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#1
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![]() By MARTIN CRUTSINGER, AP Economics Writer1 hour, 37 minutes ago Consumers increased their spending at the weakest pace in six months while applications for unemployment benefits soared last week, two more signs the economy is weakening. The Commerce Department reported Thursday that consumer spending edged up just 0.2 percent in December — the year's peak shopping season — down sharply from a 1 percent gain in November. It was the weakest performance in this area since a similar 0.2 percent rise in June of last year. Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported that the number of laid off workers filing applications for unemployment benefits soared by 69,000 to 375,000. That was the highest level for jobless claims since the week of Oct. 8, 2005, when the economy was dealing with the disruptions caused by Hurricane Katrina and the other Gulf Coast hurricanes. The increase in jobless claims was more than triple what economists had been expecting although part of the increase was blamed on technical difficulties in adjusting the figures around the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. But private economists said they believed the figure was accurately pointing to a weakening in the job market that reflects the significant slowdown in the overall economy. Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. analyst at High Frequency Economics, said he believed the underlying level of jobless claims currently is around 350,000, an indication of a deteriorating labor market. The unemployment rate rose significantly in December, going up to 5 percent from 4.7 percent in November. That was the biggest one-month increase since the period immediately following the September 2001 terrorist attacks. The January unemployment figure will be reported on Friday. The weakening jobs market is keeping labor cost pressures contained. The Labor Department's Employment Cost Index posted a 0.8 percent rise in the final three months of last year. Wages and salaries were up 0.8 percent and benefit costs, which include health insurance and pensions, rose by 0.9 percent. The 0.2 percent rise in consumer spending looked even worse when price changes were removed. Inflation-adjusted spending did not increase at all last month, following a 0.4 percent rise in November and a 0.1 percent decline in October. The report on spending confirmed earlier reports by retailers that last year was the worst year for holiday spending in five years as consumers, worried about the economy and hit by tighter credit, a wave of home foreclosures and soaring energy prices, sharply reined in their shopping despite the best efforts of retailers to boost sales with discounted merchandise. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut a key interest rate by a half-point, the second large move in less than a week as the central bank signaled it was prepared to do whatever is needed to combat the weakening economy. The Senate is working to follow the lead of President Bush and the House in developing an economic stimulus package to speed rebate checks to millions of homes in an effort to prop up consumer spending and ward off a recession — or at least make it a short and mild downturn. The report on consumer spending showed that personal incomes rose by 0.5 percent in December, the best showing since a similar increase in September. An inflation gauge tied to spending that is closely watched by the Federal Reserve posted a 0.2 percent rise in December and left prices, excluding energy and food, up by 2.2 percent over the past 12 months, slightly higher than the 2 percent upper bound of the Fed's comfort zone. |
#2
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HK wrote:
By MARTIN CRUTSINGER, AP Economics Writer1 hour, 37 minutes ago Consumers increased their spending at the weakest pace in six months while applications for unemployment benefits soared last week, two more signs the economy is weakening. The Commerce Department reported Thursday that consumer spending edged up just 0.2 percent in December — the year's peak shopping season — down sharply from a 1 percent gain in November. It was the weakest Harry it is nice to see an article bring you so much joy. If you go down to the soup kitchens you will be ecstatic. I have never seen anyone get so much joy from the misfortunes of others. |
#3
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On Jan 31, 8:52 am, HK wrote:
