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Emily to visit the Yucatan Peninsula
Today's Discussion
Today's Discussion POSTED: July 17, 2005 2:06 p.m. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE, INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES, THEN WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO CAMPECHE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA. As of 1:00 p.m. CDT Sunday, Hurricane Emily was centered at 19.0 north and 84.4 west, or about 195 miles east-southeast of Cozumel, Mexico. This is also about 200 miles west of Grand Cayman. The minimum central pressure was estimated at 948 millibars (27.99 inches). Maximum sustained winds have dropped off to around 145 mph, with higher gusts. Emily is moving off to the west-northwest at 20 mph. While there will be some fluctuation in intensity as Emily approaches the Yucatan, the storm will largely be in a favorable environment until landfall near Cozumel tonight. Average surface pressures in the area remain low, and water temperatures remain high. Worsening conditions are expected across the Yucatan Peninsula this afternoon into early tonight as Emily approaches, with bands of rain and winds increasing to hurricane strength, causing damage. In addition, a destructive storm surge and large waves will impact the Mexican coast into tonight, especially near and just north of the location where Emily makes landfall. Emily will likely pose a threat to the northern or central Mexican coast Tuesday of next week. The prospect of Emily making a direct hit on south Texas still exists, although the best chance seems to be south of Brownsville, in Mexico. A landfall north of the Rio Grande River cannot be completely ruled out. Even as Emily moves across the western Caribbean and Yucatan peninsula, the hurricane will generate large swells in the Gulf of Mexico. Due to the severe erosion of beaches and dune loss from recent storms, a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued through Monday night from Dauphin Island, Alabama eastward to Destin, Florida. Tide levels are expected to run up to 4 feet above normal and this could result in some coastal flooding along the Alabama and northwest Florida coasts. Some additional beach erosion can also occur along the beaches in Alabama and the Florida panhandle. In addition, people venturing to area beaches throughout the Gulf of Mexico should be on alert for an increased threat of rip currents until Emily makes a final landfall. There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic and all were moving west at around 20 mph. One was along 28 west, south of 18 north, although much of the convection with this wave has dissipated for the time being. A second wave was near 46 west, south of 19 north. There is some cyclonic rotation with this wave. A third wave was near 59 west, 20 north and was associated with some thunderstorm activity; however, upper level winds are not favorable for further development at this time. |
#2
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Harry,
Many people who keep their boats in the water, are always interested in the tropical depression and hurricane's path. "HarryKrause" wrote in message ... Real Name wrote: You're posting the weather? Bite me, asshole! -- Let's pray the United States survives the rest of Bush's term. |
#3
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Harry,
You seem to be upset about something. Would you like to discuss it? "HarryKrause" wrote in message ... Real Name wrote: Harry, Many people who keep their boats in the water, are always interested in the tropical depression and hurricane's path. Anyone with a boat in hurricaneville who logs in here and doesn't know enough to check the weather and take appropriate measures deserves to lose his boat. Now: Bite me, asshole! -- Let's pray the United States survives the rest of Bush's term. |
#4
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"Real Name" wrote in message ... Harry, You seem to be upset about something. Would you like to discuss it? "HarryKrause" wrote in message ... Real Name wrote: Harry, Many people who keep their boats in the water, are always interested in the tropical depression and hurricane's path. Anyone with a boat in hurricaneville who logs in here and doesn't know enough to check the weather and take appropriate measures deserves to lose his boat. Now: Bite me, asshole! -- Let's pray the United States survives the rest of Bush's term. Krause is upset that you posted something on topic. He had a hard time understanding that a recent post I made about the US Coast Guard and their aging fleet of boat had anything to do with boating....imagine that. ;-) The man needs help. He recently admitted to being diagnosed as having a mental disorder....we can only now hope he seeks help for it. |
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