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Short Wave Sportfishing January 2nd 08 01:00 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)

DownTime[_2_] January 2nd 08 01:41 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)


Your bookie is taking action on the primaries? That is sad. I'm assuming
even the bookies are also it hard by the current real estate slump.

[email protected] January 2nd 08 01:47 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Jan 2, 8:41*am, DownTime wrote:
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.


Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.


I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. *Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.


Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. *Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.


Now I need to call my bookie. *:)


Your bookie is taking action on the primaries? That is sad. I'm assuming
even the bookies are also it hard by the current real estate slump.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


So, what is the difference between a slump and a logical correction?
Does it depend on who is in the Whitehouse??

JoeSpareBedroom January 2nd 08 01:56 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)



Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.



HK January 2nd 08 02:09 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)



Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.



I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I
agree he has a spine, but...

I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the torture
issue.

BAR January 2nd 08 02:12 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
HK wrote:
JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)



Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I
agree he has a spine, but...

I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the torture
issue.


McCain is a twit and always has been a twit. He should have gone to jail
with the rest of the Keating Five. He was crooked then and is crooked now.

McCain has done more damage to this country then he could ever do good.

HK January 2nd 08 02:16 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
BAR wrote:
HK wrote:
JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)


Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I
agree he has a spine, but...

I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the
torture issue.


McCain is a twit and always has been a twit. He should have gone to jail
with the rest of the Keating Five. He was crooked then and is crooked now.

McCain has done more damage to this country then he could ever do good.



Geez...you're such an *angry* little scheisskopf...


--
George W. Bush - the 43rd Best President Ever!

BAR January 2nd 08 02:20 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
HK wrote:
BAR wrote:
HK wrote:
JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)


Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I
agree he has a spine, but...

I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the
torture issue.


McCain is a twit and always has been a twit. He should have gone to
jail with the rest of the Keating Five. He was crooked then and is
crooked now.

McCain has done more damage to this country then he could ever do good.



Geez...you're such an *angry* little scheisskopf...


Not angry just determined to see McCain go down in flames again.


HK January 2nd 08 02:27 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
BAR wrote:
HK wrote:
BAR wrote:
HK wrote:
JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)


Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I
agree he has a spine, but...

I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the
torture issue.

McCain is a twit and always has been a twit. He should have gone to
jail with the rest of the Keating Five. He was crooked then and is
crooked now.

McCain has done more damage to this country then he could ever do good.



Geez...you're such an *angry* little scheisskopf...


Not angry just determined to see McCain go down in flames again.



Who are you hoping to vote for? Mike Huckleberry?


--
George W. Bush - the 43rd Best President Ever!

[email protected] January 2nd 08 02:38 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 05:47:17 -0800, justwaitafrekinminute wrote:


So, what is the difference between a slump and a logical correction?
Does it depend on who is in the Whitehouse??


Perhaps, if Republicans hadn't gutted the Glass-Steagall Act we wouldn't
have had this sub-prime fiasco. But you are right, Clinton did sign the
Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act.

Canuck57 January 2nd 08 02:46 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)



Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


Why McCain? I view him as having too many back room allegiances and special
interests to be any good. But then again, I can't vote -- just curious on
US politics. Kind of like Ron Paul myself.



DownTime[_2_] January 2nd 08 02:48 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
wrote:
On Jan 2, 8:41 am, DownTime wrote:
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.
Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.
I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.
Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.
Now I need to call my bookie. :)

Your bookie is taking action on the primaries? That is sad. I'm assuming
even the bookies are also it hard by the current real estate slump.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


So, what is the difference between a slump and a logical correction?
Does it depend on who is in the Whitehouse??


I guess it depends on one's perspective. I see it as more a logical
correction, as the prices, especially here in SW Florida were just plain
ridiculous. Slump could be used to describe it by anyone who maybe has
suffered financially, which thankfully does not include me directly.

Not sure I am smart enough to know exactly who may be at fault, besides
I doubt everyone else but me cares about my opinion.

Short Wave Sportfishing January 2nd 08 02:55 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 08:41:29 -0500, DownTime
wrote:

Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)


Your bookie is taking action on the primaries? That is sad. I'm assuming
even the bookies are also it hard by the current real estate slump.


You do realize that gambling on political elections is a time honored
sport in Europe right?

