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"Doug Kanter" wrote in message ... "Jack Goff" wrote in message om... "Doug Kanter" wrote in message ... "NOYB" wrote in message link.net... "Doug Kanter" wrote in message Prices have risen as investors bet refiners and producers will struggle to meet winter demand in the fourth quarter. Duh! Why do you think demand is increasing? (and it's not just a one-time quarterly surge) Hint: Is it just US demand? Duh? "As investors bet....". The key word is "bet". The price hike is not related to the REALITY OF THE PHYSICAL ASSETS THEMSELVES. So you're saying that the rise in price has nothing to do with the increase in demand, and the fact that there is virtually no excess production available to meet that demand? That if we were rocking along, no increase in demand, and plenty of excess production, that this big price increase would still be happening? BS!! They are able to pull off these big increases *BECAUSE* there is a huge demand, and everyone wants all the crude they can get, but there's no excess. If there were less demand, and excess production, there would be players in the market that would have excess and would be willing to sell it at a lower price. The price hike is possible BECAUSE of the reality of the (limited) physical assets. Supply and demand. Supply and demand. Supply and demand. The supply has been relatively stable. China is the biggest reason for the increased demand. Doug, maybe there's a community college around you somewhere that offers an Economics 101 class. Your explanation is the reason so many other things have been sold to you with little foundation beneath them. *Your* referenced article provides all the proof I need. It states what I did above, but you seem unable to grasp it. "Oil prices hit a new record above $60 a barrel on Monday, driven by demand growth resilience in the face of high fuel cost..." "The market is testing higher to see what price levels this demand can endure," "...with only a significant pull-back in demand from an economic slowdown seen likely to tame prices." "spare capacity is limited to small unused volumes in Saudi Arabia." Your own article proves you wrong. You didn't read for content, you just keyed in on part of one sentence. The article is making the case that the oil prices are being raised because the market conditions of "demand growth" and "tight supply" exist, thereby enabling the higher prices. For the last time, where is this "demand growth" coming from? Class is out. |
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