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Default Handicapping Iowa...

On Jan 4, 5:18�am, JG2U wrote:
On Fri, 04 Jan 2008 11:34:43 GMT, Short Wave Sportfishing

wrote:

I read an account that said more than half of the Republicans
attending caucus in Iowa described themselves as "born again" or
"evangelical" Christians. Romney actually led among the Republicans
who didn't arrive in a chruch bus, so you weren't completely unfounded
in your Republican guesstimate.


That's a good point and reading through the post mortems this morning,
that one jumped out as an interesting data point. �


Notice how the media makes sure to drive home the "evangelical
Christian" phrase, over and over. �They've made it an issue... to give
godless liberals something to rally against. �Look how well it's
working right here on this NG.


I don't think the "godless liberals" are ralllying against
"evangelical Christians". Huckabee's meteoric rise in a race that 90
days ago was heavily handicapped for Guiliani or (maybe) Mitt is
certainly legitimate reality, but nobody is "rallying against"
Huckabee by noting much of his support comes from people who share his
fundamentalist values. Certainly no more than people would be
"rallying against" Obama by noting he has many supporters among racial
minorities or "rallying against" Clinton by noting she has many
supporters among politically active women.

My parents and siblings all vote Republican. Given a chance, some of
them would vote for anybody *except* Romney, due to his "Mormonism".
(Pretty funny, considering we are all not-so-distant cousins of Joseph
Smith - his grandmother was a Gould from our ancestral home in
Topsfield, MA.) I'd like to think in general that the evangelical vote
isn't "rallied against" another Republican- and that their support for
Huckabee is truly proactive rather than reactive.
 
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