By MARTIN CRUTSINGER, AP Economics Writer1 hour, 37 minutes ago Consumers increased their spending at the weakest pace in six months while applications for unemployment benefits soared last week, two more signs the economy is weakening. The Commerce Department reported Thursday that consumer spending edged up just 0.2 percent in December -- the year's peak shopping season -- down sharply from a 1 percent gain in November. It was the weakest performance in this area since a similar 0.2 percent rise in June of last year. Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported that the number of laid off workers filing applications for unemployment benefits soared by 69,000 to 375,000. That was the highest level for jobless claims since the week of Oct. 8, 2005, when the economy was dealing with the disruptions caused by Hurricane Katrina and the other Gulf Coast hurricanes. The increase in jobless claims was more than triple what economists had been expecting although part of the increase was blamed on technical difficulties in adjusting the figures around the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. But private economists said they believed the figure was accurately pointing to a weakening in the job market that reflects the significant slowdown in the overall economy. Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. analyst at High Frequency Economics, said he believed the underlying level of jobless claims currently is around 350,000, an indication of a deteriorating labor market. The unemployment rate rose significantly in December, going up to 5 percent from 4.7 percent in November. That was the biggest one-month increase since the period immediately following the September 2001 terrorist attacks. The January unemployment figure will be reported on Friday. The weakening jobs market is keeping labor cost pressures contained. The Labor Department's Employment Cost Index posted a 0.8 percent rise in the final three months of last year. Wages and salaries were up 0.8 percent and benefit costs, which include health insurance and pensions, rose by 0.9 percent. The 0.2 percent rise in consumer spending looked even worse when price changes were removed. Inflation-adjusted spending did not increase at all last month, following a 0.4 percent rise in November and a 0.1 percent decline in October. The report on spending confirmed earlier reports by retailers that last year was the worst year for holiday spending in five years as consumers, worried about the economy and hit by tighter credit, a wave of home foreclosures and soaring energy prices, sharply reined in their shopping despite the best efforts of retailers to boost sales with discounted merchandise. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut a key interest rate by a half-point, the second large move in less than a week as the central bank signaled it was prepared to do whatever is needed to combat the weakening economy. The Senate is working to follow the lead of President Bush and the House in developing an economic stimulus package to speed rebate checks to millions of homes in an effort to prop up consumer spending and ward off a recession -- or at least make it a short and mild downturn. The report on consumer spending showed that personal incomes rose by 0.5 percent in December, the best showing since a similar increase in September. An inflation gauge tied to spending that is closely watched by the Federal Reserve posted a 0.2 percent rise in December and left prices, excluding energy and food, up by 2.2 percent over the past 12 months, slightly higher than the 2 percent upper bound of the Fed's comfort zone. Unemployment is at 5%. That's not so good, but economists consider 3-4% "full employment" because there will always be a few people voluntarily quitting to find a new or better job. Looks like 1 or 2 people per hundred who really want to work can't find a job. That's not good, but it's not a national emergency or sufficient reason for everybody to vote for any particular political party. We're coming off a boom time. Indicators will appear negative as the economy swings back closer to "normal". There *are* fundamental problems that transcend a slowdown in consumer spending and a slight uptick in unemployment rates. There has been no fiscal restraint, of any kind or by either party, for the last seven years in Wash DC. If you want to crow "the sky is falling", at least look up, not in a mirror, as you do. Yeah, the little guy is reeling right now in some regards. For most families gasoline is a necessity, and many of those on a tight budget and a high percentage of the working poor are being forced to choose between gassing up the beater to get to work and adequately feeding and clothing their kids. Put a Democratic president in power and give him or her a 100% Democratic congress to work with and this still would not change. Nor would it change with the R's left in charge. If we as a society had the brains of a goose, we'd look at the energy mess we're in and realize that we got here by disregarding the warning signs for the last 20-30 years. We would then appreciate that the warnings about our skyrocketing deficits and national debt sound a lot like the warnings the "doomsayers" were issuing regarding energy not so long ago. Perhaps we should try to get our financial house in order before we become economic vassals of the Chinese. Removing George Bush from office, an event that will occur in less than a year, will not solve the problems you highlight. Nor will electing the other gang of thieves in his place. |
#4
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Chuck Gould wrote:
