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#51
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() "John H." wrote in message ... On Mon, 7 May 2007 19:02:52 -0300, "Don White" wrote: "John H." wrote in message . .. You just got blown out of the water. Bedroom full this weekend? You picking fights with everyone you come across this week Johnny? Please explain again how this improves the newsgroup. Tell us again about the most popular transportation in Canada. Surely it's not a gas guzzler, right? Donnie, that *was* funny, and you know it! Do you really have that much trouble reading and understanding what you read? No wonder the school system is in such a mess. I said " The best selling car in Canada for a number of years has been the Honda Civic" You do understand the difference between a 'car' and a 'truck' don't you Johnny? |
#52
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() "wf3h" wrote in message ups.com... HK wrote: Our national energy policy, whatever it is (it's a secret) was established by Dick Cheney in 2001 during a series of meetings with oil industry executives.w what i love about this is, when ira magaziner and hilary clintion tried to get us universal health care To which office was Hillary elected to in 1992? Then what right did she have to make policy that would have destroyed the healthcare system for 260,000,000 Americans with insurance so that 40,000,000 uninsured could get access? |
#53
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posted to rec.boats
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On Tue, 08 May 2007 03:13:45 GMT, "NOYB" wrote:
"wf3h" wrote in message oups.com... HK wrote: Our national energy policy, whatever it is (it's a secret) was established by Dick Cheney in 2001 during a series of meetings with oil industry executives.w what i love about this is, when ira magaziner and hilary clintion tried to get us universal health care To which office was Hillary elected to in 1992? Then what right did she have to make policy that would have destroyed the healthcare system for 260,000,000 Americans with insurance so that 40,000,000 uninsured could get access? I have a great Hillary story. Back when she was put in "charge" (read Ira Magaziner was in charge - Hillary was just his mouth piece), they had an open Town Meeting in New London to solicite public comments. I was invited by Sam "The Man" Gedenjson who was then the Congressman from the 2nd District which included my town. (I was invited by virtue of some veterens work I had some with Sam and the VA - probably the only thing he ever did as a Congressman that actually had some impact). So, we're at the meeting, there about 150 people, about half senior citizens. During the participatory part, this little old lady stands up at the microphone and asked the following question (paraphrased). "Can you tell me how your proposal will reduce my and my husband's prescription costs, doctor's cost and my husbands stroke therapy payments?" This was Hillary's exact response. "I only deal in policy, I don't deal in specifics". Yep. Never made the news either. :) |
#54
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posted to rec.boats
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"Chuck Gould" wrote in message
ups.com... On May 7, 3:18?pm, "JoeSpareBedroom" wrote: "Chuck Gould" wrote in message ps.com... You certainly succeeded in demonstrating the absurdity that either political party controls gas prices. Go away and think for 20 minutes about how this situation is connected to cheaper goods from overseas. Demand for oil overseas raises competition for a world wide commodity. Pretty obvious. That affects the price of a bbl of oil more than refined products, however. Because the environmental laws are lax or worse in many of those developing economies it's a lot cheaper to refine the oil there than it would be to refine it here and then ship it overseas again. We may be competing with the Chinese for crude, but not for refined products from US refineries. I was thinking more along these lines: Although some people inexplicably deny this, higher oil prices affect every link in the manufacturing chain, simply because of freight costs. Now, some businesses may switch to overseas manufacturing because they just feel like cranking up their profit margin ASAP. But others may do so when costs here reach the point where they have a choice of either move, shut their doors for good, or try raising prices and have their customers shut down their companies by refusing to pay those higher costs. To simplify: Do higher oil prices push manufacturing jobs overseas? |
#55
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posted to rec.boats
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"NOYB" wrote in message
ink.net... "wf3h" wrote in message ups.com... HK wrote: Our national energy policy, whatever it is (it's a secret) was established by Dick Cheney in 2001 during a series of meetings with oil industry executives.w what i love about this is, when ira magaziner and hilary clintion tried to get us universal health care To which office was Hillary elected to in 1992? Then what right did she have to make policy that would have destroyed the healthcare system for 260,000,000 Americans with insurance so that 40,000,000 uninsured could get access? Good question. I'll pair it with another one: To which office was Manucher Ghorbanifar elected to? What right does he have to try and influence our policies? Or, to simplify this for you: Do you think our policy makers speak to absolutely nobody that wasn't elected? |
#56
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posted to rec.boats
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RCE wrote:
