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Boating All Out August 16th 14 08:45 AM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
In article ,
says...

On Tue, 12 Aug 2014 00:35:02 -0400, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Mon, 11 Aug 2014 13:16:58 -0400,
wrote:

The stocks are not
just paper, they represent actual ownership of some darn good
companies and a claim on their earnings and free cash flow.

I know that is the theory but there is a lot of air under most of the
stock prices these days.This has a certain Ponzi aspect too. As long
as more money coming in than is taken out, it does OK.
If there is a significant net loss of money coming into the market it
will crash pretty fast.


===

You're entitled to your opinion of course, and there are no doubt some
over inflated companies out there along with a handfull of outright
frauds not yet discovered. On the other hand there are also some
real captains of industry who make real products and sell them
worldwide. I'm thinking of names like GE, IBM, Intel, Apple, Cisco,
etc. These are companies that not only make solid products and sell
them well, but they also have provable positive cash flows and pay
dividends. There are many others of course, and there are also many
companies in sectors such as energy and transportation with very solid
fundamentals and positive cash flows. Cash flow is a good indicator
because it is real, easy to measure and not easily subject to
accounting slight of hand.


I just think the whole market is way overdue for a correction no
matter what and if you have 30 million boomers liquidating their 401ks
there will be an impact on the market.


What makes you think 30m boomers have 401k's? That's ridiculous.
The total 401k participation is about 50 million. And why would they
suddenly liquidate it? Besides, most retirees depend on SS, and the
wealthy ones pass equities to their heirs.
And the 401k market is a small part of total equities from what I can
find out. Funny how the numbers business guards their numbers.



H*a*r*r*o*l*d August 16th 14 02:33 PM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
On 8/16/2014 1:45 AM, Boating All Out wrote:
In article ,
says...

On Tue, 12 Aug 2014 00:35:02 -0400, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Mon, 11 Aug 2014 13:16:58 -0400,
wrote:

The stocks are not
just paper, they represent actual ownership of some darn good
companies and a claim on their earnings and free cash flow.

I know that is the theory but there is a lot of air under most of the
stock prices these days.This has a certain Ponzi aspect too. As long
as more money coming in than is taken out, it does OK.
If there is a significant net loss of money coming into the market it
will crash pretty fast.

===

You're entitled to your opinion of course, and there are no doubt some
over inflated companies out there along with a handfull of outright
frauds not yet discovered. On the other hand there are also some
real captains of industry who make real products and sell them
worldwide. I'm thinking of names like GE, IBM, Intel, Apple, Cisco,
etc. These are companies that not only make solid products and sell
them well, but they also have provable positive cash flows and pay
dividends. There are many others of course, and there are also many
companies in sectors such as energy and transportation with very solid
fundamentals and positive cash flows. Cash flow is a good indicator
because it is real, easy to measure and not easily subject to
accounting slight of hand.


I just think the whole market is way overdue for a correction no
matter what and if you have 30 million boomers liquidating their 401ks
there will be an impact on the market.


What makes you think 30m boomers have 401k's? That's ridiculous.
The total 401k participation is about 50 million. And why would they
suddenly liquidate it? Besides, most retirees depend on SS, and the
wealthy ones pass equities to their heirs.
And the 401k market is a small part of total equities from what I can
find out. Funny how the numbers business guards their numbers.


The grand daddy of al mutual funds is 60% held in 401K plans.
The Gubmint requires systematic liquidation beginning at age 70 1/2

--
"I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the
government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of
taking care of them".
Thomas Jefferson

amdx[_3_] August 16th 14 07:08 PM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
On 8/14/2014 12:09 PM, Califbill wrote:
wrote:
On Wed, 13 Aug 2014 22:53:34 -0400, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Wed, 13 Aug 2014 15:03:13 -0400, wrote:

On Wed, 13 Aug 2014 12:37:54 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

On 8/13/2014 9:50 AM, F.O.A.D. wrote:


There are two ways to respond to your assessment. The first is to cast
the blame on those who have been successful and demand a cut of the
fruits of their labor.

The second is to qualify oneself via training and education for the jobs
that exist in a highly competitive world ... that is only becoming
*more* competitive.

For most, the second route was drilled into us as youngsters. Unlike
today, we were never taught to "expect" it due to some societal right.
The required education may be acquired in many ways. It doesn't
necessarily require daddy's fat checkbook.

I'd also add that it often takes many years of work to rise to the
"middle class" financial category. Some people seem to think it's a
"right" and should start as soon as you become an adult. I didn't
achieve a "middle class" lifestyle until well into my 30's.

