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On Fri, 01 Oct 2004 07:21:28 -0400, Harry Krause
wrote: Global Warming Is Expected to Raise Hurricane Intensity While that may or may not be true, it hasn't been happening yet. Even this year, which seems so bad, is hardly out of the ordinary wrt the total number and strength of hurricanes. All that's happened is that Florida has been unlucky enough to get 4 of them. As you can see from http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/deadly/Table5.htm the total number hurricanes as well as of major hurricanes to hit the US has trended down since the first half of the century and will probably be trending up again because of the hurricane cycle that's been observed since the 1800's. See http://www.usatoday.com/weather/hurr...icanes-amm.htm So when the hurricane cycle does start trending up, of course everyone's going to conclude it's due to global warming. But it will be at least another half century before we know whether that's true or not. Steve |
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