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On Thu, 28 Aug 2008 09:27:39 -0400, "Eisboch" wrote:
Do you think this new, Tropical Depression number eight is the storm you recently alluded to as becoming a major mid-Atlantic and north threat? Looks might suspicious to me. Hanna showed the highest potential is for the mid-Atlantic states in the experimental models and the most accurte of the current models, the GDFL and UKMET show it crapping out east of San Salvador. If anything happens with Hanna, it most likely will be Florida again essentially following a Fay type pattern only further east. The one I am talking about is a disturbance which is approaching the west coast of Africa east of the Cape Verde Islands - that's the one that has all the potential. Looking at the bouy data, 41048 and 44004, surface temps are in the mid '80s and even further north, 44011 and 44008 are showing temps in the mid '60s - meaning there has been some eddy currents that have broken off the Gulf stream. Some major potential there for a big storm to pick up energy as it moves out of the tropics and in the the sub-tropics - in particular as the mid-Atlantic surface temps are high (which is normal in the tropics for this time of the year). There's all kinds of intersting atmospheric things happening now also which haven't been seen in 40+ years. Lot of movement. I'm not a meterologist by any stretch being strictly a hobby for me, but if I were a betting type, I'd place my bet on the African disturbance as being "the big one" - strictly my observation you understand. |
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