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"DSK" wrote in message .. . Jeff Rigby wrote: DSK, the difference in our viewpoints seem illogical. Only because you reject fact & logic. ... As far as foreign "affairs" and our President you are a pessimist and distrust our motives but where the US treasury is concerned you seem to be an optimist. I'm the opposite, I trust the executive branch and distrust the Congress/Treasury That's because the Treasury is run by people with some sense, they have kept the US money thing going for 200+ years now, without starting any wars under false pretenses. The following site explains better than I can my feelings on the ability of the Federal government to repay the 1.7 trillion dollars to the SS account. See: http://www.federalbudget.com/SSdebate.html Considering that their opening statements are nonsense & lies, no wonder you have such an attitude. Notice however that they stop short of claiming that U.S. Treasury bonds are worthless. I suggest you look at FACTs not right-wing blather. DSK Yes, the opening statement is a scare tactic to force you to read the rest of the article. But I think you agree with the thrust of the arguments on that link. Which is that the federal government needs to balance the budget. |
Jeff Rigby wrote:
Yes, the opening statement is a scare tactic to force you to read the rest of the article. ??? What you're saying is, you trust & believe & agree with people whom you *know* are lying to you. That includes President Bush & Vice President Cheney? ... But I think you agree with the thrust of the arguments on that link. Which is that the federal government needs to balance the budget. Sure. That would be true in almost all cases no matter who was President. But it has very little to do with the current hoopla about Social Security. DSK |
Kubez wrote:
Familiar with "Economics In One Lesson"? No, but I think I can safely say I'm relatively familiar with economics, at least up through the undergrad level. ... Arbitrary, non-market-driven expenditure does NOT increase velocity. Really? You'd think that any random added expenditure would have at least a random chance of increasing velocity. And any increase in buying adds to aggregate demand, at least incrementally. In any event, as a historical average, federal spending adds money to the national economy 7:1. Of course it goes up and down at the margins, one possible reason why the Bush/Cheney super-spend-a-thon hasn't perked up the economy is that we are already at the flattened top part of that curve, which wouldn't be their fault. Another possible explanation, which I tend to give more credit to, is that their added spending (especially the Iraq war spending) is simply funneling money into the coffers of politically favored interests that do not have many inputs to the US national economy. And why is state & local taxes part of the U.S. Treasury issue? Kubez wrote: Come back when you understand the concept of "unfunded mandates" and we MAY let you back in our reindeer games.... Hmm... you mean like the 'No Child Left Behind' unfunded mandate? Or the voting reform unfunded mandate? Various security & police unfunded mandates? Maybe I don't understand the concept, please explain... ... currently more than 20% of the federal budget outlay is for debt repayment... this level of debt is already painful, at what point does it become crippling? When the Asians refuse to purchase any more of it. What we need to do is expand Social Security so the trust fund can buy more Treasuries... oh wait, does that bring us back full circle? Actually, getting back to the original subject: it has never been explained why it would be better to increase the deficit in order to take Social Security money out of Treasuries and put it into the stock market... especially when it has never been so much as hinted that the stocks chosen won't be selected on a political basis. How about a nice block of Enron? The whole thing reeks of a kickback scheme. President Bush keeps saying "it's your money" so instead of this complex plan, why doesn't he simply let us keep more of it and do with it what we think best? As for the complaints about "no money" in the Social Security Trust Fund, this is rather inconsistent with the publicly stated goal of trying to achieve higher returns. Should the SSA bury the money in mason jars in the back yard, so that there will actually be real money instead of worthless pieces of paper? Maybe put it in Krugerrands? And why are stocks not "worthless pieces of paper," they are not even an IOU. So much to explain, so little attempt being made to make sense of it all. Maybe at the next stop, somebody good will get on ;) www.lp.org As I've said, I don't see the Libertarian Party as a viable alternative. We have a number of Libertarians on local bodies, they seem fairly rational & sensible until they start talking about abolishing public schools & putting toll booths on local roads. Whose idea of "progress" is that? Regards Doug King |
Kubez wrote:
