Doug King? Bwahahahahahaha! It couldn't happen to
a bigger moron than Doug. There's very little protection
around Capt Hatteras. I believe they could turn and
go west up the Peace river quite a ways and be a little safter
up there but there's nothing but lowland around - nothing
to stop those heavy winds. I hope they get caught in
Chesapeake Bay and try to anchor. If the center of
Isabel goes right up the Bay like several of the models
show it doing then they will get horrendous winds from
reversing directions and will drag - hopefully so far up
the mud flats that they need a Sikorski Sky Crane
to get them off afterwards if there's anything worth
salvaging.

S.Simon - Trawlers deserve an awful fate.


"Thom Stewart" wrote in message ...
Hey Neal,

Doug and his wife just started a three week cruise up to the Chesapeak.
It looks like they and the storm are going to meet a Hatteras. I hope
they find a hole to tuck into.

I really hope they get thru it. Even hope they change their vacation
plans.

Ole Thom

Put the rest of the quote in, weenie, and then
go prepare for the biggest storm you've seen.
I doubt your flimsy boat will come through without
major damage and it'll serve you right for not taking
me seriously.

Here's the entire quote:

"Look at the weather maps, fool! You will see a high
pressure blocking Isabel from hitting the mainland.
You will also note that it's proceeding east at a pace
which will move it out of Isabel's way just in time for
her to slam into Long Island Sound by going up the
back side of the system."

That qoute was posted two days ago on 9-13. The
high has since moved almost out of the area like I said
and now, also like I said, the road is clear until the next
low pressure area passes and the high behind it gets
established. This is gonna be too late to recurve Isabel
out to sea but I do think it's gonna get there a little sooner
than the forecasters think thus pushing Isabel a little more
towards Booby's dock where it will slam him senseless.
I do hope he puts his boat out on a mooring like he's claiming
he might. With Isabell it'll be bye bye mooring and bye
bye Alien - or should I say good riddance.

Bwahahahahahaahhahahahahaha

S.Simon - hurricanes are a summer sport

"SAIL LOCO" wrote in message ...
Look at the weather maps, fool! You will see a high
pressure blocking Isabel from hitting the mainland.

That's a pretty heady prediction Bud since all the weather gerus say there's
nothing coming that will prevent it from hitting.

Shen44 wrote:

Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"
Date: 09/12/2003 10:23 Pacific Standard Time
Message-id:

Look at the symmetry and the nice eye on this baby!

True, but only a fool or amateur like yourself, would try to estimate it's
final direction at this stage.

Fool or not, official predictions ignore the 3rd derivative - the rate
at which the rate of course changes if you will. That's why their
"updates" keep moving the landfall farther north. Factor it in and the
eye goes right up Lon Gyland sound, across Conn and Mass Bay and into
the Atlantic

"Vito" wrote in message ...
Shen44 wrote:

Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"
Date: 09/12/2003 10:23 Pacific Standard Time
Message-id:

Look at the symmetry and the nice eye on this baby!

True, but only a fool or amateur like yourself, would try to estimate it's
final direction at this stage.

Fool or not, official predictions ignore the 3rd derivative - the rate
at which the rate of course changes if you will. That's why their
"updates" keep moving the landfall farther north. Factor it in and the
eye goes right up Lon Gyland sound, across Conn and Mass Bay and into
the Atlantic

So much depends upon timing. Projections are all based on
where a storm is and when it's there. This includes forward
progress as well as direction. Right now Isabel is putzing around
and slowing down more than was accounted for in earlier
weather service forecasts. If it keeps going as slow or
slows down even more then tracks will change even more the
further it's projected into the future. . .

You're correct in your assessment that the longer Isabel takes
to follow the projected track the more the track will have to
be adjusted north. The majority of the tacks take Isabel right
up the Chesapeake Bay. If Isabel doesn't start speeding up
these tracks will all be shown more east from their present
positions. I think BAM -M is beginning to be more and
more viable even though it is the only one out of the 'norm'

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/im...0313_model.gif


S.Simon

Simple Simon wrote:

...... I think BAM -M is beginning to be more and
more viable even though it is the only one out of the 'norm'

Oooops! A few high pressure ridges moving SW out on No Europe and oy!
there it goes across West Va.