In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Global Warming Is Expected to Raise Hurricane Intensity
By ANDREW C. REVKIN

Published: September 30, 2004


Global warming is likely to produce a significant increase in the intensity
and rainfall of hurricanes in coming decades, according to the most
comprehensive computer analysis done so far.

Hilarious.

By the 2080's, seas warmed by rising atmospheric concentrations of heat-
trapping greenhouse gases could cause a typical hurricane to intensify
about an extra half step on the five-step scale of destructive power, says
the study, done on supercomputers at the Commerce Department's Geophysical
Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton, N.J. And rainfall up to 60 miles
from the core would be nearly 20 percent more intense.

Note the logical problem with this.

There is no consensus over whether global warming IS EVEN HAPPENING, and
further, there is a problem with distribution of the warming - which
interestingly enough, according to the EVIDENCE we have, is not being
distributed where such a study needs it to for this to happen.

Indeed, the "evidence" is completely missing for such a postulate.

The truth, Harry, as I'm sure you are aware of, is that there are cycles in
both hurricane activity and global climate. They're NORMAL, and caused by
environmental factors that are outside the scope of man's control.

For instance, Mt. St. Helens appears ready to belch a bunch of material into
the atmosphere. That will produce global COOLING if it happens, since that
material will prevent sunlight from reaching the ground.

Indeed, if you look at the normal cycles over time, you will find strong
correlations between global temperatures and volcanic activity. Gee, that's
curious - NOT!

There is a roughly 30 year cycle in hurricane activity historically, and a
few-hundred-year cycle in SSTs (again, historically).

To make the case for global warming, you must not just show that warming is
occurring - you have to show that it exceeds that which can be attributed to
these NORMAL cycles in climate - which has simply not been done.

--
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Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
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