Familiar with "Economics In One Lesson"? Written by Henry Hazlitt. Classic. The example he uses is the claim that breaking a window is "good" for the economy because repairing the window creates economic activity (the manufacture of the replacement glass as well as the job of the individual who performs the repair). Hazlitt easily bursts that bubble by demonstrating that no value has been added to the society through such an exercise - the window is the same as it was before, yet resources (the glass and the repairman) have been expended, therefore wasted. Agreed, to a large extent (more below) Really? You'd think that any random added expenditure would have at least a random chance of increasing velocity. And any increase in buying adds to aggregate demand, at least incrementally. Kubez wrote: But as explained above, spending money just to spend money adds no VALUE. True, but VALUE isn't the same as demand. Because you need a new window, demand for windows has gone up. Because you gave the window-fixer some money that he wouldn't have otherwise had, he can now go out and buy something with it that he otherwise would not have, and a third nebulous party has more money to spend, etc etc. This is how velocity of money works. It profoundly affects the money supply, which of course profoundly affects supply & demand. Working out the math of income velocity & supply velocity is what won Milton Friedman the Nobel Prize. Think tax accountants: billions of dollars spent and millions of hours logged, but no VALUE in the form of a tangible good (a pencil, a grapefruit, a sewing machine) or intangible benefit (relaxation from a massage, enjoyment from a musician's performance) is added to society. I disagree strongly. There is TANGIBLE benefit to both individuals and to society at large. The individual gains the service of knowing that his taxes are paid, of quantifying his income & securely identifying it's sources, and even getting some fiscal advice from the accountant. The benefit to society is greater assurance that the tax burden is being distributed in a lawful way (and a way presumably approved by that society). You have a very narrow idea of what constitutes benefit. Haven't you heard that we live in the Information Age? Knowledge is power, and data is wealth. President Bush keeps saying "it's your money" so instead of this complex plan, why doesn't he simply let us keep more of it and do with it what we think best? Ask the AARP or any other of a thousand groups who want more spending and more taxes and more spending and more taxes. Sure. Bread and circuses... a big part of the problem is that nobody ever goes to Congress & demands that they spend LESS money on problem X. However, I'm addressing the specific things that President Bush has done to make the situation worse. DSK |
The Vice President wrote: On Wed, 15 Jun 2005, Kubez wrote: Right, the president. Get a real life jackoff. If it isn't about boats, don't post it here. Harold -=- Hmm, that's odd...I've NEVER seen a post here by you, about boats.... |
"DSK" wrote in message ... Jeff Rigby wrote: Yes, the opening statement is a scare tactic to force you to read the rest of the article. ??? What you're saying is, you trust & believe & agree with people whom you *know* are lying to you. That includes President Bush & Vice President Cheney? ... But I think you agree with the thrust of the arguments on that link. Which is that the federal government needs to balance the budget. Sure. That would be true in almost all cases no matter who was President. But it has very little to do with the current hoopla about Social Security. DSK The "hoopla" is about money and the congress and it's ability to spend it. Take 50 billion out of an already over inflated budget and there will be SOME pressure to not spend some of that on other pet projects. Who does Bush's proposal benefit, not the federal government because they (congress) can't get their hands on it. So what if it's designed to provide a hedge for those of us that are going to have their SS benefits cut by 27%. What private individual holds 100% of their retirement money in treasury bonds? Since you feel that they are such a good investment, what percentage of your retirement is in bonds? Since I know from your responses that you are a smart guy, I'd suspect that less than 20% and then only when you have achieved most of your retirement goals. Maybe I'm naive but I do believe in spreading my investments around in different areas of the economy. If I had enough I'd be investing outside the US as well. AND hiding some of my money so that in the eventuality that the government gets greedy they can't find it (typically hidden money never grows). The point we should have been making is that only a fool or someone with a hidden agenda would insist that ALL the funds were in T bills. |
... VALUE isn't the same as demand. Because you need a new
window, demand for windows has gone up. Because you gave the window-fixer some money that he wouldn't have otherwise had, he can now go out and buy something with it that he otherwise would not have, and a third nebulous party has more money to spend, etc etc. Kubez wrote: But as demand for windows and window-installers goes up, so does the PRICE of windows and window installers, which then brings demand back down. Really? Break one window and a new glass/glazing company opens up in town? Maybe right across the street from you, huh? Basically, you want to play games below the sophomore level. Rarely works in the real world, and rapidly becomes unsatisfying as an "intellectual game" for anybody with a tad more larnin'. Milton Friedman is the LAST economist one should cite when advocating increased government expenditures as a means to stimulate the economy. Well, maybe other than his son ;-) Why, because in his dotage he has veered into fascist politics? Actually, Dr. Friedman has said a number of things that go strongly against Bush/Cheney policies, but they tend to tiptoe around that. As a libertarian who defines taxation as the intersection of slavery and theft, ANY labor devoted to that cause - ESPECIALLY the countless hours wasted deciphering the byzantine obfuscation known as the IRS Code - is considered without benefit. So in other words, you're comfortable ignoring reality because of your dogma? Maybe you can get a seat with the Hate-Clinton Circle Jerk bunch. You'd have to dumb down your talk a bit, but your attitude would fit right in. DSK |
... But I think you agree with the thrust of the arguments on that link.
