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#52
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 07:45:37 -0400, John wrote:
On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 20:57:02 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:33:55 -0400, John wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:20:55 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 08:34:56 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/11/2020 9:57 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 15:23:13 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/11/20 1:32 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 09:29:26 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/10/20 9:42 PM, wrote: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...ature=youtu.be Fauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn out to be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Oh, so you think Fauci is as intellectually full of **** as you are, eh? He certainly seem to be very flexible in what he believes is true. The "facts" seem to change daily and mostly toward the idea that this was a lot of hysterical hype. The CDC and NIH guidelines are letters in the sand that disappear at every tide change ... IOW about twice a day. Indeed, Fauci is a scientist who absorbs new data and evaluates it. Science seldom supports an estimate that changes by a factor of 3600% in 2 weeks. (2.2 million to 60,000) . It also seems pretty unlikely that science makes the leap from "A home made face mask is useless" to recommending them for anyone in public. Those are politically knee jerks, not science. Nobody wants to tell Nanna she is wasting her time but I bet most hospitals are throwing those home made face masks in the trash. I know I would not be happy if my surgeon showed up with a Granny's "do rag" on his face. Not quite that bad Greg. The estimate of 2.3 million deaths was based on doing *nothing*. The estimates of up to 240K deaths which was reduced first to 84K and then to 60K are based on everyone following the CDC recommendations precisely. Since we are all likely to get it eventually, the only thing I see this doing is "flattening the curve" and not having it all happen at once, They pretty much say that too. It is unlikely a vaccine will be here before this thing runs it' initial course. This curve is likely to look more like a decreasing sine wave as the virus waxes and wanes through society ... assuming we stay locked down and start venturing out over time. Good, you see the purpose - flattening the curve. It still doesn't change your chances of being infected and at our age, dying. It just prolongs the suspense. Which is why I said early on that I'd as soon catch it quickly, before the hospitals got full! We don't really seem to be having the problem here, except maybe in Broward or Miami/Dade. I still haven't seen stories about them setting up tents outside or having to decide who gets care. Maybe it is just because a lot of the snowbirds went home and we have plenty of beds for when they are here. People do seem to be dying to come to Florida ;-) |
#53
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posted to rec.boats
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Keyser Soze Wrote in message:
On 4/13/20 1:18 PM, wrote: On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 04:56:59 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/12/2020 8:57 PM, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:33:55 -0400, John wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:20:55 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 08:34:56 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/11/2020 9:57 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 15:23:13 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/11/20 1:32 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 09:29:26 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/10/20 9:42 PM, wrote: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7mOQ5DsM&feature=youtu.be Fauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn out to be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Oh, so you think Fauci is as intellectually full of **** as you are, eh? He certainly seem to be very flexible in what he believes is true. The "facts" seem to change daily and mostly toward the idea that this was a lot of hysterical hype. The CDC and NIH guidelines are letters in the sand that disappear at every tide change ... IOW about twice a day. Indeed, Fauci is a scientist who absorbs new data and evaluates it. Science seldom supports an estimate that changes by a factor of 3600% in 2 weeks. (2.2 million to 60,000) . It also seems pretty unlikely that science makes the leap from "A home made face mask is useless" to recommending them for anyone in public. Those are politically knee jerks, not science. Nobody wants to tell Nanna she is wasting her time but I bet most hospitals are throwing those home made face masks in the trash. I know I would not be happy if my surgeon showed up with a Granny's "do rag" on his face. Not quite that bad Greg. The estimate of 2.3 million deaths was based on doing *nothing*. The estimates of up to 240K deaths which was reduced first to 84K and then to 60K are based on everyone following the CDC recommendations precisely. Since we are all likely to get it eventually, the only thing I see this doing is "flattening the curve" and not having it all happen at once, They pretty much say that too. It is unlikely a vaccine will be here before this thing runs it' initial course. This curve is likely to look more like a decreasing sine wave as the virus waxes and wanes through society ... assuming we stay locked down and start venturing out over time. Good, you see the purpose - flattening the curve. It still doesn't change your chances of being infected and at our age, dying. It just prolongs the suspense. That's true. I think there has been so much talk about rates going down, etc. that the concept of "flattening the curve" has been forgotten. When the curve is flattened, all it does is extend it over a greater period of time. The original idea was to prevent hospitalsfrom becoming overwhelmed. In that respect, it has worked. I've been charting the number of confirmed cases in Plymouth County with a population of approx. 