If you believe the assessment made by millionaire media and author
types, I never have.
There is a story floating around the talk shows now that you need
$150,000 for the basic necessities of life ... what bull****!

===

It depends on your life style and expectations. $150K sounds a bit
short to me but we probably live better than many.


We never made over $100k combined until recently and I don't think we
were living badly. We had "paid for" cars, boats and this house. Our
daughter came out of college without debt and we actually never owed
money for anything but the condo in Treasure Island. I paid it off
early and we had that free and clear too.

I am also not sure I know anyone who makes much more than $100k, most
make less, some a lot less.
This is SW Florida tho. I know it costs more to live in other places.


I made more than a 100k and the wife only worked part time for a friend.
And that was 12 years ago when I retired. I make at least that now with SS
a couple small pensions and investment income.


At 100k, you're doing very well.
My wife and I have a few years before retirement, 59 and 55, If we us
the 4% withdrawal rule on our saving and add SS in we should be near
$80k. However as we live now, we only spend about $40k a year. We have
no debt and haven't for about 23 years. We still have one child left
with two more in years of college, so that expense will be gone soon.

Recently I ran across this info on net worth, (assets minus
liabilities).


http://web.stanford.edu/group/scspi/...lth-levels.pdf


It is disappointing that 50% of the population has less than $60,000 in
net worth. See the lower right chart on the first page.
If you have $1.4 million in net worth you are in the top 5%.



As they say, “the first millions the hardest” :-)


Not touching the ira's
until this year. The 70 1/2 rule. For both wife and I. But we paid cash
for just about every thing we bought, except the house. First car we
financed in years was the wife's Venza. Was less than the return on
investments. But we also keep cars 10+ years! and do not need the $500 a
day hotel. In the 1980's we were having layoffs at a company. One
engineer who reported to me was worried about finances. I said worry about
the assembly line ladies who made $20k a year. He made $65k and drove a
POS dodge van, and commented his wife had 4 credit cards maxed out. What
did he waste money on?


It is not just people making $65K, there are people making $250k, and
don't save. They could never retire in the lifestyle they have become
accustomed to.

Sounds like he was following government spending
guidelines. I do live in a higher cost of living area, but did not take
money out of the house for toys when refinancing, and paid the house off.
I see the same thing with a lot of the people around me. I have an
acquaintance who's husband is the $500k a year VP of a high tech company.
Lake house, $80k African safari this year for the family. $2mm house. One
payment from bankruptcy basically. If there was a glitch in the company
and he was laid off, how long could he go on severance and savings?

Oh, ya, like I said above.

I just hope my wife's and my lifestyle has rubbed off on our kids.
My daughter is married and we were very disappointed when her hubby
bought a new car. The kid was offered a job, and went and bought the
car before his first day of work.
Bad sign.

My daughter bought a house shortly after that, I have this thought
that she did that just to put them in debt, so he wouldn't spend any
more. She wasn't happy with his poor decision.
She's still only 21 years old and has a good job, already got an
advancement with a pay increase and company vehicle, and a nice home.
Now, if I can just get the son through college! :-)
Mikek


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http://www.avast.com


True North[_2_] August 16th 14 07:28 PM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
Buying a new car isn't so bad if it's something like a Toyota Corolla.
Payments would wouldn't be too much and you'd have the piece of mind that they are in a reliable vehicle.

Califbill August 16th 14 08:43 PM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
amdx wrote:
On 8/14/2014 12:09 PM, Califbill wrote:
wrote:
On Wed, 13 Aug 2014 22:53:34 -0400, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Wed, 13 Aug 2014 15:03:13 -0400, wrote:

On Wed, 13 Aug 2014 12:37:54 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

On 8/13/2014 9:50 AM, F.O.A.D. wrote:


There are two ways to respond to your assessment. The first is to cast
the blame on those who have been successful and demand a cut of the
fruits of their labor.

The second is to qualify oneself via training and education for the jobs
that exist in a highly competitive world ... that is only becoming
*more* competitive.

For most, the second route was drilled into us as youngsters. Unlike
today, we were never taught to "expect" it due to some societal right.
The required education may be acquired in many ways. It doesn't
necessarily require daddy's fat checkbook.

I'd also add that it often takes many years of work to rise to the
"middle class" financial category. Some people seem to think it's a
"right" and should start as soon as you become an adult. I didn't
achieve a "middle class" lifestyle until well into my 30's.

If you believe the assessment made by millionaire media and author
types, I never have.
There is a story floating around the talk shows now that you need
$150,000 for the basic necessities of life ... what bull****!

