Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model
for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's
some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow:

https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation

You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and
graphs.

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