500K. On March 1st there were no confirmed cases. This morning there are 2024. The slope continues to go up at the same rate it has for the past 2 weeks. I think the "hospital overload" may have been hyped up a bit too. They brought the hospital ships to NY and LA, they sit largely unoccupied. The huge field hospitals that were quickly erected seem pretty empty too. I understand nursing homes and perhaps a few other places with concentrations of old people can be hot spots but we do seem to be coping fairly well as soon as you get out of a couple big cities. There are going to be books written about this and most will be talking more about irrational panic than the actual illness. About 3 million people die in the US every year and I doubt the overall death toll will be that much higher when looked at it historically. This is not the Spanish Flu. It is more like the Y2K thing. There was a real problem but it got hyped up far greater than the actual impact. Since it is no big deal, I think it would be a hell of a gesture for your and Mrs. Fretwell to prepare some goody bags and deliver them in person to nursing homes.-- For the survival of this country, it is vitally important for all of us to successfully associate the substantial harm wreaked by COVID-19 with Trump and thereby defeat him in the fall election. Each and every time you use that sig line a light shinse on your mental instability. Just sayin. -- .. ----Android NewsGroup Reader---- http://usenet.sinaapp.com/ |
#54
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 08:06:31 -0400, John wrote:
On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 21:09:31 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:35:22 -0400, John wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:25:24 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 10:11:02 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/12/20 8:34 AM, Mr. Luddite wrote: On 4/11/2020 9:57 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 15:23:13 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/11/20 1:32 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 09:29:26 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/10/20 9:42 PM, wrote: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...ature=youtu.be Fauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn out to be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Oh, so you think Fauci is as intellectually full of **** as you are, eh? He certainly seem to be very flexible in what he believes is true. The "facts" seem to change daily and mostly toward the idea that this was a lot of hysterical hype. The CDC and NIH guidelines are letters in the sand that disappear at every tide change ... IOW about twice a day. Indeed, Fauci is a scientist who absorbs new data and evaluates it. Science seldom supports an estimate that changes by a factor of 3600% in 2 weeks. (2.2 million to 60,000) . It also seems pretty unlikely that science makes the leap from "A home made face mask is useless" to recommending them for anyone in public. Those are politically knee jerks, not science. Nobody wants to tell Nanna she is wasting her time but I bet most hospitals are throwing those home made face masks in the trash. I know I would not be happy if my surgeon showed up with a Granny's "do rag" on his face. Not quite that bad Greg. The estimate of 2.3 million deaths was based on doing *nothing*. The estimates of up to 240K deaths which was reduced first to 84K and then to 60K are based on everyone following the CDC recommendations precisely. Apparently science doesn't mesh with Greg's loonytarian preference of doing nothing. There is not much "science" in these "do rag" masks. They are certainly more than useless without any kind of sterile protocol in place. Stuffing a dirty rag in your pocket that has been collecting whatever was in the air and then reusing it contaminates your hands, your pocket and anything else you put in your pocket. They did an interesting demonstration here using U/V powder and the mask wearing little blonde news girl glowed like a christmas tree after an hour of typical activity, including under her mask. Dipping them in a solution of clorox and water solves that problem. Even gives the wearer some clean hands. That is great if you only go one place a day and you have time for it to dry between wearings. In her case it was more about what she did after she took it off. I'm thinking most of us go somewhere much less than once a day! Besides, the masks are easy to make with a sewing machine and the patterns from John Hopkins. My wife has made about a dozen and sent half to my daughter, the physical therapist. Actually I have been thinking about this and looking at my stash of Costco stuff. I turned up a 240 pack of deluxe paper dinner napkins. I think if you used alligator clips and rubber bands, fold these over once and used that for a mask, (the size seems good) you could chuck it and start with a fresh one every time. I may put some in a zip bag and keep them in the car in case we do go to a mandatory mask thing but I am certainly not reusing them. I would still scrub up before and after wearing it and be really careful getting it off and into the trash. By the standard, an N-95 is supposed to catch 95% of anything bigger than 0.3 microns. I wonder what 6 layers of that napkin material would stop. It is certainly a lot more than an old, washed 100 times T shirt. I think I would grind fiberglass with it if I could get a tighter fit to my face. I do still have some N-95s here tho and I am saving them for tasks like that. I am way more afraid of emphysema or VOCs than Covid. Better than nothing, I'd say. My bet is if you actually had them doing testing, those cloth masks are useless (as they said 3 weeks ago before the change of heart) and a one time use of a 6 layer napkin mask is better. It probably isn't nearly as good as an N-95 and even that will let at least 5% of the virus through, assuming COVID is larger than 0.3 microns and I don't think it is. Once any of these get wet or even moist, the virus is coming through. Having worn a real N-95 a lot, working on stuff, they can soak through pretty fast, just from the condensation of your breath. If I wear one for much more than an hour, it is dripping. I suppose in a cool dry place they last longer but it is over 90 here with ~70% R/H right now. |
#55
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 06:10:47 -0700 (PDT), Its Me