===

It depends on your life style and expectations. $150K sounds a bit
short to me but we probably live better than many.

We never made over $100k combined until recently and I don't think we
were living badly. We had "paid for" cars, boats and this house. Our
daughter came out of college without debt and we actually never owed
money for anything but the condo in Treasure Island. I paid it off
early and we had that free and clear too.

I am also not sure I know anyone who makes much more than $100k, most
make less, some a lot less.
This is SW Florida tho. I know it costs more to live in other places.


I made more than a 100k and the wife only worked part time for a friend.
And that was 12 years ago when I retired. I make at least that now with SS
a couple small pensions and investment income.


At 100k, you're doing very well.
My wife and I have a few years before retirement, 59 and 55, If we us
the 4% withdrawal rule on our saving and add SS in we should be near
$80k. However as we live now, we only spend about $40k a year. We have no
debt and haven't for about 23 years. We still have one child left with
two more in years of college, so that expense will be gone soon.

Recently I ran across this info on net worth, (assets minus liabilities).


http://web.stanford.edu/group/scspi/...lth-levels.pdf


It is disappointing that 50% of the population has less than $60,000 in
net worth. See the lower right chart on the first page.
If you have $1.4 million in net worth you are in the top 5%.



As they say, “the first millions the hardest” :-)


Not touching the ira's
until this year. The 70 1/2 rule. For both wife and I. But we paid cash
for just about every thing we bought, except the house. First car we
financed in years was the wife's Venza. Was less than the return on
investments. But we also keep cars 10+ years! and do not need the $500 a
day hotel. In the 1980's we were having layoffs at a company. One
engineer who reported to me was worried about finances. I said worry about
the assembly line ladies who made $20k a year. He made $65k and drove a
POS dodge van, and commented his wife had 4 credit cards maxed out. What
did he waste money on?


It is not just people making $65K, there are people making $250k, and
don't save. They could never retire in the lifestyle they have become accustomed to.

Sounds like he was following government spending
guidelines. I do live in a higher cost of living area, but did not take
money out of the house for toys when refinancing, and paid the house off.
I see the same thing with a lot of the people around me. I have an
acquaintance who's husband is the $500k a year VP of a high tech company.
Lake house, $80k African safari this year for the family. $2mm house. One
payment from bankruptcy basically. If there was a glitch in the company
and he was laid off, how long could he go on severance and savings?

Oh, ya, like I said above.

I just hope my wife's and my lifestyle has rubbed off on our kids.
My daughter is married and we were very disappointed when her hubby
bought a new car. The kid was offered a job, and went and bought the car
before his first day of work.
Bad sign.

My daughter bought a house shortly after that, I have this thought that
she did that just to put them in debt, so he wouldn't spend any more. She
wasn't happy with his poor decision.
She's still only 21 years old and has a good job, already got an
advancement with a pay increase and company vehicle, and a nice home.
Now, if I can just get the son through college! :-)
Mikek


---
This email is free from viruses and malware because avast! Antivirus protection is active.
http://www.avast.com


The $65k was in the late 1980's. I started working when I was in junior
high school. Making pallets. Piece work. Saved money then. When I went
to work at Western Electric warehouse in 1961, I lived at home, and made
about $65 a week. Saved. $30 in the credit union. Never saw the money,
did not miss the money. Adjusted lifestyle to my take home income. I paid
for college educations for my 2 daughters. Paid via credit card as much as
I could, and never ran a CC balance. Got miles or rebates for the money
spent. I have a friend who runs a donut store. Favorite activity is
shopping. She and her husband have a large CC balance. 18-23% financing
charge! How you going to save for later years? And how many of those CC
bought items will still be in use? Like the advertisements for refinancing
your home, and they guy says he took out $100K. Why? As to your article,
has a radical error in part if it. States the wealth went down 23% or so.
Most of that was in value of the house, and how much had the sales price of
the house inflated in the previous 8 year? I could say I lost $300,000 at
the of the housing bubble. My hose I paid $139k for 1979, went from $1.2mm
to $900k. I really lost nothing. Paper profits, and if I had sold at
$1.2mm, I would have had to shell out more for the same amount of house,
unless I moved to a lower cost area.

Califbill August 16th 14 08:43 PM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
True North wrote:
Buying a new car isn't so bad if it's something like a Toyota Corolla.
Payments would wouldn't be too much and you'd have the piece of mind that
they are in a reliable vehicle.


