"thunder" wrote in message
...
On Mon, 06 Sep 2004 19:10:20 -0400, NOYB wrote:


According to Chris Bowers (the author of that site you just listed),
Harris, Pew and NAES polls from earlier this year show that more people
consider themselves Democrat than Republican. He then tries to
extrapolate the data to reach the conclusion that Bush leads by only
5.6%
rather than the 10 or 11 points shown in the Times and Newsweek polls.
What a crock!

Rasmussen agrees that Bush leads by 4-5 points, not double digits. If the
Time and Newsweek polls were accurate, other polls will start to show
similar results. Time will tell.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Poll...20Sept%206.htm

The Gallup/CNN/USA Today poll splits the difference. It shows a 7 point
lead for Bush among likely voters. Rasmussen may agree that Bush leads by
4-5 points, but his current poll shows just a one point lead. He blames the
discrepancy on an anomaly in the polling data from last Saturday where Kerry
was actually leading. He throws that poll out, and comes to the conclusion
that Bush leads by 4-5 points. Absurd! It sounds to me like Rasmussen
needs to get his act together. When 3 of the four major polls (Gallup,
Time, Newsweek) come out showing Bush with an average lead of 9.33%, and
Rasmussen shows a 1 point lead, then that doesn't speak very highly of the
accuracy of his polls.