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Remember, I'm not one of the doom-n-gloomers predicting the
end of civilization. I *do* think that the era of cheap energy is over (until we develop fusion). Unfortunately that also means that the era of ever-cheaper transport is over. Wayne.B wrote: Not necessarily in my opinion. Two things need to happen: 1. New/better/cheaper ways of making electricity, e.g., fusion, solar, tidal, wind, whatever. 2. New/better battery technology with lighter weight, faster recharge and longer cycle life. Primarily lighter. These guys appear to be really on to something new with batteries: http://www.altairnano.com/markets_amps.html Impressive. I don't know half of what their talking about though. Must be pretty cool! Since I've become a significant stockholder recently, let's hope it works out. I was on a conference call with senior management a week ago and was impressed with their expertise and business plan. I'd love to beta test some of those batteries on the boat but fat chance. :-) Looks pretty good BUT if their graph is accurate, their batteries pack almost 1/6 as much energy per pound as gasoline. That means you'd have to settle for 1/6the range or about 1/12 the speed or about 1/144 the acceleration of a normal car, if powered by one of these batteries. Therein lies the grim tale of non-fossil fuel vehicles. For stationary power (or very slow moving power), no prob. If you want speed & accelration, you gotta have lightness. Shucks, *coal* still packs about 3x the power per pound as these new nanotech batteries! Now let's talk about dollars per watt per kilogram, and you'll see that petro fuels will have to climb a long way before these things become viable as a commercial power source for vehicles. But hey, I can think of a gazillion other uses for them! DSK |
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