The right bookie will be able to place the bet somewhere.

However, it was a rhetorical statement - I'm not much of a gambler.

Until the NCAA basketball tournament comes around that is. :)

JoeSpareBedroom January 2nd 08 03:00 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
"HK" wrote in message
...
JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)



Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I agree
he has a spine, but...

I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the torture
issue.



Everyone caved on the torture issue to some extent. It was unavoidable. And,
to be perfectly honest, I played a New Year's Eve gig that made
waterboarding look like a wine tasting tour in France.

McCain was interviewed a couple of weeks ago and he made a comment about
using the bully pulpit to ask Americans to consider certain sacrifices, the
details of which are not important here. FDR did exactly the same thing, and
Americans accepted his suggestions. Nowadays, mention this to certain
lizards in newsgroups and they say "guvmint control! guvmint control!"

If McCain actually does it, I'd be impressed.



Eisboch January 2nd 08 03:11 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 

"HK" wrote in message
. ..



Who are you hoping to vote for? Mike Huckleberry?



Hey, he plays a mean bass.

Eisboch



[email protected] January 2nd 08 03:16 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 14:55:51 +0000, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:


Until the NCAA basketball tournament comes around that is. :)


I'm not much of a basketball fan, but I think the NCAA tournament is the
most exciting sports event around.

HK January 2nd 08 03:17 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
Eisboch wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
. ..

Who are you hoping to vote for? Mike Huckleberry?



Hey, he plays a mean bass.

Eisboch



Well, gee, what else does the guy need?
As I have stated, I think he's an ok guy, but not for president. We're
in the last full year of President Numnutz, and I have seen nothing to
indicate Huck is any brighter about the world than Bush was and is. And
then there is Huck's "connection" to evangelicals. *That* is an
automatic disqualifier for me. No Jesus Freaks in the White House, please.

--
George W. Bush - the 43rd Best President Ever!

HK January 2nd 08 03:18 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
wrote:
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 14:55:51 +0000, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:


Until the NCAA basketball tournament comes around that is. :)


I'm not much of a basketball fan, but I think the NCAA tournament is the
most exciting sports event around.



Obviously, you've not seen Girls' Nude Beach Volleyball.

Short Wave Sportfishing January 2nd 08 03:26 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 2 Jan 2008 05:47:17 -0800 (PST),
wrote:

On Jan 2, 8:41*am, DownTime wrote:
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.


Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.


I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. *Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.


Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. *Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.


Now I need to call my bookie. *:)


Your bookie is taking action on the primaries? That is sad. I'm assuming
even the bookies are also it hard by the current real estate slump.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


So, what is the difference between a slump and a logical correction?
Does it depend on who is in the Whitehouse??


They are both at the same time - it's a definition thing.

Having said that, a slump is defined as a 20% long term drop in market
prices - long term being more than two quarters. A correction is
defined as 10% at any one given time, but considered as proper when it
lasts a quarter.

There is also a hindsight factor in determining a correction - a
day/week drop isn't a correction - month drop of 10% of market prices
is a correction when viewed from the future.

Market psychology is an odd and fascinating subject.

Does it matter who is in the White House? Not really - markets seek
stability - that can be either higher or lower and the net result
generally has nothing to do with politics no matter how many people
try to take credit for a rising economy or assign blame for a
declining economy. When you compare the eight years of the Clinton
Presidency and the upcoming eight years of the Bush Presidency, the
economy acted about the same over time.

The caveat is when political policy affects markets in ways not
foreseen - unintended consequences if you will. During the Clinton
years it was the advent of EBITA depreciation/amortization of the
perceived value of a company's name and trademarks which caused the
tech bubble. For Bush, it will be the appointment of Bernacke to head
the Fed during a time when the Fed needed a seat-of-the-pants
financial operator like Yellen rather than an academic theorist like
Bernacke.



[email protected] January 2nd 08 03:32 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 14:46:32 +0000, Canuck57 wrote:


Why McCain? I view him as having too many back room allegiances and
special interests to be any good. But then again, I can't vote -- just
curious on US politics. Kind of like Ron Paul myself.