"Chuck Gould" wrote in message oups.com... On May 7, 3:31?pm, "RCE" wrote: I really don't think oil companies or politicians have much control over this. Eisboch Oil companies don't control what they charge for refined products? A 42 gallon bbl of oil produces about 20 gallons of gas and about 7 gallons of diesel- along with some other petroluem products that are sold at a profit. Even *if* the entire cost of raw materials was passed through solely to the gasoline consumer, (and it certainly isn't), a $1 jump in the price of a barrel of oil would only ad 5 cents to the price of a gallon of gas. Even under a ridiculous scenario where diesel and misc. petroleum products got a free ride on the back of gasoline, the $10 increase in a bbl of oil since January should result in a 50-cent run-up, not $1.25. In reality, the raw materials cost is spread to diesel and other refined products so the increased cost of crude oil reflected in the price of a gallon of gas is probably closer to 30-cents (not 50) since January. You are considering raw material costs only. There are many other costs involved ... salaries, refinery operations and maintenance, benefits, retirement plans and the pressure of stockholders to meet expectations or announced guidance. I think the oil companies have to play a forecasting and averaging game which is why the same gas from the same barrel of crude can go up 30 cents a gallon in a week. They are not pricing on what a barrel of crude is today, but rather on what they think it will be a month, 6 months or a year from now. Factor in the demand issue .... (at some price demand will drop) ... and crude costs may go down .... but the other costs and pressure for profits continue. I suspect it's very complex. You also have to factor in the supply issue. Price is a way of manipulating demand. If price remained constant and supply dropped below demand, shortages and/or outages would occur. Lets face it, in a capitalistic market, if someone else can supply more of the same goods for slightly less, making more overall profit, they will. My understanding is that currently there is a shortage of refined product, due to some refineries either off line or retooling. Part of the problem is the hundreds of different formulas required by the feds around the country. I know from personal experience and on a much, much more simple scale, that a public company with stockholders watching daily to meet announced expectations that it is a very different way of doing business now-a-days. When my company went from being a small, private ma and pa type operation to part of a much larger (1B+) public company the whole world changed in terms of what was important. (Which is also why I retired g) Eisboch |
#57
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posted to rec.boats
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On May 8, 5:40�am, animal05 wrote:
You also have to factor in the supply issue. *Price is a way of manipulating demand. *If price remained constant and supply dropped below demand, shortages and/or outages would occur. *Lets face it, in a capitalistic market, if someone else can supply more of the same goods for slightly less, making more overall profit, they will. *My understanding is that currently there is a shortage of refined product, due to some refineries either off line or retooling. *Part of the problem is the hundreds of different formulas required by the feds around the country. The rules of a capitalistic market do not apply when the raw materials are controlled by an oligopoly. There is no opportunity for new players to enter the field and supply superior or cheaper refined products. Even *if* there were a new and independent refinery built, the operators would need to rely on their competitors for raw materials....not a good business model in any industry. There is a shortage of refined product because world demand has increased to the point where there is no longer any surplus supply. Every drop will sell. By choosing to "retool and repair" refineries during the onset of the peak demand months, the oil companies short the market in some economies and drive prices up dramatically in response. The normal risk of shorting the market is that your competitor will increase supply to meet the demand, which could cost you relationships with your customers and leave you with unsold product. When any member of an oligopoly shorts the market, it benefits the other members as well. There is no need for outright, formal, illegal "collusion". Because worldwide demand exceeds supply, there is no risk of a competitor ramping up production to steal your customers- you will find somebody, somewhere, willing to pay whatever you want to charge. If that attitude disrupts economies or creates hardships for people who have previously relied on a predictable supply of a product at a predictable price that's too fricking bad. The oil companies are in business to make a profit......period. It goes without saying that boating will suffer, probably very badly, as fuel costs go higher and higher every year. That's been the trend for three years, and any realistic person would have to assume that (excuses about refineries, floods, hurricanes, etc aside) it's now the basic business formula for BIGOIL. Few people are going to buy any recreational vessel or vehicle that needs to consume enormous quantities of petroleum products to operate, and who can blame them? Tough as it is when the costs are $4-5 at the fuel dock, imagine what would happen if fuel goes to $6-7, or $7-8? The volatility of fuel prices and the very real possibility that they could be double what they are now in just a couple of years has to discourage any reasonable person from "investing" a couple of hundred thousand in a boat, or taking out a 15-year marine mortgage to make payments for one. I think I can see where we're going on a few fronts over the next few to several years, and I wish the picture were slightly prettier from here. We're entering an era of fewer options for all but the folks in the very highest income brackets, as well as when a flock of consequences begin coming home to roost. |
