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Interesting NH Analysis..
Among the numerous factors which make the New Hampshire primary unique
and far from representative of what’s likely to happen in the remainder of the race, residents of the state can show up and vote on either the democratic or republican side without being registered for that party. It means the unusually large number of antiestablishment independents in the state can prop up an outsider candidate who isn’t popular with voters in that party. It also means residents who belong to one party can vote against the frontrunner in the other party’s primary just to sabotage things. When you strip the hijinks away, it turns out registered democrats in New Hampshire actually favored Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders in equal measure last night. According to respected political analyst site FiveThirtyEight, the entire margin that Bernie Sanders won by in New Hampshire consisted of non-democrats who voted for him. With those votes stripped away, the site reports that Sanders and Clinton finished “tied” among actual democrats. Furthermore, Sanders scored seventy percent of the vote in the New Hampshire counties which directly border his home state of Vermont. If you further remove those home-field voters, it turns out Hillary Clinton received more votes from New Hampshire democrats than Bernie Sanders did. And that’s before getting to the superdelegates, which she dominated. http://tinyurl.com/jfv6uuz |
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