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#1
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![]() "NOYB" wrote in message ... "jps" wrote in message ... "MadDogDave" wrote in message news:c3dhc2g=.0383a4a8de913cb41afafd9840c25c48@106 2775970.cotse.net... September 5, 2003 Layoffs Rose Sharply Last Month, Report Says By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS WASHINGTON (AP) -- The civilian unemployment rate improved marginally last month -- sliding to 6.1 percent -- as companies slashed payrolls by 93,000. Friday's report sent mixed signals about the nation's overall economic health. August was the seventh consecutive month of cuts in payrolls, a survey released by the Labor Department showed, indicating continuing weakness in the job market. Thank Jesus for President Bush!!!!!!!!!! That's a hell of a thing to lay on Jesus' lap. What did he do to deserve George Bush? Notice how the unemployment rate improved...people are so disheartened they're giving up and not bothering to report. The unemployment rate is determined by surveying households. The other figure is determined by sampling certain businesses. If you sample households, and the results tell you there were fewer people unemployed in August than in July, then why do the businesses report a cut in payrolls by 93,000? Simple...that survey ignores small business. Small business is beginning to hire in pretty large numbers. If the surveyed businesses lay off a net amount of 93,000 employees, but the unemployment rate falls, then that means these employees are being absorbed into the job market in small businesses not accounted for in the original survey. "Unemployment rate" is the key figure... I just had an interesting conversation with my dad this evening. He works for a manufacturing company that supplies the airline industry. Me: "How's business?" Dad: "Had a terrible week" Me: "Sales down?" Dad: "No...up." Me: "Why the bad week?" Dad: "Our productivity is maxed out, and we can't get the product made and out the door fast enough." Me: "Why doesn't your manufacturing plant hire more people?" Dad: "The plant managers want to see some more hard data showing that the economy is improving." Me: "Don't they know about all the orders they've been having trouble filling?" Dad: "Yup. But they want to make sure it's a real rebound that's taking place before they hire back everyone they had laid off." Me: "What are customers saying about you not getting product to 'em?" Dad: "Some of the orders we had earlier in the year are getting cancelled." Me: "But that will hurt your future sales...so your "managers" are self-fulfilling their own prophecy that business might not be that good yet! Better fire the managers and hire some Republicans that want the economy to improve...not keep the obviously Democratic managers that are hoping the economy flounders." Dad: "I'm beginning to think that's the problem." That's a micro example of what's also going on in the macro sense...and the very reason that employment figures lag an increase in GDP by approximately 6 months. Exactly! Companies do not like to lay off workers. They want to make sure that these are not little farts in the economy they are seeing before they hire more workers....the last thing they want is to have to lay them off because they misread the indicators. That is why productivity is up. An increase in employment is the last thing a growing economy always sees. But it will come. Thinking people understand that. People blinded by political bigotry do not. |
#2
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"Jim" wrote in message
news:Yrb6b.368926$YN5.247563@sccrnsc01... Exactly! Companies do not like to lay off workers. They want to make sure that these are not little farts in the economy they are seeing before they hire more workers....the last thing they want is to have to lay them off because they misread the indicators. That is why productivity is up. WRONG! The reason productivity is up is because people are working longer hours and taking fewer holidays in an attempt to keep their jobs and livelyhoods. |
#3
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No, actually, *you* are wrong. Productivity is a measure of total man-hours
needed to produce a product. If someone can build 2 widgets per hour (ie--1/2 man-hour per widget), you don't get increased productivity numbers by working that guy 50 hours per week, rather than 40 hours. You increase productivity by figuring out a way to get that guy to build 3 widgets per hour (1/3 man-hour per widget). Didn't you ever take a business class? "jps" wrote in message ... "Jim" wrote in message news:Yrb6b.368926$YN5.247563@sccrnsc01... Exactly! Companies do not like to lay off workers. They want to make sure that these are not little farts in the economy they are seeing before they hire more workers....the last thing they want is to have to lay them off because they misread the indicators. That is why productivity is up. WRONG! The reason productivity is up is because people are working longer hours and taking fewer holidays in an attempt to keep their jobs and livelyhoods. |
#4
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"NOYB" wrote in message
m... No, actually, *you* are wrong. Productivity is a measure of total man-hours needed to produce a product. If someone can build 2 widgets per hour (ie--1/2 man-hour per widget), you don't get increased productivity numbers by working that guy 50 hours per week, rather than 40 hours. You increase productivity by figuring out a way to get that guy to build 3 widgets per hour (1/3 man-hour per widget). Didn't you ever take a business class? And do you know for certain that your sources are measuring productivity in this manner? Perhaps in academia but not in the commercial markets. Just because it's how we were taught to think of defining productivity in school, that doesn't mean it's the measure being used. I've heard our increased productivity is indeed due to longer hours and reduced time off. I'd like to see your sources and what measures they're really using. |
#5
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![]() "jps" wrote in message ... "NOYB" wrote in message m... No, actually, *you* are wrong. Productivity is a measure of total man-hours needed to produce a product. If someone can build 2 widgets per hour (ie--1/2 man-hour per widget), you don't get increased productivity numbers by working that guy 50 hours per week, rather than 40 hours. You increase productivity by figuring out a way to get that guy to build 3 widgets per hour (1/3 man-hour per widget). Didn't you ever take a business class? And do you know for certain that your sources are measuring productivity in this manner? My sources? My source is the BLS: "The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported preliminary productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons" ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/news.release/H....08072003.news Perhaps in academia but not in the commercial markets. Just because it's how we were taught to think of defining productivity in school, that doesn't mean it's the measure being used. You really are being pretty obtuse. The statistics are from BLS...and there own website tells you that they define productivity as "output per hour". I've heard our increased productivity is indeed due to longer hours and reduced time off. Longer hours won't change "output per hour". I'd like to see your sources and what measures they're really using. Go to the www.bls.gov website! |
#6
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![]() "NOYB" wrote in message m... "jps" wrote in message ... "NOYB" wrote in message m... No, actually, *you* are wrong. Productivity is a measure of total man-hours needed to produce a product. If someone can build 2 widgets per hour (ie--1/2 man-hour per widget), you don't get increased productivity numbers by working that guy 50 hours per week, rather than 40 hours. You increase productivity by figuring out a way to get that guy to build 3 widgets per hour (1/3 man-hour per widget). Didn't you ever take a business class? And do you know for certain that your sources are measuring productivity in this manner? My sources? My source is the BLS: "The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported preliminary productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons" ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/news.release/H....08072003.news Perhaps in academia but not in the commercial markets. Just because it's how we were taught to think of defining productivity in school, that doesn't mean it's the measure being used. You really are being pretty obtuse. The statistics are from BLS...and there own website tells you that they define productivity as "output per hour". I've heard our increased productivity is indeed due to longer hours and reduced time off. Longer hours won't change "output per hour". I'd like to see your sources and what measures they're really using. Go to the www.bls.gov website! The figures easily available to calculate these figures are number of payroll hours and number (& dollar values) of units produced. What is *not* easily visible is the amount of labor outsourced by buying parts with a higher overseas labor content. It is hard *not* to buy these sub-assemblies from an offshore source. We are buying some of the finished sub-assemblies for less than we can buy the raw materials for - before we add labor. At least my company redeployed the workers instead of laying them off; many workers have not been so fortunate. If you look at our company from the outside, we have the same number of workers, but now we produce more finished goods. This makes domestic labor look more productive - but it is not. It would take a *lot* more digging to determine how much each individual worker actually produced. Mark Browne |
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