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#1
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model
for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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#2
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
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#4
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:20:51 -0400, wrote:
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:46:55 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:33:00 -0400, wrote: Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. Assuming the growth resembles a quadratic (exponential) equation, I've put a function up earlier that should give a rough approximation. -- === Yes, I saw that but I thought you might be interested in their slightly different approach. You also get a working script which you can modify with different assumptions, and automatically produce graphs. I'll have to admit I didn't get as deep as differential calculus! -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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#5
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
On 3/23/2020 11:43 AM, Adorable Deplorable wrote:
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:20:51 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:46:55 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:33:00 -0400, wrote: Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. Assuming the growth resembles a quadratic (exponential) equation, I've put a function up earlier that should give a rough approximation. -- === Yes, I saw that but I thought you might be interested in their slightly different approach. You also get a working script which you can modify with different assumptions, and automatically produce graphs. I'll have to admit I didn't get as deep as differential calculus! It's ok. I can't even spell diffirantial calullaous. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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#6
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:43:17 -0400, Adorable Deplorable
wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:20:51 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:46:55 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:33:00 -0400, wrote: Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. Assuming the growth resembles a quadratic (exponential) equation, I've put a function up earlier that should give a rough approximation. -- === Yes, I saw that but I thought you might be interested in their slightly different approach. You also get a working script which you can modify with different assumptions, and automatically produce graphs. I'll have to admit I didn't get as deep as differential calculus! -- === I studied calculus in engineering school but never considered myself to be highly proficient at it. A few years later I was on the technical staff of a high energy physics lab at Cornell University. On of my colleagues was a PhD EE who could solve differential equations in his head. That always amazed me. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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#7
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
On 3/23/2020 12:37 PM, wrote:
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:43:17 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:20:51 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:46:55 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:33:00 -0400, wrote: Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. Assuming the growth resembles a quadratic (exponential) equation, I've put a function up earlier that should give a rough approximation. -- === Yes, I saw that but I thought you might be interested in their slightly different approach. You also get a working script which you can modify with different assumptions, and automatically produce graphs. I'll have to admit I didn't get as deep as differential calculus! -- === I studied calculus in engineering school but never considered myself to be highly proficient at it. A few years later I was on the technical staff of a high energy physics lab at Cornell University. On of my colleagues was a PhD EE who could solve differential equations in his head. That always amazed me. Certain aspects of electrical and electronics engineering involve the use of differential calculus equations. So does the vacuum equipment industry I was involved in. I can do the calcs (carefully) when I understand what I am solving for .... like pumping calculations in a system that passes through viscous flow to non-viscous molecular flow. But to understand the math involved just for the sake of understanding it is my weakness. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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#8
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 12:37:06 -0400, wrote:
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:43:17 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:20:51 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:46:55 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:33:00 -0400, wrote: Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. Assuming the growth resembles a quadratic (exponential) equation, I've put a function up earlier that should give a rough approximation. -- === Yes, I saw that but I thought you might be interested in their slightly different approach. You also get a working script which you can modify with different assumptions, and automatically produce graphs. I'll have to admit I didn't get as deep as differential calculus! -- === I studied calculus in engineering school but never considered myself to be highly proficient at it. A few years later I was on the technical staff of a high energy physics lab at Cornell University. On of my colleagues was a PhD EE who could solve differential equations in his head. That always amazed me. I took three semesters of calculus, and one of advanced calculus. I never understood anything, really, until the next semester. The stuff in advanced calculus is still over my head. -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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#9
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
Adorable Deplorable wrote:
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 12:37:06 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:43:17 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:20:51 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:46:55 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:33:00 -0400, wrote: Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. Assuming the growth resembles a quadratic (exponential) equation, I've put a function up earlier that should give a rough approximation. -- === Yes, I saw that but I thought you might be interested in their slightly different approach. You also get a working script which you can modify with different assumptions, and automatically produce graphs. I'll have to admit I didn't get as deep as differential calculus! -- === I studied calculus in engineering school but never considered myself to be highly proficient at it. A few years later I was on the technical staff of a high energy physics lab at Cornell University. On of my colleagues was a PhD EE who could solve differential equations in his head. That always amazed me. I took three semesters of calculus, and one of advanced calculus. I never understood anything, really, until the next semester. The stuff in advanced calculus is still over my head. -- Freedom Isn't Free! Should have asked Tom Francis to explain the math. His Doctorate was in math. |
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#10
posted to rec.boats
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Using Math to Model the Corona Virus Spread
On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 18:41:02 -0000 (UTC), Bill
wrote: Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 12:37:06 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:43:17 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 11:20:51 -0400, wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:46:55 -0400, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Mon, 23 Mar 2020 10:33:00 -0400, wrote: Here's a good article from WIRED magazine on how to develop a model for predicting the number of new cases over time. Of course there's some math involved but it's fairly easy to follow: https://www.wired.com/story/how-fast-does-a-virus-spread/?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=wired&utm_mailing=WIR_Tra nsportation_TopClickers_032320&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5cc9e2952ddf9c1a7adfa79b &cndid=54884204&esrc=&source=EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_ TRANSPORTATION_ZZ&utm_term=WIR_TopClickers_EXCLUDE _Transportation You'll also get a working script for doing your own calculations and graphs. Assuming the growth resembles a quadratic (exponential) equation, I've put a function up earlier that should give a rough approximation. -- === Yes, I saw that but I thought you might be interested in their slightly different approach. You also get a working script which you can modify with different assumptions, and automatically produce graphs. I'll have to admit I didn't get as deep as differential calculus! -- === I studied calculus in engineering school but never considered myself to be highly proficient at it. A few years later I was on the technical staff of a high energy physics lab at Cornell University. On of my colleagues was a PhD EE who could solve differential equations in his head. That always amazed me. I took three semesters of calculus, and one of advanced calculus. I never understood anything, really, until the next semester. The stuff in advanced calculus is still over my head. -- Freedom Isn't Free! Should have asked Tom Francis to explain the math. His Doctorate was in math. Quadratic equations are not that difficult. That's algebra stuff. Well, maybe advanced algebra, but high school stuff nevertheless. -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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