Stand by for heavy rolls.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large


Eisboch

"Eisboch" wrote in message
...
Stand by for heavy rolls.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large


Eisboch

Well! If you'd just stop tugging it in your direction I'd be OK.

On Sun, 27 Aug 2006 05:52:16 -0400, "Eisboch" wrote:

Stand by for heavy rolls.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large

Every time they shift that track further south and east, it reminds me
more and more of Charlie. Deja Vu all over again...

I knew we should have gone north again this summer.

"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 27 Aug 2006 05:52:16 -0400, "Eisboch" wrote:

Stand by for heavy rolls.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large

Every time they shift that track further south and east, it reminds me
more and more of Charlie. Deja Vu all over again...

I knew we should have gone north again this summer.


They are so unpredictable I would start making preparations if you live
anywhere from the Keys to north of Orlando. The predicted path trend seems
to be moving slightly towards points south on the Florida west coast, as you
noted.

They did a good job predicting the track of Wilma last year well in advance.
I remember deciding to drive down there a week before it hit, primarily for
the adventure of it all and also to schedule a home inspection. I learned
my lesson. I had never experienced the force of the winds in the eye wall
of a hurricane and hope I never do again. I suspect that some don't realize
that a "near miss" of even 20 or 30 miles reduces the impact of the winds
dramatically. Although still technically a hurricane, and the wind is strong
and gusty, they are not as strong as those right at the eyewall.
Fortunately, it doesn't last too long. That was the big surprise in our
area with Wilma. The front side built up all morning and it didn't seem too
bad until just before the eye passes over, when for about 15 minutes it
really got dicey. The surprise with Wilma was that the back side had winds
near the center that were stronger than the front side and they don't "build
up" over time. They arrive like a freight train. That's about the time I
became religious.

We'll see with this one.

Eisboch

On Sun, 27 Aug 2006 13:48:12 -0400, "Eisboch" wrote:

The surprise with Wilma was that the back side had winds
near the center that were stronger than the front side and they don't "build
up" over time. They arrive like a freight train. That's about the time I
became religious.

According to our neighbors it was the same on the west coast. Every
storm is different however.

Eisboch wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...

On Sun, 27 Aug 2006 05:52:16 -0400, "Eisboch" wrote:


Stand by for heavy rolls.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large


Every time they shift that track further south and east, it reminds me
more and more of Charlie. Deja Vu all over again...

I knew we should have gone north again this summer.



They are so unpredictable I would start making preparations if you live
anywhere from the Keys to north of Orlando. The predicted path trend seems
to be moving slightly towards points south on the Florida west coast, as you
noted.

They did a good job predicting the track of Wilma last year well in advance.
I remember deciding to drive down there a week before it hit, primarily for
the adventure of it all and also to schedule a home inspection. I learned
my lesson. I had never experienced the force of the winds in the eye wall
of a hurricane and hope I never do again. I suspect that some don't realize
that a "near miss" of even 20 or 30 miles reduces the impact of the winds
dramatically. Although still technically a hurricane, and the wind is strong
and gusty, they are not as strong as those right at the eyewall.
Fortunately, it doesn't last too long. That was the big surprise in our
area with Wilma. The front side built up all morning and it didn't seem too
bad until just before the eye passes over, when for about 15 minutes it
really got dicey. The surprise with Wilma was that the back side had winds
near the center that were stronger than the front side and they don't "build
up" over time. They arrive like a freight train. That's about the time I
became religious.

We'll see with this one.

Eisboch



Where were you when the storm came through?

Dan

"Dan Krueger" wrote in message
nk.net...



Where were you when the storm came through?

Dan

By myself in (at) our former house in Jupiter.

Eisboch

Eisboch wrote:
"Dan Krueger" wrote in message
nk.net...


Where were you when the storm came through?

Dan


By myself in (at) our former house in Jupiter.

Eisboch



You were closer to the eye than I was. It crossed our home about 10
miles to the north. It took out most of my fence and a 100' stretch of
15' high ficus "bushes". Other than that, the damage was very minimal.
I have a 25 kW generator ready for the next one. The extension cords
running through the house got old quickly and the hot water was gone in
two days. My boat only got wet on its trailer in Dania Beach.

