobs, no. *Keeping the money in pvt hands is well known to generate more jobs. An interesting measure of potential ridership might be the number of people who take private buses each day from one end to the other. Such buses are truly convenient because they normally go right to where people want to go. *I cannot find anybody who has looked into this as a measurement of possible ridership. The proponents are saying there will be 3 million riders a year (roughly the same as the DC/Philidelphia/NYC/Boston train) I assume they got that by figuring out how much it would take to make money and working *backward. It is a ridiculous estimate.There are almost 10 times as many people living in the Boston/DC megopolis than the I-4 corridor all the way from St Pete to Daytona. (5 million vs almost 50 million) I am still not sure who would really be riding this train. People are not going to fly into Tampa and take the train to Disney World when the train goes right past ORD where the landing fees are lower. You are right, the residents here will be on the hook for the cost over runs and the deficits when it finally gets running ... half full or less. I don't know any of the particulars of the proposal you're discussing, but I sure am an advocate of high speed rail, which we don't really have anywhere in this country. High speed rail in Europe, though, is damned nice. When I went to Geneva last year, I deliberately got off the plane in London so I could travel under the English Channel to France and then to Switzerland by train. It was fast, smooth and an enlightening experience. On our trips to NY, we always prefer to take the "half-fast" Acela, which gives you a taste, but little more, of what high-speed rail could be like. Our trip last December to Florida was pleasant, but no faster than driving there in our own car. The seemingly hundreds of unprotected crossings, though, required the engineer to toot the horn a zillion times along the way. We need to stop blowing our nation's money on military adventurism, cut the military by half, at least, and spend the money "saved" on rebuilding our roads, passenger and freight railways, airports, highways, bridges and tunnels. That kind of spending pays off for everyone. Paying for soldiering these days is about the same as ****ing down a bottomless hole. I am not sure how you avoid grade crossings. That is part of the problem with trains. They require that you have unfettered access to all of the land from point A to point B. That is why interstate right of ways are attractive but it still requires building thousands of bridges to get anywhere. You also have the problem that nobody wants a high speed train going behind their house. It is hard to compare most of the US to Europe, simply because of the population density. They also came up around a railroad model of transportation and continued that way after WWII whereas the US went the path of the automobile, probably as much to keep our industrial base busy as anything. We also built the interstate system that made commuting in from the country more likely. It also changed the way people vacation. I am not sure rail will ever regain the position it had here before WWII. If you are going to build high speed rail, built it somewhere where it has a chance of working, like the NE corridor. Do not build it where it will almost certainly fail and give all of high speed rail a bad start in the USA. If you built the first between Orlando and Tampa and it fails, nobody will ever believe it could work anywhere else. Maximize your chance of success, not your chance of failure. |
#5
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On Mar 4, 3:40*pm, wrote:
On Fri, 04 Mar 2011 15:29:29 -0500, Harryk wrote: The Amtrak trains to Florida pass through lots of "back yards." GM was instrumental in "bribing" many cities into giving up their light rail and trolley routes in favor of GM buses. That's what happened in my hometown of New Haven. We had a pretty decent trolley system when I was a small kid, but suddenly it began to be ripped up when the new buses appeared. This was in the early to mid 1950's. The trollies were at street level, in the middle of the wider roads. The buses showed up, no doubt to help keep our industrial base going. Yep that happened in DC too. O Roy Chalk, the owner of DC transit got a whole fleet of new, air conditioned busses if he would rip out the street car tracks. For him it was a mo brainer. The street cars had very limited coverage, they would not let him lay any new track and people were moving to the suburbs (circa 1962 or so). When the public was polled, they said they would rather ride an air conditioned bus that stopped near their house than to have to transfer to an un air conditioned street car. Harry the conspiracy theorist. Huh, Why go back to a trolley system that clogs the roads? I've seen em in NO and they are a PITA blocking traffic. I suspect the real reason they are gone is that buses can go more places and not some silly conspiracy idea. Look into it and you will find that light rail is the least energy efficient/passenger mile because most of the time they are empty but they have to run anyway because people want to go places all the time, not just on the trolley schedule. |
#6
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On 3/4/11 5:26 PM, Frogwatch wrote:
On Mar 4, 3:40 pm, wrote: On Fri, 04 Mar 2011 15:29:29 -0500, wrote: The Amtrak trains to Florida pass through lots of "back yards." GM was instrumental in "bribing" many cities into giving up their light rail and trolley routes in favor of GM buses. That's what happened in my hometown of New Haven. We had a pretty decent trolley system when I was a small kid, but suddenly it began to be ripped up when the new buses appeared. This was in the early to mid 1950's. The trollies were at street level, in the middle of the wider roads. The buses showed up, no doubt to help keep our industrial base going. Yep that happened in DC too. O Roy Chalk, the owner of DC transit got a whole fleet of new, air conditioned busses if he would rip out the street car tracks. For him it was a mo brainer. The street cars had very limited coverage, they would not let him lay any new track and people were moving to the suburbs (circa 1962 or so). When the public was polled, they said they would rather ride an air conditioned bus that stopped near their house than to have to transfer to an un air conditioned street car. Harry the conspiracy theorist. Sorry, but it is not a theory that GM "bribed" its way onto many city streets. You are not a student of history. |