True, McCain was one of the Keating Five. He admits to "poor judgement",
which it was, but it also seemed to be a wake-up call. Since that time,
he has been a lead voice in campaign finance reform, and from my vantage
point, a straight shooter. While I don't agree with many of his stands,
I think he is one of the few honorable men in Washington.

A refresher in McCain's involvement in the Keating scandal:


http://www.slate.com/id/1004633/

Short Wave Sportfishing January 2nd 08 03:33 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 14:38:03 -0000, wrote:

On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 05:47:17 -0800, justwaitafrekinminute wrote:


So, what is the difference between a slump and a logical correction?
Does it depend on who is in the Whitehouse??


Perhaps, if Republicans hadn't gutted the Glass-Steagall Act we wouldn't
have had this sub-prime fiasco. But you are right, Clinton did sign the
Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act.


A classic example of public policy gone wrong.

Competition is a great and wonderous thing - it will build bigger,
better and stronger economies. In this case, it produced CDOs and
DIVs which produced the real culprit in the real estate problem which
is the CDO-Squared or CDO-N which is CDO-Cubed, Quad, etc., based on
sub-prime risk which encouraged complex SIVs - yada, yada, yada.

Short Wave Sportfishing January 2nd 08 03:36 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 09:48:47 -0500, DownTime
wrote:

wrote:
On Jan 2, 8:41 am, DownTime wrote:
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.
Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.
I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.
Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.
Now I need to call my bookie. :)
Your bookie is taking action on the primaries? That is sad. I'm assuming
even the bookies are also it hard by the current real estate slump.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


So, what is the difference between a slump and a logical correction?
Does it depend on who is in the Whitehouse??


I guess it depends on one's perspective. I see it as more a logical
correction, as the prices, especially here in SW Florida were just plain
ridiculous. Slump could be used to describe it by anyone who maybe has
suffered financially, which thankfully does not include me directly.

Not sure I am smart enough to know exactly who may be at fault, besides
I doubt everyone else but me cares about my opinion.


Blame (fault) is a tricky subject in this instance. There is a point
where growth eventually rises to a point where it is unsustainable -
it's not directly anybody's fault in one sense and it's exactly
everybody's fault in another.

The positive thing in this whole deal is that over the next two/three
years, real estate in the US will be viewed as an emerging market and
prices will rebound quickly.

It will be interesting to watch.

Eisboch January 2nd 08 03:37 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 

"HK" wrote in message
. ..
Eisboch wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
. ..

Who are you hoping to vote for? Mike Huckleberry?



Hey, he plays a mean bass.

Eisboch


Well, gee, what else does the guy need?
As I have stated, I think he's an ok guy, but not for president. We're in
the last full year of President Numnutz, and I have seen nothing to
indicate Huck is any brighter about the world than Bush was and is. And
then there is Huck's "connection" to evangelicals. *That* is an automatic
disqualifier for me. No Jesus Freaks in the White House, please.



Being exceptionally "smart" doesn't do it for me. Many cunning criminals
are very "smart".

I want someone smart *enough* to surround himself/herself with decent,
knowledgeable and experienced staff members for counsel and advice, one who
isn't afraid to admit he/she is human and prone to mistakes, and above all
has the moral courage to use common sense based on sincere consideration
when making a tough decision.

I am *not* looking for a POTUS that promises cures for all the domestic and
international problems, both social and political, just to get votes.
Nobody can realistically do that and she's being intellectually dishonest in
her quest.

Quess you know who I've crossed off my list.

Eisboch



JoeSpareBedroom January 2nd 08 03:39 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
wrote in message
...
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 14:46:32 +0000, Canuck57 wrote:


Why McCain? I view him as having too many back room allegiances and
special interests to be any good. But then again, I can't vote -- just
curious on US politics. Kind of like Ron Paul myself.


True, McCain was one of the Keating Five. He admits to "poor judgement",
which it was, but it also seemed to be a wake-up call. Since that time,
he has been a lead voice in campaign finance reform, and from my vantage
point, a straight shooter. While I don't agree with many of his stands,
I think he is one of the few honorable men in Washington.

A refresher in McCain's involvement in the Keating scandal:


http://www.slate.com/id/1004633/



His military service is also valuable, but not in a way that's obvious.
Success in politics (and other areas of life in general) often depends on
getting certain people to shut the **** up already and stop making noise, so
actual messages can be heard. There's a contingent of voters (unfortunately)
who believe that you cannot formulate foreign policy unless you've served in
the military. McCain's history silences those idiots, at least on THAT
subject.



