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China is an oil importer! They require oil to supply the factories that
produce all that made in China stuff. Is why they bid an extremely high price for Unocal Oil. 1% if Unocal's oil reserves are US based, the other 99% are in Asia. Now tell me why oil is increasing because of Bush and not the old supply and demand curve? We and China have fairly strong economies. And add India to the mix. wrote in message oups.com... *JimH* wrote: wrote in message oups.com... That's: Bad for Bush Bad for the US Bad for boating. :-( I agree. And what exactly did Bush have to do with this? Here you go Jim: Don't Blame OPEC; Higher Gas Prices Are Almost Entirely Bush's Fault Dave Lindorff, ILCA Associate Member What is making oil so expensive is not energy policy or even SUV's, dangerous as those are for the environment. It's Bush's massive deficits and his willful destruction of the US dollar that has gas selling at $2.30 a gallon and rising. There's been a lot of hand-wringing going on among economists and politicians, and a lot of fuming at the gas pump by consumers over the soaring price of oil over the last two years. Increasingly, concern is being expressed by treasury officials and economists about the negative impact soaring oil prices and related gas prices could have on the overall economy. Politicians--especially Republicans--are also fretting, since the thousands of extra dollars consumers are now spending on electricity, home heating and gasoline have, for all but the wealthiest taxpayers, more than cancelled out any minimal benefits they saw from the president's tax cuts. What's wrong with this picture? The focus of all this anger and angst is oil prices. As a result, everyone is looking at culprits in the wrong place, blaming wasteful energy use, OPEC production quotas, monopolistic oil companies and/or conniving oil traders. In fact the real culprit behind these higher oil prices is the Bush Administration, which, thanks to its massive deficits and tax give-aways to the rich and corporations, to its war spending, and to its failure to combat unprecedented and ever-larger trade deficits, has been causing the dollar to plunge in value. Oil is a commodity and it is priced in dollars. If dollars decline in value, then the price of oil will rise in inverse proportion. One need only look at Europe to see what this means. Over the period from February 1, 2003, just before the start of the Iraq War, when oil prices began to rise in earnest, to Feb. 1, 2005, the price of a barrel of oil in dollars rose about 30 percent, from $30.13 a barrel to $42.91 a barrel. But over that same period of time, the Euro, Europe's new combined currency, rose 21 percent against the U.S. dollar, from .93 Euros to the dollar in February, 2003 to just .77 to the U.S. dollar in February, 2005. For Europeans, then, the net rise in oil prices over the two years of the Iraq War has been just 9 percent, or less than 5 percent per year--hardly the kind of energy inflation that would cause economic problems. And this situation is likely to get only worse. Some Wall Street oil industry analysts are now predicting that oil could, before too long, hit $100 a barrel. What they are saying really is that the dollar is likely to fall in value by 50 percent. Should that happen, though, the OPEC states would likely at some point along the way decide that it is ridiculous for them to continue pricing oil in dollars, since the piles of dollars filling their bank vaults will be losing value faster than their oil wells are being drained. At some point, the oil producing states, including Russia and Norway, will inevitably switch to pricing their oil in a basket of currencies--a basket that would prominently feature the Euro and probably the Japanese Yen. At that point there would be little left to prop up the dollar, and it could end up becoming little better than a Third World currency. |
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#2
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Bill McKee wrote:
China is an oil importer! They require oil to supply the factories that produce all that made in China stuff. Is why they bid an extremely high price for Unocal Oil. 1% if Unocal's oil reserves are US based, the other 99% are in Asia. Now tell me why oil is increasing because of Bush and not the old supply and demand curve? We and China have fairly strong economies. And add India to the mix. wrote in message oups.com... *JimH* wrote: wrote in message egroups.com... That's: Bad for Bush Bad for the US Bad for boating. :-( I agree. And what exactly did Bush have to do with this? Here you go Jim: Don't Blame OPEC; Higher Gas Prices Are Almost Entirely Bush's Fault Dave Lindorff, ILCA Associate Member What is making oil so expensive is not energy policy or even SUV's, dangerous as those are for the environment. It's Bush's massive deficits and his willful destruction of the US dollar that has gas selling at $2.30 a gallon and rising. There's been a lot of hand-wringing going on among economists and politicians, and a lot of fuming at the gas pump by consumers over the soaring price of oil over the last two years. Increasingly, concern is being expressed by treasury officials and economists about the negative impact soaring oil prices