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#1
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posted to rec.boats
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On Feb 13, 3:02*pm, wrote:
On Wed, 13 Feb 2008 11:57:41 -0800 (PST), wrote: On Feb 13, 1:33*pm, wrote: On Wed, 13 Feb 2008 06:17:15 -0800 (PST), wrote: On Feb 13, 7:13*am, "Reginald P. Smithers III" "Reggie is Here wrote: That loud sucking sound heard in Potomic area was Hillary losing 3 more primaries. It looks like the only way Hillary will win the primary is if Billary can steal this away with super delegates and some rule changes. Nah, as far as delegates, she's really not that far behind. The media spin, however makes it look like Obama is just running away with the nomination. Perhaps because he is passing her at warp speed. Look where things were a month ago. It's not really attributable to spin no matter how much you might wish it was. Hillary's in the breakdown lane and Barack's in the passing lane. At the instant when a car going 100 mph passes a car going 30, do you interpret them to be doing about the same thing as each other? The statement that I was replying to was this: It looks like the only way Hillary will win the primary is if Billary can steal this away with super delegates and some rule changes They aren't far apart. So let's use your analogy, shall we? What happens if the car going 100 mph slows to a crawl, and the car doing 30 speeds up considerably long before the end of the race? See, pretty simple! It's so simple you have failed to understand the concept completely.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - No....... You've failed. using your analogy, tell me what would happen in my scenario. |
#2
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posted to rec.boats
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On Wed, 13 Feb 2008 07:13:58 -0500, "Reginald P. Smithers III" "Reggie is
Here wrote: That loud sucking sound heard in Potomic area was Hillary losing 3 more primaries. It looks like the only way Hillary will win the primary is if Billary can steal this away with super delegates and some rule changes. My game plan worked. However, yesterday while in the car (taking another lens back) I heard Rush comment that no matter who gets the most votes, Hillary will win. I hope not. I'd like to see Obama in a face to face with McCain. Any debates should be interesting, if only to see how soft the balls can be thrown by NBC. I doubt if either Obama or Clinton would face McCain on a Fox debate. -- John H |
#3
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posted to rec.boats
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On Feb 13, 4:13�am, "Reginald P. Smithers III" "Reggie is Here
wrote: That loud sucking sound heard in Potomic area was Hillary losing 3 more primaries. It looks like the only way Hillary will win the primary is if Billary can steal this away with super delegates and some rule changes. Not so fast. The Democrats don't really "lose" primaries. Because the delegates are apportioned, there is a lot of value to be gleaned by coming in a close second in a lot of contests, and a candidate can be nominated by finishing close in a lot of the small states and winning outright in just a few of the larger ones (like CA, TX, etc). One of the talking heads on the news last night used a computer model to forecast a deadlocked D convention. He noted that if Obama won every remaining state with the same margin he has averaged so far in the primaries he would *still* be short of the nomination. And the same is true for Hillary. Unless something dramatic happens, (Headline: Barack Obama indicted as a 9-11 conspirator), the Deomcrats risk wasting all of the fresh energy and enthusiasm the primary campaigns have generated. If it gets down to the "super-delegates" retiring to a smoke-filled room to make side deals and make the only meaningful decision regarding the nominee, the resulting public cynicism will be very ugly indeed. |
#4
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posted to rec.boats
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Chuck Gould wrote:
On Feb 13, 4:13�am, "Reginald P. Smithers III" "Reggie is Here wrote: That loud sucking sound heard in Potomic area was Hillary losing 3 more primaries. It looks like the only way Hillary will win the primary is if Billary can steal this away with super delegates and some rule changes. Not so fast. It appears you agree with my statement. If she gets the majority of the vote via Super Delegates or changing the rules concerning Fl and Mich. it will be a major upset for the new energized Dem. voters. As much as many people are upset with the Republicans, they have stronger feelings against Hillary. The Dems may not vote for a Rep., but many will sit at home. Obama is the Dem's one chance to win in Nov. The Democrats don't really "lose" primaries. Because the delegates are apportioned, there is a lot of value to be gleaned by coming in a close second in a lot of contests, and a candidate can be nominated by finishing close in a lot of the small states and winning outright in just a few of the larger ones (like CA, TX, etc). One of the talking heads on the news last night used a computer model to forecast a deadlocked D convention. He noted that if Obama won every remaining state with the same margin he has averaged so far in the primaries he would *still* be short of the nomination. And the same is true for Hillary. Unless something dramatic happens, (Headline: Barack Obama indicted as a 9-11 conspirator), the Deomcrats risk wasting all of the fresh energy and enthusiasm the primary campaigns have generated. If it gets down to the "super-delegates" retiring to a smoke-filled room to make side deals and make the only meaningful decision regarding the nominee, the resulting public cynicism will be very ugly indeed. |
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