Short Wave Sportfishing January 2nd 08 03:40 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 13:56:05 GMT, "JoeSpareBedroom"
wrote:

"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
.. .
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)


Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


As a person, I like McCain - as a President I could find him
acceptable - Keating Five beside the point. I'm not exaclty sure how
involved he was in it other than doing what he was supposed to do with
a constituent who contributed to his political organization.

Considering that he was the only Republican involved, it does leave
one to wonder.

HK January 2nd 08 03:43 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
wrote:
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 14:46:32 +0000, Canuck57 wrote:


Why McCain? I view him as having too many back room allegiances and
special interests to be any good. But then again, I can't vote -- just
curious on US politics. Kind of like Ron Paul myself.


True, McCain was one of the Keating Five. He admits to "poor judgement",
which it was, but it also seemed to be a wake-up call. Since that time,
he has been a lead voice in campaign finance reform, and from my vantage
point, a straight shooter. While I don't agree with many of his stands,
I think he is one of the few honorable men in Washington.

A refresher in McCain's involvement in the Keating scandal:


http://www.slate.com/id/1004633/


Find me a clean major league politician and I'll show you a guy with a
wide stance in the men's room.


--
George W. Bush - the 43rd Best President Ever!

Wayne.B January 2nd 08 03:46 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 09:48:47 -0500, DownTime
wrote:

I guess it depends on one's perspective. I see it as more a logical
correction, as the prices, especially here in SW Florida were just plain
ridiculous. Slump could be used to describe it by anyone who maybe has
suffered financially, which thankfully does not include me directly.

Not sure I am smart enough to know exactly who may be at fault, besides
I doubt everyone else but me cares about my opinion.


You are overlooking the root cause of inflated SWFL prices in the
first place: Easy lending standards which encouraged/fueled rampant
speculation. That started in the mid to late 90s and continued until
this year. The bubble began to burst 2 years ago after hurricane
Wilma convinced a lot of people to sell, and dried up the buyer pool.


[email protected] January 2nd 08 03:51 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 15:39:53 +0000, JoeSpareBedroom wrote:


His military service is also valuable, but not in a way that's obvious.
Success in politics (and other areas of life in general) often depends
on getting certain people to shut the **** up already and stop making
noise, so actual messages can be heard. There's a contingent of voters
(unfortunately) who believe that you cannot formulate foreign policy
unless you've served in the military. McCain's history silences those
idiots, at least on THAT subject.


And interesting factoid you may already know. McCain was inadvertently
involved with the fire that almost sunk the Forrestal.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Forrestal

JoeSpareBedroom January 2nd 08 03:54 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
wrote in message
...
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 15:39:53 +0000, JoeSpareBedroom wrote:


His military service is also valuable, but not in a way that's obvious.
Success in politics (and other areas of life in general) often depends
on getting certain people to shut the **** up already and stop making
noise, so actual messages can be heard. There's a contingent of voters
(unfortunately) who believe that you cannot formulate foreign policy
unless you've served in the military. McCain's history silences those
idiots, at least on THAT subject.


And interesting factoid you may already know. McCain was inadvertently
involved with the fire that almost sunk the Forrestal.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Forrestal



That looks like it was a Very Bad Day for all involved. And I'm the king of
understatement today. :)



[email protected] January 2nd 08 03:54 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 15:40:16 +0000, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:


As a person, I like McCain - as a President I could find him acceptable
- Keating Five beside the point. I'm not exaclty sure how involved he
was in it other than doing what he was supposed to do with a constituent
who contributed to his political organization.

Considering that he was the only Republican involved, it does leave one
to wonder.


The Senate Ethics Committee Special Counsel recommended McCain and Glenn
be dropped from the investigation, but there is speculation that didn't
happen because he was the lone Republican.

JoeSpareBedroom January 2nd 08 03:55 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
...
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 13:56:05 GMT, "JoeSpareBedroom"
wrote:

"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
. ..
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.

Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.

I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.

Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.

Now I need to call my bookie. :)


Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


As a person, I like McCain - as a President I could find him
acceptable - Keating Five beside the point. I'm not exaclty sure how
involved he was in it other than doing what he was supposed to do with
a constituent who contributed to his political organization.