#7
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mar 4, 5:50*pm, Harryk wrote:
On 3/4/11 5:26 PM, Frogwatch wrote: On Mar 4, 3:40 pm, wrote: On Fri, 04 Mar 2011 15:29:29 -0500, wrote: The Amtrak trains to Florida pass through lots of "back yards." GM was instrumental in "bribing" many cities into giving up their light rail and trolley routes in favor of GM buses. That's what happened in my hometown of New Haven. We had a pretty decent trolley system when I was a small kid, but suddenly it began to be ripped up when the new buses appeared. This was in the early to mid 1950's. The trollies were at street level, in the middle of the wider roads. The buses showed up, no doubt to help keep our industrial base going. Yep that happened in DC too. O Roy Chalk, the owner of DC transit got a whole fleet of new, air conditioned busses if he would rip out the street car tracks. For him it was a mo brainer. The street cars had very limited coverage, they would not let him lay any new track and people were moving to the suburbs (circa 1962 or so). When the public was polled, they said they would rather ride an air conditioned bus that stopped near their house than to have to transfer to an un air conditioned street car. Harry the conspiracy theorist. Sorry, but it is not a theory that GM "bribed" its way onto many city streets. You are not a student of history. OK, prove it. |
#8
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mar 4, 6:22*pm, Frogwatch wrote:
On Mar 4, 5:50*pm, Harryk wrote: On 3/4/11 5:26 PM, Frogwatch wrote: On Mar 4, 3:40 pm, wrote: On Fri, 04 Mar 2011 15:29:29 -0500, wrote: The Amtrak trains to Florida pass through lots of "back yards." GM was instrumental in "bribing" many cities into giving up their light rail and trolley routes in favor of GM buses. That's what happened in my hometown of New Haven. We had a pretty decent trolley system when I was a small kid, but suddenly it began to be ripped up when the new buses appeared. This was in the early to mid 1950's. The trollies were at street level, in the middle of the wider roads. The buses showed up, no doubt to help keep our industrial base going. Yep that happened in DC too. O Roy Chalk, the owner of DC transit got a whole fleet of new, air conditioned busses if he would rip out the street car tracks. For him it was a mo brainer. The street cars had very limited coverage, they would not let him lay any new track and people were moving to the suburbs (circa 1962 or so). When the public was polled, they said they would rather ride an air conditioned bus that stopped near their house than to have to transfer to an un air conditioned street car. Harry the conspiracy theorist. Sorry, but it is not a theory that GM "bribed" its way onto many city streets. You are not a student of history. OK, prove it. Next he'll be telling us that Henry Ford bribed stable owners toi turn their stables into parking garages. Sheesh. |
#9
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posted to rec.boats
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In article , payer3389
@mypacks.net says... I don't know any of the particulars of the proposal you're discussing, but I sure am an advocate of high speed rail, which we don't really have anywhere in this country. High speed rail in Europe, though, is damned nice. When I went to Geneva last year, I deliberately got off the plane in London so I could travel under the English Channel to France and then to Switzerland by train. It was fast, smooth and an enlightening experience. On our trips to NY, we always prefer to take the "half-fast" Acela, which gives you a taste, but little more, of what high-speed rail could be like. Our trip last December to Florida was pleasant, but no faster than driving there in our own car. The seemingly hundreds of unprotected crossings, though, required the engineer to toot the horn a zillion times along the way. We need to stop blowing our nation's money on military adventurism, cut the military by half, at least, and spend the money "saved" on rebuilding our roads, passenger and freight railways, airports, highways, bridges and tunnels. That kind of spending pays off for everyone. Paying for soldiering these days is about the same as ****ing down a bottomless hole. Why not cut out entitlements at the federal level completely then the federal government would be flush with cash. And, the federal government would could concentrate on its constitutional mandate of providing for the common defense. You are free to go and live in Europe if you enjoy their train system as much as you claim to do so. A vast majority of the citizens of the US do not want "high speed rail." High speed rail is not conducive to our way of life. We are an automobile loving country because of the freedom to travel when and where we want to. High speed rail does not help you get from your house to your grandmothers house. |
#10
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In article , payer3389
@mypacks.net says... The Amtrak trains to Florida pass through lots of "back yards." GM was instrumental in "bribing" many cities into giving up their light rail and trolley routes in favor of GM buses. That's what happened in my hometown of New Haven. We had a pretty decent trolley system when I was a small kid, but suddenly it began to be ripped up when the new buses appeared. This was in the early to mid 1950's. The trollies were at street level, in the middle of the wider roads. The buses showed up, no doubt to help keep our industrial base going. The trolley runs on tracks. As the city changes the cost of extending trolley lines and building new trolley lines becomes cost prohibitive. With a bus you can change the route by telling the drive to take a turn here and take a turn there. No construction, no laying of track, no overhead electrical needed. The buses are much more beneficial as a business tool. It's not just the demise of railroads I regret. This country literally is falling apart...roads, bridges, water systems, dams, you name it. We've spent our national treasure on military stupidity. We are keeping our treasure buried under the ocean and beneath our land. We have squandered most of our collected taxes on feel good programs that have failed or are failing miserable. |