#58
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() Do you know what cracks me up about some of the various views expressed about fuel prices? It wasn't too many years ago that those with more left leaning political views were concerned about the high consumption rate of gasoline in the USA, it's continued supply and it's artificially low price per gallon compared to the rest of the world. Conservation was preached, encouraged and some even advocated raising the price of gas to force further conservation and the use of smaller, fuel efficient autos in order to reduce demand. Fast forward to today and it seems that the same people are now blaming big business greed and politicians lining their pockets for the natural increase in prices. Can't win. Eisboch |
#59
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() "Harry Krause" wrote in message ... Eisboch wrote: Do you know what cracks me up about some of the various views expressed about fuel prices? It wasn't too many years ago that those with more left leaning political views were concerned about the high consumption rate of gasoline in the USA, it's continued supply and it's artificially low price per gallon compared to the rest of the world. Conservation was preached, encouraged and some even advocated raising the price of gas to force further conservation and the use of smaller, fuel efficient autos in order to reduce demand. Fast forward to today and it seems that the same people are now blaming big business greed and politicians lining their pockets for the natural increase in prices. Can't win. Eisboch It's not a "natural" increase...it's a manipulated increase. It's both. Oil is not immune from the laws of supply and demand. But there's an amplifying factor at work too. |
#60
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() "Chuck Gould" wrote in message oups.com... On May 8, 5:40?am, animal05 wrote: You also have to factor in the supply issue. Price is a way of manipulating demand. If price remained constant and supply dropped below demand, shortages and/or outages would occur. Lets face it, in a capitalistic market, if someone else can supply more of the same goods for slightly less, making more overall profit, they will. My understanding is that currently there is a shortage of refined product, due to some refineries either off line or retooling. Part of the problem is the hundreds of different formulas required by the feds around the country. The rules of a capitalistic market do not apply when the raw materials are controlled by an oligopoly. There is no opportunity for new players to enter the field and supply superior or cheaper refined products. Even *if* there were a new and independent refinery built, the operators would need to rely on their competitors for raw materials....not a good business model in any industry. There is a shortage of refined product because world demand has increased to the point where there is no longer any surplus supply. Every drop will sell. By choosing to "retool and repair" refineries during the onset of the peak demand months, the oil companies short the market in some economies and drive prices up dramatically in response. The normal risk of shorting the market is that your competitor will increase supply to meet the demand, which could cost you relationships with your customers and leave you with unsold product. When any member of an oligopoly shorts the market, it benefits the other members as well. There is no need for outright, formal, illegal "collusion". Because worldwide demand exceeds supply, there is no risk of a competitor ramping up production to steal your customers- you will find somebody, somewhere, willing to pay whatever you want to charge. If that attitude disrupts economies or creates hardships for people who have previously relied on a predictable supply of a product at a predictable price that's too fricking bad. The oil companies are in business to make a profit......period. It goes without saying that boating will suffer, probably very badly, as fuel costs go higher and higher every year. That's been the trend for three years, and any realistic person would have to assume that (excuses about refineries, floods, hurricanes, etc aside) it's now the basic business formula for BIGOIL. Few people are going to buy any recreational vessel or vehicle that needs to consume enormous quantities of petroleum products to operate, and who can blame them? Tough as it is when the costs are $4-5 at the fuel dock, imagine what would happen if fuel goes to $6-7, or $7-8? The volatility of fuel prices and the very real possibility that they could be double what they are now in just a couple of years has to discourage any reasonable person from "investing" a couple of hundred thousand in a boat, or taking out a 15-year marine mortgage to make payments for one. I think I can see where we're going on a few fronts over the next few to several years, and I wish the picture were slightly prettier from here. We're entering an era of fewer options for all but the folks in the very highest income brackets, as well as when a flock of consequences begin coming home to roost. Most of the retooling of refineries is a government requirement. Going from Winter to Summer Blend. When California had real shortages a couple of years ago, we could not get fuel from Arizona, that had a surplus, because it did not meet the Calif. State blend requirements. And the refineries were required to add MTBE. The stuff ate up seals at an extreme rate. One of the reasons there were more refinery fires. |
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