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My reply contained herein (and earlier in the changed thread as well -
BTW - this is cut from my original post - "I have found myself spending a lot of time explaining river gauges and river levels to a variety of people in our organization so they have some idea about risk management." I did not say that I was teaching a class or specifically say that I was talking about students when I was actually looking for information specifically for administrators. D.L. wrote: "Eric" wrote in message ... Maybe I should stop trying to explain things to risk managers / administrators and just go paddling instead! Which is what I plan to do this weekend. I thought you were asking us about your students. The answer for bureaucrats in a legal/liability situation is adifferent kettle of fish. Your attempt to hide your motivation only leads me to wonder what else you are hiding. Did you have an injury on one of your trips? No, there has not been an injury in our program. There has merely been an ongoing effort within our organization to make sure that people on all levels (participants, instructors, program directors, administrators) have an understanding of what we do in our program and why we make the decisions we do. This would prevent someone from making a statement like "Oh, the river is only at 5 feet. That can't be too deep - go ahead and paddle it." when they know nothing about hydrodynamics. It's no different than me sitting in a weekly meeting and asking questions about Automated External Defibrillators when it does not have specific bearing on my program area. It's basically a question about trying to find an easy way to explain paddling issues to non-paddlers. Combining stages would be meaningless. The CFSs, though, had better add up, unless it's raining or it's VERY, VERY dry. Don't forget the groundwater part of the equation. Groundwater can either add or subtract from flow levels and is a bigger factor than evaporation, unless you have a major lake or reservoir. Groundwater tends to be a seasonal factor. Here in the West where we receive most of our precipitation in the Winter the cycle goes like this: Fall Groundwater replenishes - decreased runoff Winter Ground saturated - increased runoff - to snow level Spring Ground saturated - increased runoff combined with snowmelt Summer Groundwater runoff contribution gradually declines. Groundwater is also affected by recent years precipitation and will be decreased following a period of drought. -Doug Also makes sense here - although we had a drought last year, we have had a much wetter spring than normal that has saturated the groundwater table. Thus, when we have some of the violent thunderstorms or remnants of tropical storms that roll through Virginia, water levels can elevate rather quickly. Eric |