and related gas prices could have on the overall economy. Politicians--especially Republicans--are also fretting, since the thousands of extra dollars consumers are now spending on electricity, home heating and gasoline have, for all but the wealthiest taxpayers, more than cancelled out any minimal benefits they saw from the president's tax cuts. What's wrong with this picture? The focus of all this anger and angst is oil prices. As a result, everyone is looking at culprits in the wrong place, blaming wasteful energy use, OPEC production quotas, monopolistic oil companies and/or conniving oil traders. In fact the real culprit behind these higher oil prices is the Bush Administration, which, thanks to its massive deficits and tax give-aways to the rich and corporations, to its war spending, and to its failure to combat unprecedented and ever-larger trade deficits, has been causing the dollar to plunge in value. Oil is a commodity and it is priced in dollars. If dollars decline in value, then the price of oil will rise in inverse proportion. One need only look at Europe to see what this means. Over the period from February 1, 2003, just before the start of the Iraq War, when oil prices began to rise in earnest, to Feb. 1, 2005, the price of a barrel of oil in dollars rose about 30 percent, from $30.13 a barrel to $42.91 a barrel. But over that same period of time, the Euro, Europe's new combined currency, rose 21 percent against the U.S. dollar, from .93 Euros to the dollar in February, 2003 to just .77 to the U.S. dollar in February, 2005. For Europeans, then, the net rise in oil prices over the two years of the Iraq War has been just 9 percent, or less than 5 percent per year--hardly the kind of energy inflation that would cause economic problems. And this situation is likely to get only worse. Some Wall Street oil industry analysts are now predicting that oil could, before too long, hit $100 a barrel. What they are saying really is that the dollar is likely to fall in value by 50 percent. Should that happen, though, the OPEC states would likely at some point along the way decide that it is ridiculous for them to continue pricing oil in dollars, since the piles of dollars filling their bank vaults will be losing value faster than their oil wells are being drained. At some point, the oil producing states, including Russia and Norway, will inevitably switch to pricing their oil in a basket of currencies--a basket that would prominently feature the Euro and probably the Japanese Yen. At that point there would be little left to prop up the dollar, and it could end up becoming little better than a Third World currency. And that is Bush's fault? The policy of spreading the wealth around means Americans must accept a lower standard of living, a sustainable one, so others can come closer to a level that would seem equitable. No one would dare to suggest that some country's leaders can see the worldwide inequities and concocted a strategy to equalise them, bringing security and peace by forcing us to accept equality in lifestyle for the masses, if not the few super rich. It has only been a hundred years since most people lived on farms with no running water, don't forget. The present situation is a runaway future shock bubble of stupendous growth in every area, amazing improvements for a small percentage of the totality on earth, stupor and stagnation for many. The rich will give to the poor, but perhaps not willingly. The rich will be taxed and the poor will be subsidised. Manipulating the price of oil might just be one link in a chain. I have believed for years that the oil patch guys want the price higher, but could not decide what their reason might really be. They don't care about the money, they are not merely a little bit rich, don't forget. It comes down to a man's legacy. What use is it to be the richest dead guy in the cemetary? If only it really goes that way, instead of some rich *******s getting richer by screwing the poorest and weakest and most defensless again. I thought many years ago that we rich (in relative worldwide terms) would learn to accept a little less if the poor might have a little less stolen from them to subsidize us. Is the only way to coerce altruism from the selfish rich majority in a relatively rich country a de facto clandestine conspiracy to fleece we who do not consider ourselves rich, so as to pull us down and the poor up a little? How would you try to accomplish this, if you had the levers of power? ---part two------ So now oil is headed for 100/bbl? Will oil sands investment finally get to where it should be? The sands contain 1/3 of the world's oil reserves, and there is plenty, but has been uneconomical, they said, until it gets to er, excuse me, but this is the truth...35/bbl. Will then one or two surprise new oil refineries cause the prices to crash and all that investment dissapear? Where does money like that disappear to? Impatience? Is that price a spot price for the best crude on a specific witchey date governed by puts and options and hedges and quarterly balance sheets? What does it really cost to pull a bbl of oil up the hole? 2 bucks? One? Does it depend on how many guards you must pay to stand near the pipeline? Think, dammit! Terry K Publish! |
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