Chuck Gould wrote:
On Feb 13, 4:13�am, "Reginald P. Smithers III" "Reggie is Here
wrote:
That loud sucking sound heard in Potomic area was Hillary losing 3 more
primaries.

It looks like the only way Hillary will win the primary is if Billary
can steal this away with super delegates and some rule changes.

Not so fast.

It appears you agree with my statement. If she gets the majority of the
vote via Super Delegates or changing the rules concerning Fl and Mich.
it will be a major upset for the new energized Dem. voters.

As much as many people are upset with the Republicans, they have
stronger feelings against Hillary. The Dems may not vote for a Rep.,
but many will sit at home. Obama is the Dem's one chance to win in Nov.



The Democrats don't really "lose" primaries. Because the delegates are
apportioned, there is a lot of value to be gleaned by coming in a
close second in a lot of contests, and a candidate can be nominated by
finishing close in a lot of the small states and winning outright in
just a few of the larger ones (like CA, TX, etc).

One of the talking heads on the news last night used a computer model
to forecast a deadlocked D convention. He noted that if Obama won
every remaining state with the same margin he has averaged so far in
the primaries he would *still* be short of the nomination. And the
same is true for Hillary. Unless something dramatic happens,
(Headline: Barack Obama indicted as a 9-11 conspirator), the Deomcrats
risk wasting all of the fresh energy and enthusiasm the primary
campaigns have generated. If it gets down to the "super-delegates"
retiring to a smoke-filled room to make side deals and make the only
meaningful decision regarding the nominee, the resulting public
cynicism will be very ugly indeed.