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On Wed, 11 Mar 2020 14:36:18 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

On 3/11/2020 2:21 PM, wrote:
On Wed, 11 Mar 2020 07:34:30 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

This is a simple and excellent graph that illustrates how
the response to the coronavirus issue is being handled.

The idea that it can be 100% contained is unrealistic.
It's going to spread .... as it has.

The goal is to control as much as possible the rate
that it spreads so the healthcare facilities and systems
are not overwhelmed.

The peak (in orange) is what happened in China.
The goal of the CDC is the second peak.

Despite all the hype, fears and finger-pointing
(political) this graph is spot on.

https://funkyimg.com/i/331q1.jpg

Essentially they are still saying the same number of people will be
infected, they just want to spread it out over a longer time. It is
like pulling off a band aid. Do you want to do it slowly or just yank
it off and get over it. I think we will all get it eventually.
The current prediction is that this sill slow down considerably in the
summer and come back with a vengeance next winter.

I think the point demonstrated in the graph is how to manage the
spread without overwhelming healthcare facilities and capabilities.
Otherwise, what happened in China will happen everywhere. It appears
that Italy and Iran are getting close.

All in all, the USA is managing. Over 1.000 confirmed so far with about
28 deaths ... mostly people in their 80's with pre-existing conditions.

Maybe it is time to short your nursing home stock.

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