Which is that the federal government needs to balance the budget. Sure. That would be true in almost all cases no matter who was President. But it has very little to do with the current hoopla about Social Security. Jeff Rigby wrote: The "hoopla" is about money and the congress and it's ability to spend it. And about a plan to change Social Security so that it goes bust sooner, increases the deficit, and increases risk for those depending on SS benefits. And the gain is... what, exactly? I have my theories, but I'd like to hear a little more from the pro-Bush/Cheney camp on the subject. Take 50 billion out of an already over inflated budget and there will be SOME pressure to not spend some of that on other pet projects. Not really. You're presuming that Congress has some degree of shame & culpability, whereas the political lessons of the last decade have been the opposite. ... Who does Bush's proposal benefit 1- Wall St firms with whom the money is invested 2- political campaigns who will receive increased donation from #1 above 3- *some* (but certainly not all, and possibly very few) SS recipients who gain increased benefits, years down the road. Please note that #3 above could be achieved more simply & directly by a lot of different methods. Therefor I conclude the real goal is #1 & #2... as stated by Vice President Cheney's office months and months ago, before they got their spin hats on straight. ... So what if it's designed to provide a hedge for those of us that are going to have their SS benefits cut by 27%. Where did you get that number? It is inevitable that SS benefits will be cut. "Kubez" despite being hobbled by dogma, hit the nail on the head... subsequent generations of lesser numbers cannot support the Baby Boomers in retirement. What private individual holds 100% of their retirement money in treasury bonds? Very few if any. ... Since you feel that they are such a good investment I never said they were "such a good investment," I said (with 100% truth and accuracy) that they are THE MOST **SECURE** investment. Secure secure secure, rhymes with "security." Somebody give me a bigger hammer, I think I can almost hammer this point home. ... what percentage of your retirement is in bonds? Corporate bonds, tax-free munis, or Treasuries? They're not all the same thing, you know. ... Since I know from your responses that you are a smart guy, I'd suspect that less than 20% and then only when you have achieved most of your retirement goals. I'm a rather conservative investor, having gone through the 1970s bear market, the 1987 crash, and the Dot-Bomb bust. I've kept approximately 25% of my portfolio in bonds, mostly hi-yield corporate (rated BBB or better) and tax-frees. Maybe I'm naive but I do believe in spreading my investments around in different areas of the economy. If I had enough I'd be investing outside the US as well. Are you trying to say you'd like to diversify? It's a good idea. And it doesn't take much money, look into one of the many no-load foreign exchange index funds. ... AND hiding some of my money so that in the eventuality that the government gets greedy they can't find it (typically hidden money never grows). Better hide it from the black helicopters too. The point we should have been making is that only a fool or someone with a hidden agenda would insist that ALL the funds were in T bills. Or someone who is mandated to provide the most security possible, without showing any political favoritism, while providing a higher-than-savings-account return on custodial funds. DSK |
Rarely works in the real world, and rapidly becomes unsatisfying as an
"intellectual game" for anybody with a tad more larnin'. Kubez wrote: Since you haven't heard of "Economics In One Lesson", I wouldn't brag about the amount of larnin' you've had. Uh huh. Somehow, claiming "Economics In One Lesson" trumps basic economic principles taught in freshman macro-econ, and then claiming that this makes you smarter, doesn't get very far up that hill. Milton Friedman is the LAST economist one should cite when advocating increased government expenditures as a means to stimulate the economy. Well, maybe other than his son ;-) Why, because in his dotage he has veered into fascist politics? I was referring to "The Machinery Of Freedom", no doubt another tome you've never heard of. Got it on my bookshelf right next to "Das Kapital." Political tub-thumpery disguised as economic preaching doesn't trump well-known and long-proven economic principles, either. Actually, Dr. Friedman has said a number of things that go strongly against Bush/Cheney policies, but they tend to tiptoe around that. I don't believe I've posted a single word in favor of a Bush/Cheney budget. Did I say you had? You seem to be unwilling to admit facts contrary to your dogma... if you have to throw out reality in order to fit your theory, then your theory isn't going to work very well in reality, either. You sound like a plantation owner patronizing an abolitionist, circa 1840. ??? DSK |
"Kubez" wrote in message ... DSK wrote in : Rarely works in the real world, and rapidly becomes unsatisfying as an "intellectual game" for anybody with a tad more larnin'. Kubez wrote: Since you haven't heard of "Economics In One Lesson", I wouldn't brag about the amount of larnin' you've had. Uh huh. Somehow, claiming "Economics In One Lesson" trumps basic economic principles taught in freshman macro-econ, and then claiming that this makes you smarter, doesn't get very far up that hill. I figured that was the extent of your vaunted "larnin'" - I was just biding my time 'til you admitted it. But as someone who actually *buys* the Keynesian government-spending-is- manna-from-heaven claptrap that's forcefed to 300 hungover 18-year-olds at 8AM M-W-F, you should be *praising* Bush/Cheney's deficit spending spree. That is why liebrals are such great hypocrites. |
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