Oddities surrounding political contributions. Now, there's something novel.
:-)



HK January 2nd 08 03:58 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
Eisboch wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
. ..
Eisboch wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
. ..
Who are you hoping to vote for? Mike Huckleberry?


Hey, he plays a mean bass.

Eisboch

Well, gee, what else does the guy need?
As I have stated, I think he's an ok guy, but not for president. We're in
the last full year of President Numnutz, and I have seen nothing to
indicate Huck is any brighter about the world than Bush was and is. And
then there is Huck's "connection" to evangelicals. *That* is an automatic
disqualifier for me. No Jesus Freaks in the White House, please.



Being exceptionally "smart" doesn't do it for me. Many cunning criminals
are very "smart".

I want someone smart *enough* to surround himself/herself with decent,
knowledgeable and experienced staff members for counsel and advice, one who
isn't afraid to admit he/she is human and prone to mistakes, and above all
has the moral courage to use common sense based on sincere consideration
when making a tough decision.



Well, you certainly won't be voting Republican.


--
George W. Bush - the 43rd Best President Ever!

[email protected] January 2nd 08 04:03 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 10:46:08 -0500, Wayne.B wrote:


You are overlooking the root cause of inflated SWFL prices in the first
place: Easy lending standards which encouraged/fueled rampant
speculation. That started in the mid to late 90s and continued until
this year. The bubble began to burst 2 years ago after hurricane Wilma
convinced a lot of people to sell, and dried up the buyer pool.


This graph of historical home values, reminds me of the infamous Global
Warming Hockey Stick Graph. Something was obviously out of whack.

http://www.investingintelligently.co...ome_values.png

Short Wave Sportfishing January 2nd 08 04:03 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 15:54:14 -0000, wrote:

On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 15:40:16 +0000, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:


As a person, I like McCain - as a President I could find him acceptable
- Keating Five beside the point. I'm not exaclty sure how involved he
was in it other than doing what he was supposed to do with a constituent
who contributed to his political organization.

Considering that he was the only Republican involved, it does leave one
to wonder.


The Senate Ethics Committee Special Counsel recommended McCain and Glenn
be dropped from the investigation, but there is speculation that didn't
happen because he was the lone Republican.


Exactly.

Chuck Gould January 2nd 08 04:04 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Jan 2, 7:00�am, "JoeSpareBedroom" wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

...





JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
. ..
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.


Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.


I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. �Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.


Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. �Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.


Now I need to call my bookie. �:)


Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I agree
he has a spine, but...


I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the torture
issue.


Everyone caved on the torture issue to some extent. It was unavoidable. And,
to be perfectly honest, I played a New Year's Eve gig that made
waterboarding look like a wine tasting tour in France.

McCain was interviewed a couple of weeks ago and he made a comment about
using the bully pulpit to ask Americans to consider certain sacrifices, the
details of which are not important here. FDR did exactly the same thing, and
Americans accepted his suggestions. Nowadays, mention this to certain
lizards in newsgroups and they say "guvmint control! guvmint control!"

If McCain actually does it, I'd be impressed.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


None of the major party candidates ever really reflect my personal
political principles, and that's good. My perspectives are too extreme
to be useful for the Executive of a country that needs to enlist a
variety of people with diverse ideas and agendas in order to get
anything done.
We've all seen the effects of various "uniters" vs. "dividers" in the
WH.
I believe it's better to have a person who can reach across the aisle
in both directions for support.

That reduces me to voting for personal character. I'm absolutely
opposed to his politics, (fortuntately we're going to elect a POTUS,
not a dictator), but from the perspective of character and personal
integrity
John McCain is definitely a front runner. Yeah, we would have to
overlook some past mistakes, but the only guy without a skeleton or
two in the closet is a guy who never accomplished anything.

I admire John McCain for standing up for fellow veteran and fellow
senator John Kerry when Kerry was being smeared and slandered by the
Swift Boaters in '04. McCain knew that the chrages were a combination
of distortion and unbridled BS, and wasn't afraid to say so. To me,
that indicates a preference for truth above partisan politics. That
stand, and some similar over the years, is probably what will cost
McCain any chance to win the R nomination. A candidate needs to appeal
to the party fanatics during the primaries, and then switch gears and
appeal to the center after the conventions. The R party fanatics don't
like McCain all that much- but he would appeal to most of the folks in
the middle. At least IMO.