wrote: On Monday, April 13, 2020 at 8:31:06 AM UTC-4, Mr. Luddite wrote: On 4/13/2020 8:18 AM, John wrote: On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 08:05:37 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/13/2020 7:45 AM, John wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 20:57:02 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:33:55 -0400, John wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:20:55 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 08:34:56 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/11/2020 9:57 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 15:23:13 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/11/20 1:32 PM, wrote: On Sat, 11 Apr 2020 09:29:26 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/10/20 9:42 PM, wrote: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...ature=youtu.be Fauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn out to be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Oh, so you think Fauci is as intellectually full of **** as you are, eh? He certainly seem to be very flexible in what he believes is true. The "facts" seem to change daily and mostly toward the idea that this was a lot of hysterical hype. The CDC and NIH guidelines are letters in the sand that disappear at every tide change ... IOW about twice a day. Indeed, Fauci is a scientist who absorbs new data and evaluates it. Science seldom supports an estimate that changes by a factor of 3600% in 2 weeks. (2.2 million to 60,000) . It also seems pretty unlikely that science makes the leap from "A home made face mask is useless" to recommending them for anyone in public. Those are politically knee jerks, not science. Nobody wants to tell Nanna she is wasting her time but I bet most hospitals are throwing those home made face masks in the trash. I know I would not be happy if my surgeon showed up with a Granny's "do rag" on his face. Not quite that bad Greg. The estimate of 2.3 million deaths was based on doing *nothing*. The estimates of up to 240K deaths which was reduced first to 84K and then to 60K are based on everyone following the CDC recommendations precisely. Since we are all likely to get it eventually, the only thing I see this doing is "flattening the curve" and not having it all happen at once, They pretty much say that too. It is unlikely a vaccine will be here before this thing runs it' initial course. This curve is likely to look more like a decreasing sine wave as the virus waxes and wanes through society ... assuming we stay locked down and start venturing out over time. Good, you see the purpose - flattening the curve. It still doesn't change your chances of being infected and at our age, dying. It just prolongs the suspense. Which is why I said early on that I'd as soon catch it quickly, before the hospitals got full! -- Freedom Isn't Free! It's depressing to realize that once this is all over and assuming those who became infected and recovered have a degree of immunity (although not 100% confirmed) that us old farts who locked ourselves up in isolation to avoid becoming infected will be the ones who remain most at risk. We may need to hibernate for a long, long time. :-) That's the truth. I'm supposed to fly to Seattle in July for a wedding. Already paid for five tickets. I'm having serious second thoughts about that trip. I'd really hate to get out there, come down with the virus, and spend time in a hospital there. United will allow rescheduling the trip up to a year from the date the tickets were purchased. We'll see, I reckon. Also have a trip to Seattle planned for August. Motorcycle ride with my brother. Having qualms about that one also. Alaska Air has the same rules as United. Probably too early to tell but I have a hunch we'll still be dealing with this for quite a while. The social distancing was/is to flatten the curve. To stretch out the infection over a longer period of time, as you have pointed out. So now Fauci, who said on Jan 26th that the US didn't need to worry about Corona, is backtracking and saying that earlier distancing would have saved lives. This guy seems to be in political cover-his-ass mode It is funny that when Fauci says it he is just evolving to changing conditions but when Trump repeats what he heard Fauci say he is a ****ing liar. |
#56
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 10:12:48 -0400,
wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:28:04 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 13:10:42 -0400 (EDT), justan wrote: Wrote in message: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...=youtu.beFauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn outto be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Fauci is just reacting to the available data. In the beginning there was just models. You should wish that your mind will be as sharp and flexable when you reach his age. I understand the position Fauci is in but the flaw is having him on TV a couple hours a day shooting from the hip on a situation that is changing this fast. I suppose he is lucky the press isn't calling him a liar too. === I think that people realize he's doing the best he can with the facts available. He doesn't come across as playing politics or distorting reality. I said before, he really gets far too much TV time, giving us the best guess at the time on a situation that is changing every day. Fauci is just lucky that the press isn't calling him the same names they call Trump for saying the same things. |
#57
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 11:34:03 -0400, Keyser Soze
wrote: On 4/13/20 11:22 AM, wrote: On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 10:16:12 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/13/2020 10:12 AM, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:28:04 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 13:10:42 -0400 (EDT), justan wrote: Wrote in message: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...=youtu.beFauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn outto be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Fauci is just reacting to the available data. In the beginning there was just models. You should wish that your mind will be as sharp and flexable when you reach his age. I understand the position Fauci is in but the flaw is having him on TV a couple hours a day shooting from the hip on a situation that is changing this fast. I suppose he is lucky the press isn't calling him a liar too. === I think that people realize he's doing the best he can with the facts available. He doesn't come across as playing politics or distorting reality. The only one the press calls a "liar" is Trump, even if he is giving information that he belives to be true at the time. === Trump's big problem with the press, and many others, is that he comes across as being ignorant and beligerant. It's probably too late in his career to adopt a more thoughtful approach but he should really try once in a while - more listening, less talking and posturing. Ignorance, arrogance, bull****ting, belligerence, finger-pointing, appointing of ass-kissers So when Fauci says it he is just reacting to what he sees at the time but if Trump quotes him he is a ****ing liar ... OK got it. |
