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"JohnH" wrote in message
... On Tue, 01 Aug 2006 15:53:50 GMT, "JoeSpareBedroom" wrote: The oil companies, knowing this, do whatever they want with the price. That's a crime, and should be dealt with. I asked the questions I did because of the statement you made, above. You state the oil companies are committing a crime and make the solution to high prices sound very simple. I don't think it is. John Although Supreme Court justices use hypothetical questions as a tool ***ALL THE TIME*** in their sessions with attorneys, I'm aware of the fact that here in this NG, lesser minds like to apply the term "straw man" (an inaccurate term), because they need to belittle a process they cannot fathom. (Dave Hall was the queen of that group). Let's try a hypothetical question anyway, though, and hope no mental midgets show up and clutter things. (You've just been flattered. You're welcome.) Let's say I had more money than Bill Gates. I see in the newspaper that the entire crew of a Norwegian ***OIL TANKER*** was found to have Legionnaire's disease. Not only that, but the ship's owner makes a habit of moving a portion of each crew from one ship to another whenever possible, so that they're exposed to any operational differences between the ships. They own 10 ships. Not knowing (or caring) whether Legionnaire's disease is contagious, I decide that ALL the company's ships are at risk, which may have an enormous impact on the availability of oil. I place a huge futures trade, of a size that rivals those of institutional traders, and of course, it's noticed, as such trades always are. Sometimes, lots of sheep mimic such trades, because without checking the source, they think there must be SOMETHING going on. Is it just some yahoo playing with extra money, or were Saudi oil fields attacked within the last few hours? Who cares? More people jump in. Although large institutional traders are sometimes asked why things go a certain way, nobody interviews me because I'm just some yahoo with a bunch of money, and I don't have to reveal my identity to anyone but my broker, or whatever web site I trade through. Later that day, you hear on the news "Oil jumped $2.15 a barrel today". Absolutely nothing else in the world happened which would cause this. Even the "professionals" are clueless, and can't pin it on news events of any sort. This is not as hypothetical as you will probably want to say it is. What do you think about this scenario? |
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