JoeSpareBedroom January 2nd 08 04:06 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
"Chuck Gould" wrote in message
...
On Jan 2, 7:00?am, "JoeSpareBedroom" wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

...





JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
. ..
Here's what I'm thinking just based on reading things here and there.


Democrats favor Obama, then Edwards, then Clinton, then everybody
else.


I'm thinking Obama gets out with a lead of three or four points over
Edwards in second and Clinton a very close third to Edwards - say
within a point or two. ?Everybody else, Dodd, Biden, Krazyinich will
all slide to less than 4% of the vote in total.


Republicans - I'm thnking Romney with an insigificant lead over
Huckabee and Thompson a strong third. ?Ron Paultard will show a
surprising 13% of the vote from all the Paulbots that show up from
other states.


Now I need to call my bookie. ?:)


Meanwhile, McCain's the only Republican candidate with a spine.


I agree that McCain is the only GOP candidate with any class, and I
agree
he has a spine, but...


I was less than impressed when he caved earlier this year on the torture
issue.


Everyone caved on the torture issue to some extent. It was unavoidable.
And,
to be perfectly honest, I played a New Year's Eve gig that made
waterboarding look like a wine tasting tour in France.

McCain was interviewed a couple of weeks ago and he made a comment about
using the bully pulpit to ask Americans to consider certain sacrifices,
the
details of which are not important here. FDR did exactly the same thing,
and
Americans accepted his suggestions. Nowadays, mention this to certain
lizards in newsgroups and they say "guvmint control! guvmint control!"

If McCain actually does it, I'd be impressed.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


None of the major party candidates ever really reflect my personal
political principles, and that's good. My perspectives are too extreme
to be useful for the Executive of a country that needs to enlist a
variety of people with diverse ideas and agendas in order to get
anything done.
We've all seen the effects of various "uniters" vs. "dividers" in the
WH.
I believe it's better to have a person who can reach across the aisle
in both directions for support.

That reduces me to voting for personal character. I'm absolutely
opposed to his politics, (fortuntately we're going to elect a POTUS,
not a dictator), but from the perspective of character and personal
integrity
John McCain is definitely a front runner. Yeah, we would have to
overlook some past mistakes, but the only guy without a skeleton or
two in the closet is a guy who never accomplished anything.

I admire John McCain for standing up for fellow veteran and fellow
senator John Kerry when Kerry was being smeared and slandered by the
Swift Boaters in '04. McCain knew that the chrages were a combination
of distortion and unbridled BS, and wasn't afraid to say so. To me,
that indicates a preference for truth above partisan politics. That
stand, and some similar over the years, is probably what will cost
McCain any chance to win the R nomination. A candidate needs to appeal
to the party fanatics during the primaries, and then switch gears and
appeal to the center after the conventions. The R party fanatics don't
like McCain all that much- but he would appeal to most of the folks in
the middle. At least IMO.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


I'll be talking to my dad in a few minutes, and I'll ask him who he thinks
is the best candidate. He's always wrong, but the information is amusing.



HK January 2nd 08 04:13 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
Chuck Gould wrote:

I admire John McCain for standing up for fellow veteran and fellow
senator John Kerry when Kerry was being smeared and slandered by the
Swift Boaters in '04. McCain knew that the chrages were a combination
of distortion and unbridled BS, and wasn't afraid to say so. To me,
that indicates a preference for truth above partisan politics. That
stand, and some similar over the years, is probably what will cost
McCain any chance to win the R nomination. A candidate needs to appeal
to the party fanatics during the primaries, and then switch gears and
appeal to the center after the conventions. The R party fanatics don't
like McCain all that much- but he would appeal to most of the folks in
the middle. At least IMO.


I don't believe McCain has what it takes to appeal to the simpie
fundies, and they are the ones that control most of the GOP. But I would
like to see him win because it might help restore a little honor and
integrity to the GOP, a party nearly destroyed by the Bush "divide with
fear and conquer" tactics of the last seven years.

