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They were wrong two years ago . . .
The "experts" wrong two years ago when they predicted a very active Atlantic
hurricane season. They were wrong last year when the predicated a well above average hurricane season. And now these dummies are again predicting an above average activity hurricane season. Why should we sailors put any store in forecasts that are demonstrable poor guesses? What possible good do these faulty forecasts do anybody? It's like the boy who cried "WOLF" fairy tale. If anything such impotent forecasts have the opposite of the intended effect. We brush them aside. We think, "Please get real!". http://www.floridatoday.com/apps/pbc...010/1086/rss07 Dr. William Gray is out of touch with reality. For one thing he lives in Colorado - which has never experienced a hurricane. If he were serious he would move to Texas, Louisiana or Florida so he'd be a little more familiar with his line of work. His position is untenable. He's sort of like an ex-pearl diver now living in Kathmandu and trying to guess the pearl harvest in Hawaii. It's pathetic! It demonstrates the folly of relying too much on computers and so-called technology while isolating one's self from the actual climate. Colorado State University? I guess that's in Fort Collins? Isn't the altitude there about a mile? Maybe Dr. Gray is suffering from oxygen deficiency. Seems to me people who live at altitude in Colorado are less intelligent than those who live at sea level. They often suffer from a host of maladies including high altitude cerebral edema. http://www.ismmed.org/np_altitude_tutorial.htm I think Dr. Gray is a bad example for everybody who has the misfortune of taking him seriously. It takes the willing suspension of belief to even listen to him. I will continue to do the usual hurricane preparation no matter the forecast. What I do has served me successfully for 20 years and all my boats have come through without a scratch. But, of course, my main course is to put to sea and evade. It's always better to avoid a hurricane than to be stuck in its projected path with no good options. I've found that my Swan 68 can easily outrun the typical Atlantic basin hurricane. But, the safest course is simply sail to the southern hemisphere in the off season and remain there until the beginning of their season and then sail back to the northern hemisphere where the season is ending. Wilbur Hubbard |
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