On Jan 31, 8:52 am, HK wrote: By MARTIN CRUTSINGER, AP Economics Writer1 hour, 37 minutes ago Consumers increased their spending at the weakest pace in six months while applications for unemployment benefits soared last week, two more signs the economy is weakening. The Commerce Department reported Thursday that consumer spending edged up just 0.2 percent in December -- the year's peak shopping season -- down sharply from a 1 percent gain in November. It was the weakest performance in this area since a similar 0.2 percent rise in June of last year. Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported that the number of laid off workers filing applications for unemployment benefits soared by 69,000 to 375,000. That was the highest level for jobless claims since the week of Oct. 8, 2005, when the economy was dealing with the disruptions caused by Hurricane Katrina and the other Gulf Coast hurricanes. The increase in jobless claims was more than triple what economists had been expecting although part of the increase was blamed on technical difficulties in adjusting the figures around the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. But private economists said they believed the figure was accurately pointing to a weakening in the job market that reflects the significant slowdown in the overall economy. Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. analyst at High Frequency Economics, said he believed the underlying level of jobless claims currently is around 350,000, an indication of a deteriorating labor market. The unemployment rate rose significantly in December, going up to 5 percent from 4.7 percent in November. That was the biggest one-month increase since the period immediately following the September 2001 terrorist attacks. The January unemployment figure will be reported on Friday. The weakening jobs market is keeping labor cost pressures contained. The Labor Department's Employment Cost Index posted a 0.8 percent rise in the final three months of last year. Wages and salaries were up 0.8 percent and benefit costs, which include health insurance and pensions, rose by 0.9 percent. The 0.2 percent rise in consumer spending looked even worse when price changes were removed. Inflation-adjusted spending did not increase at all last month, following a 0.4 percent rise in November and a 0.1 percent decline in October. The report on spending confirmed earlier reports by retailers that last year was the worst year for holiday spending in five years as consumers, worried about the economy and hit by tighter credit, a wave of home foreclosures and soaring energy prices, sharply reined in their shopping despite the best efforts of retailers to boost sales with discounted merchandise. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut a key interest rate by a half-point, the second large move in less than a week as the central bank signaled it was prepared to do whatever is needed to combat the weakening economy. The Senate is working to follow the lead of President Bush and the House in developing an economic stimulus package to speed rebate checks to millions of homes in an effort to prop up consumer spending and ward off a recession -- or at least make it a short and mild downturn. The report on consumer spending showed that personal incomes rose by 0.5 percent in December, the best showing since a similar increase in September. An inflation gauge tied to spending that is closely watched by the Federal Reserve posted a 0.2 percent rise in December and left prices, excluding energy and food, up by 2.2 percent over the past 12 months, slightly higher than the 2 percent upper bound of the Fed's comfort zone. Unemployment is at 5%. That's not so good, but economists consider 3-4% "full employment" because there will always be a few people voluntarily quitting to find a new or better job. Looks like 1 or 2 people per hundred who really want to work can't find a job. That's not good, but it's not a national emergency or sufficient reason for everybody to vote for any particular political party. We're coming off a boom time. Indicators will appear negative as the economy swings back closer to "normal". There *are* fundamental problems that transcend a slowdown in consumer spending and a slight uptick in unemployment rates. There has been no fiscal restraint, of any kind or by either party, for the last seven years in Wash DC. If you want to crow "the sky is falling", at least look up, not in a mirror, as you do. Yeah, the little guy is reeling right now in some regards. For most families gasoline is a necessity, and many of those on a tight budget and a high percentage of the working poor are being forced to choose between gassing up the beater to get to work and adequately feeding and clothing their kids. Put a Democratic president in power and give him or her a 100% Democratic congress to work with and this still would not change. Nor would it change with the R's left in charge. If we as a society had the brains of a goose, we'd look at the energy mess we're in and realize that we got here by disregarding the warning signs for the last 20-30 years. We would then appreciate that the warnings about our skyrocketing deficits and national debt sound a lot like the warnings the "doomsayers" were issuing regarding energy not so long ago. Perhaps we should try to get our financial house in order before we become economic vassals of the Chinese. Removing George Bush from office, an event that will occur in less than a year, will not solve the problems you highlight. Nor will electing the other gang of thieves in his place. I think the Democrats will at least work on the problems, and not stand up behind a podium as Bush does at the White House and feed us the same pollyannish b.s. you are pumping out here. The unemployment figure is far higher than 5%. Surely you know why. Apparently to you it matters not who is running the government so long as the rich folks in Seattle buy big boats. |
