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Think we screwed up
On Fri, 03 Apr 2020 16:24:00 -0400, John wrote:
On Fri, 3 Apr 2020 13:41:14 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/3/2020 12:31 PM, John wrote: On Fri, 3 Apr 2020 10:56:48 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: Politics aside, I think maybe the collective actions taken by everyone, including government officials, have been an over-reaction driven by public fear and panic. The recommendations of scientists who's lifetime work has been studying epidemics and pandemics have driven the reactions. Their input is very important and valuable but it has to considered from the standpoint that it comes from a narrow field of view with limited regard to other factors like how their academic recommendations affect the overall economic status of the country. As more "granular data" is crunched, analyzed and announced to the public and to government officials, the situation seems only to worsen. Sweden took a different approach. They issued recommendations that those at high risk take precautions to isolate themselves. Logical, not emotional or panic driven. They recommended "social distance" protocols for the rest and hand washing, etc. They recommended avoiding groups of 50 or more. But, they did *not* shut down schools, businesses, restaurants, etc. for the rest of the public. They emphasized the responsibility the public has to avoid becoming infected as best they can while recognizing that over 80 percent of those who *do* become infected will recover, most with no need for hospitalization. As of this morning Sweden, with a population of just over 10 million, has 5568 confirmed cases with 308 deaths. Wondering if this approach would have been more appropriate. Interestingly, California seems to have successfully "flattened the curve" yet testing in California lags well behind other "hot spot" sections of the country. We have 784 cases per million and Sweden has 607 cases per million. It's not like they're that much better off than we are, and I'll bet their inner city population pays much better attention to directions than ours does. Compare our cases per million to Italy, Spain, Germany, Belgium, France, Switzerland, Netherlands, and the list goes on. https://www.worldometers.info/corona...IIsE#countries I'm wondering if Sweden won't start climbing the curve pretty soon. There may not be that much difference in terms of cases per million but they have not shut their country and economy down like we have. In that respect they are *much* better off than we are. Even more reason to believe we may have gone about this wrong. I guess the big question is how bad it would have been if we *didn't* shut down. I think what Sweden is saying is you can be careful without completely shutting down everything. In real life we are not really keeping people at home. We are just limiting where they can go. Yesterday Walmart was a zoo ... pretty much just like normal. The Publix is pretty busy too, in spite of not having much there. Ace Hardware was a little slower than usual. I am washing everything that comes in the house now with something. If it is something that can take it, I spray it with denatured alcohol. |
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