#58
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posted to rec.boats
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On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 13:50:04 -0400, wrote:
On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 10:12:48 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:28:04 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 13:10:42 -0400 (EDT), justan wrote: Wrote in message: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...=youtu.beFauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn outto be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Fauci is just reacting to the available data. In the beginning there was just models. You should wish that your mind will be as sharp and flexable when you reach his age. I understand the position Fauci is in but the flaw is having him on TV a couple hours a day shooting from the hip on a situation that is changing this fast. I suppose he is lucky the press isn't calling him a liar too. === I think that people realize he's doing the best he can with the facts available. He doesn't come across as playing politics or distorting reality. I said before, he really gets far too much TV time, giving us the best guess at the time on a situation that is changing every day. Fauci is just lucky that the press isn't calling him the same names they call Trump for saying the same things. === Fauci has a much less abrasive personna and does not seem to engage in outright lies for the sake of political gain. Big difference. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
#59
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posted to rec.boats
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On 4/13/20 2:48 PM, wrote:
On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 13:50:04 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 10:12:48 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:28:04 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 13:10:42 -0400 (EDT), justan wrote: Wrote in message: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...=youtu.beFauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn outto be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Fauci is just reacting to the available data. In the beginning there was just models. You should wish that your mind will be as sharp and flexable when you reach his age. I understand the position Fauci is in but the flaw is having him on TV a couple hours a day shooting from the hip on a situation that is changing this fast. I suppose he is lucky the press isn't calling him a liar too. === I think that people realize he's doing the best he can with the facts available. He doesn't come across as playing politics or distorting reality. I said before, he really gets far too much TV time, giving us the best guess at the time on a situation that is changing every day. Fauci is just lucky that the press isn't calling him the same names they call Trump for saying the same things. === Fauci has a much less abrasive personna and does not seem to engage in outright lies for the sake of political gain. Big difference. There are many differences between Fauci and Trump. Fauci is a scientist with a well-established reputation. He is cautious and is doing his best to deal with a fluid situation. He is at the end of his career, is not in political office and has no incentive to bull**** the public. Trump is not a scientist. He isn't even a reader. He said the other day he was going to depend on his gut as to when to state the current crisis was over. Trump is not cautious, he doesn't read, he doesn't value the opinions of legitimate scientists, he is facing the worst crisis of his presidency, and he is scared ****less of what might happen to him if he loses. Fretwell has little or no respect for those with serious professional credentials, especialy doctors. He thinks he knows more than they do. He likes the fact that Trump is a disrupter, because Fretwell also hates government. He approves of Trump. -- For the survival of this country, it is vitally important for all of us to successfully associate the substantial harm wreaked by COVID-19 with Trump and thereby defeat him in the fall election. |
#60
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posted to rec.boats
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On 4/13/20 1:52 PM, wrote:
On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 11:34:03 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote: On 4/13/20 11:22 AM, wrote: On Mon, 13 Apr 2020 10:16:12 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/13/2020 10:12 AM, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 17:28:04 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 12 Apr 2020 13:10:42 -0400 (EDT), justan wrote: Wrote in message: On Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:31:10 -0400, Keyser Soze wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cud7...=youtu.beFauci is just hoping nobody compiles the things he said that turn outto be wrong. He might cost them some grant money. Fauci is just reacting to the available data. In the beginning there was just models. You should wish that your mind will be as sharp and flexable when you reach his age. I understand the position Fauci is in but the flaw is having him on TV a couple hours a day shooting from the hip on a situation that is changing this fast. I suppose he is lucky the press isn't calling him a liar too. === I think that people realize he's doing the best he can with the facts available. He doesn't come across as playing politics or distorting reality. The only one the press calls a "liar" is Trump, even if he is giving information that he belives to be true at the time. === Trump's big problem with the press, and many others, is that he comes across as being ignorant and beligerant. It's probably too late in his career to adopt a more thoughtful approach but he should really try once in a while - more listening, less talking and posturing. Ignorance, arrogance, bull****ting, belligerence, finger-pointing, appointing of ass-kissers So when Fauci says it he is just reacting to what he sees at the time but if Trump quotes him he is a ****ing liar ... OK got it. Trump mostly listens to and quotes himself, and he has less scientific background, education, and experience than I do, and I was an English major. -- For the survival of this country, it is vitally important for all of us to successfully associate the substantial harm wreaked by COVID-19 with Trump and thereby defeat him in the fall election. |
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