Dan

"Dan Krueger" wrote in message
nk.net...
Eisboch wrote:
"Dan Krueger" wrote in message
nk.net...


Where were you when the storm came through?

Dan


By myself in (at) our former house in Jupiter.

Eisboch

You were closer to the eye than I was. It crossed our home about 10 miles
to the north. It took out most of my fence and a 100' stretch of 15' high
ficus "bushes". Other than that, the damage was very minimal. I have a 25
kW generator ready for the next one. The extension cords running through
the house got old quickly and the hot water was gone in two days. My boat
only got wet on its trailer in Dania Beach.

Dan

The eye passed right over us. The front side built up from about 7 in the
morning until it reached it's peak at about 11am, then the wind subsided
from a roar to a breeze, then it became absolutely still. It remained
mostly cloudy, but the sun peeked through a couple of times. I went outside
to try to make some calls on the cell phone (power and phone lines were out
by this time) and I got the generator running. After about 20 minutes a
gentle breeze started up again and I went back into the house. Within 5
minutes the back side of the storm hit and I thought the house would rip
apart.

Then, over a week without power, limited gas for the generator, no gas
stations pumping gas anywhere nearby. The Home Depot opened a couple of
days after the storm on generators but only allowed 25 people at a time in
the store. There was a line of people throughout the parking lot waiting to
get in to buy small generators, 5 gallon gas tanks and water.

The Jupiter area and northward had been hit the previous hurricane season by
Jeanne and Frances. Prior to them, that section of the east coast of
Florida had not been hit by a hurricane for 100 years. Although not a direct
hit in Jupiter, they (Jeanne particularly) caused a lot of roof damage,
including our house and tore up a bunch of hurricane-proof screened pool
enclosures (ours included).

The winds in Wilma were much stronger, but weakened structures and trees,
etc. had already been destroyed by the previous year's storms. We did have
some additional minor roof damage, but that was about it.
My son's in-law's house was destroyed.

Eisboch

Eisboch wrote:

"Dan Krueger" wrote in message
nk.net...

Eisboch wrote:

"Dan Krueger" wrote in message
hlink.net...


Where were you when the storm came through?

Dan


By myself in (at) our former house in Jupiter.

Eisboch

You were closer to the eye than I was. It crossed our home about 10 miles
to the north. It took out most of my fence and a 100' stretch of 15' high
ficus "bushes". Other than that, the damage was very minimal. I have a 25
kW generator ready for the next one. The extension cords running through
the house got old quickly and the hot water was gone in two days. My boat
only got wet on its trailer in Dania Beach.

Dan


The eye passed right over us. The front side built up from about 7 in the
morning until it reached it's peak at about 11am, then the wind subsided
from a roar to a breeze, then it became absolutely still. It remained
mostly cloudy, but the sun peeked through a couple of times. I went outside
to try to make some calls on the cell phone (power and phone lines were out
by this time) and I got the generator running. After about 20 minutes a
gentle breeze started up again and I went back into the house. Within 5
minutes the back side of the storm hit and I thought the house would rip
apart.

Then, over a week without power, limited gas for the generator, no gas
stations pumping gas anywhere nearby. The Home Depot opened a couple of
days after the storm on generators but only allowed 25 people at a time in
the store. There was a line of people throughout the parking lot waiting to
get in to buy small generators, 5 gallon gas tanks and water.

The Jupiter area and northward had been hit the previous hurricane season by
Jeanne and Frances. Prior to them, that section of the east coast of
Florida had not been hit by a hurricane for 100 years. Although not a direct
hit in Jupiter, they (Jeanne particularly) caused a lot of roof damage,
including our house and tore up a bunch of hurricane-proof screened pool
enclosures (ours included).

The winds in Wilma were much stronger, but weakened structures and trees,
etc. had already been destroyed by the previous year's storms. We did have
some additional minor roof damage, but that was about it.
My son's in-law's house was destroyed.

Eisboch


Looks like Ernesto will be mild compared to those three storms. The gas
lines were backed up already today - maybe a dozen or so cars in the
road waiting to get in to the stations. I have a commercial account at
a fleet fuel station so we can skip the lines and they have generators
to keep gas and diesel flowing. They were in business late in the day
after Wilma passed through. I have a large 17.5kW gas generator that
will power most of the house but I don't think we will need it for this
storm.

Dan