It can be a bad decision, no matter what the price and financing. He was
just offered a job. He did not have a job yet. And did he need a new car?
Forget about payments! I remember a few years ago, where someone here
said they only looked at the monthly payment amount on a boat. Not the
fact that it was a low end Bayliner and the financing was for 5 years. You
have to finance a $19,000 boat for 5 years, you can not afford to run the
boat. Is why my wife and I are very comfortable. We did not waste money.
I bought my boat in 1995, 4 years old, for $20k cash. I have put a new
engine in and 2 reprints on the boat over the years. But a new replacement
for my boat is about $80k. Save at least 10% of your money! and when you
have extra! save that also. When it comes retirement time, you can afford
more than rice and beans.

H*a*r*r*o*l*d August 16th 14 09:37 PM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
On 8/16/2014 12:28 PM, True North wrote:
Buying a new car isn't so bad if it's something like a Toyota Corolla.
Payments would wouldn't be too much and you'd have the piece of mind that they are in a reliable vehicle.

How much would be too much?

--
"I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the
government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of
taking care of them".
Thomas Jefferson

True North[_2_] August 17th 14 12:17 AM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
FloriduhFunnyMan says.....

". How much would be too much? "


For you...$ 1.68
For normal youngins' with a reasonable job, I'd guess a couple hundred a month.

amdx[_3_] August 17th 14 12:57 AM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
On 8/16/2014 2:43 PM, Califbill wrote:
True North wrote:
Buying a new car isn't so bad if it's something like a Toyota Corolla.
Payments would wouldn't be too much and you'd have the piece of mind that
they are in a reliable vehicle.


It can be a bad decision, no matter what the price and financing.


He was just offered a job.

Yep, with the state.

He did not have a job yet.


Well, the state said he was hired.

And did he need a new car?


Does anyone NEED a NEW car?


Forget about payments!


Yep,
In the last 20 years we have bought a 95 Camry for $6,500, a 97 Lexus
for $4,000 a 97 Toyota T-100 for $11,000, a 97 Chevy van for $8,000, and
a 2000 Avalon for $7,500. The Camry is sold, my son has the Lexus at
college, runs fine with 163k miles. The others have less than 100k
miles, the Avalon looks like new, and the T-100 is still a sharp truck.
The van is a work van in our business.
Never bought a new car, but my wife is sharp, she plans, she's patient
and persistent. She bought these cars at a good price, except for the
T-100 which was at a dealer, but we have our moneys worth, we have had
it 14 years, put 43k miles on it and it has 91k miles now. Should be
good for another 20 years. :-)
Oh and the point, we had the money saved before we bought the vehicle,
no payments.


I remember a few years ago, where someone here
said they only looked at the monthly payment amount on a boat. Not the
fact that it was a low end Bayliner and the financing was for 5 years. You
have to finance a $19,000 boat for 5 years, you can not afford to run the
boat. Is why my wife and I are very comfortable. We did not waste money.
I bought my boat in 1995, 4 years old, for $20k cash. I have put a new
engine in and 2 reprints on the boat over the years. But a new replacement
for my boat is about $80k. Save at least 10% of your money! and when you
have extra! save that also. When it comes retirement time, you can afford
more than rice and beans.

We can afford more than rice, but we eat it a lot, my wife is Asian.
Not so many beans.
We don't eat out very often, she uses coupons and stocks up on sales.
I'm sure we have more than 100 rolls of toilet paper and 100 rolls of
paper towel in stock.

Yes, people waste so much money, and never think about saving for
retirement. I have my daughter saving in a retirement fund at 21 yrs
old. At one time she said she wanted 2 million dollars by the time she
was 40. The two of them have a good income, if she can get him on board,
they could do it. He has an advantage working for the state, with a good
pension, plus retirement savings.

Anyway, hope this gets some young people thinking.
Mikek



Califbill August 17th 14 01:01 AM

Calculating S.S. benefit at 62 vs 66
 
True North wrote:
FloriduhFunnyMan says.....

". How much would be too much? "


For you...$ 1.68
For normal youngins' with a reasonable job, I'd guess a couple hundred a month.


What a bull**** statement! A couple hundred a month? How much would a new
starting Crown Corp. janitor make? How much is rent? Food? Insurance? Buy
a 2 year old Corolla, if you absolutely need a newer car. How much did it
cost you a year for cars the last couple years? How much did it cost to
own a Rav4 for a year or two? Then trade for a bigger car? How much is
registration on a new car? Here is $70 plus 2% of the nominal value. What
is registration in Canada? Where the kid bought the new car, without even
starting the job?


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