"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 27 Aug 2006 05:52:16 -0400, "Eisboch" wrote:

Stand by for heavy rolls.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large

Every time they shift that track further south and east, it reminds me
more and more of Charlie. Deja Vu all over again...

I knew we should have gone north again this summer.


They are so unpredictable I would start making preparations if you live
anywhere from the Keys to north of Orlando. The predicted path trend seems
to be moving slightly towards points south on the Florida west coast, as you
noted.

They did a good job predicting the track of Wilma last year well in advance.
I remember deciding to drive down there a week before it hit, primarily for
the adventure of it all and also to schedule a home inspection. I learned
my lesson. I had never experienced the force of the winds in the eye wall
of a hurricane and hope I never do again. I suspect that some don't realize
that a "near miss" of even 20 or 30 miles reduces the impact of the winds
dramatically. Although still technically a hurricane, and the wind is strong
and gusty, they are not as strong as those right at the eyewall.
Fortunately, it doesn't last too long. That was the big surprise in our
area with Wilma. The front side built up all morning and it didn't seem too
bad until just before the eye passes over, when for about 15 minutes it
really got dicey. The surprise with Wilma was that the back side had winds
near the center that were stronger than the front side and they don't "build
up" over time. They arrive like a freight train. That's about the time I
became religious.

We'll see with this one.

Eisboch