I think the GOP nominee will be Huckabee. If it is, I believe he'll be
drowned in the general election, and that will be good for the
Republican Party, because it will be able to use that loss as an excuse
to distance itself from the screwball "religious" voters.


JoeSpareBedroom January 2nd 08 04:15 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
"HK" wrote in message
...
Chuck Gould wrote:

I admire John McCain for standing up for fellow veteran and fellow
senator John Kerry when Kerry was being smeared and slandered by the
Swift Boaters in '04. McCain knew that the chrages were a combination
of distortion and unbridled BS, and wasn't afraid to say so. To me,
that indicates a preference for truth above partisan politics. That
stand, and some similar over the years, is probably what will cost
McCain any chance to win the R nomination. A candidate needs to appeal
to the party fanatics during the primaries, and then switch gears and
appeal to the center after the conventions. The R party fanatics don't
like McCain all that much- but he would appeal to most of the folks in
the middle. At least IMO.


I don't believe McCain has what it takes to appeal to the simpie fundies,
and they are the ones that control most of the GOP. But I would like to
see him win because it might help restore a little honor and integrity to
the GOP, a party nearly destroyed by the Bush "divide with fear and
conquer" tactics of the last seven years.

I think the GOP nominee will be Huckabee. If it is, I believe he'll be
drowned in the general election, and that will be good for the Republican
Party, because it will be able to use that loss as an excuse to distance
itself from the screwball "religious" voters.



Fortunately, some big time Christian sects have already distanced themselves
from the Republicans for various reasons, mostly involving ethics. 2007 was
a great year for hot gay Republican sex along with hypocrisy about the
subject. That should help drive a wedge between the party and the sects.



HK January 2nd 08 04:22 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
JoeSpareBedroom wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
Chuck Gould wrote:
I admire John McCain for standing up for fellow veteran and fellow
senator John Kerry when Kerry was being smeared and slandered by the
Swift Boaters in '04. McCain knew that the chrages were a combination
of distortion and unbridled BS, and wasn't afraid to say so. To me,
that indicates a preference for truth above partisan politics. That
stand, and some similar over the years, is probably what will cost
McCain any chance to win the R nomination. A candidate needs to appeal
to the party fanatics during the primaries, and then switch gears and
appeal to the center after the conventions. The R party fanatics don't
like McCain all that much- but he would appeal to most of the folks in
the middle. At least IMO.

I don't believe McCain has what it takes to appeal to the simpie fundies,
and they are the ones that control most of the GOP. But I would like to
see him win because it might help restore a little honor and integrity to
the GOP, a party nearly destroyed by the Bush "divide with fear and
conquer" tactics of the last seven years.

I think the GOP nominee will be Huckabee. If it is, I believe he'll be
drowned in the general election, and that will be good for the Republican
Party, because it will be able to use that loss as an excuse to distance
itself from the screwball "religious" voters.



Fortunately, some big time Christian sects have already distanced themselves
from the Republicans for various reasons, mostly involving ethics. 2007 was
a great year for hot gay Republican sex along with hypocrisy about the
subject. That should help drive a wedge between the party and the sects.





Who are the fundies going to vote for? Republicans, of course.



--
George W. Bush - the 43rd Best President Ever!

[email protected] January 2nd 08 04:22 PM

Handicapping Iowa...
 
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 08:04:02 -0800, Chuck Gould wrote:


That reduces me to voting for personal character. I'm absolutely opposed
to his politics, (fortuntately we're going to elect a POTUS, not a
dictator), but from the perspective of character and personal integrity
John McCain is definitely a front runner. Yeah, we would have to
overlook some past mistakes, but the only guy without a skeleton or two
in the closet is a guy who never accomplished anything.


For me, the two most important attributes in a Presidential candidate are
competence and honor, then, down the list, politics. Frankly, I'm not
sure which, competence or honor, is most important for me, but since it's
rare a candidate has either, I usually just end up going for the
candidate that comes closest to my politics. I keep thinking, 300
million people, and this is the best we can do?

Perhaps, Mike Bloomberg will run. I'd vote for him in a heartbeat.
While I think he might make a good President, I'd vote for him because it
would send a strong message to *both* Republicans and Democrats, that we
don't need them anymore. I felt the same way about that chicken-****,
candidate one day, not the next, Ross Perot.


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