#5
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On Jan 31, 9:26�am, HK wrote:
Apparently to you it matters not who is running the government so long as the rich folks in Seattle buy big boats. Close. It makes *no difference* which party controls the government, the misfeasance and malfeance will run rampant. The American public will be politically emasculated as we are encouraged by the politicos to spend our energies fighting among ourselves. We're so busy shilling for our particular red or blue masters that we fail to hold them accountable. How many times will we be fooled into believing that all of our problems will be solved if we just switch the party in power? (Perhaps infinitely). And the boat business is cyclical. Like the rest of the economy. Always has been and always will be, regardless which gang of thieves rules in Washington DC. It's wonderful that big boats are selling well, but it has nothing to do with who is in office. The economic chickens are likely headed home to roost, and soon. When they do, our time will be better spent figuring out how to right the economic ship of state than trying to figure out what portion of the blame belongs to the D's and what portion to the R's. The D's won't fix it, they helped cause it. The R's won't fix it, they had a chance for six years and instead of instilling some fiscal discipline went on a record breaking spending spree that increased the national debt by almost 50%. Neither party has any creds in this case. A pox on both. |
#6
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Chuck Gould wrote:
On Jan 31, 9:26�am, HK wrote: Apparently to you it matters not who is running the government so long as the rich folks in Seattle buy big boats. Close. It makes *no difference* which party controls the government, the misfeasance and malfeance will run rampant.\ Ahh, well, some of us feel differently. Perhaps you should run for office as an indy and lay out for us in detail what you have in mind to fix the system. |
#7
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On Thu, 31 Jan 2008 09:43:54 -0800 (PST), Chuck Gould
wrote: Neither party has any creds in this case. A pox on both. Absolutely right. The only difference is which set of special interest groups are catered to. The only thing likely to affect me personally is that the democrats may have a better chance of restoring normal relations with Cuba. [on topic] That would open up vast new cruising opportunities here in south Florida. |
#8
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On Thu, 31 Jan 2008 13:45:32 -0500, Wayne.B
wrote: On Thu, 31 Jan 2008 09:43:54 -0800 (PST), Chuck Gould wrote: Neither party has any creds in this case. A pox on both. Absolutely right. The only difference is which set of special interest groups are catered to. The only thing likely to affect me personally is that the democrats may have a better chance of restoring normal relations with Cuba. [on topic] That would open up vast new cruising opportunities here in south Florida. Damn straight. Instead of having to travel through Canada to get to Cuba for good bone fishing, I could fly directly there. Or travel across the Straights. And I wouldn't have to get my cigars from clandestine sources. :) Which only goes to show you - there is a silver lining in every disaster. :) |
#9
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John wrote:
"Chuck Gould" wrote in message Removing George Bush from office, an event that will occur in less than a year, will not solve the problems you highlight. Nor will electing the other gang of thieves in his place. maybe maybe not - depends on how much credibility you put on the historical record. our national debt is 9 trillion dollars Republicans since 1982 can be blamed for 7 trillion of that, democrats only 2 trillion. So I guess if you do not put much significance on national debt - then you are correct there is no difference! Do you understand compound interest? |
#10
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Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Damn straight. Instead of having to travel through Canada to get to Cuba for good bone fishing, I could fly directly there. Or travel across the Straights. And I wouldn't have to get my cigars from clandestine sources. :) You just need to put the box in your daughter's Hello Kitty backpack as you go through customs. But, the transportation costs will kill you. Which only goes to show you - there is a silver lining in every disaster. :) |
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