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#1
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![]() "Harry Krause" wrote in message ... RG wrote: 74 cents a gallon? Wow! When considering inflation, the 1976 USD was worth $.27 to a 2006 USD. A $.39 increase/gallon in 1976 in today's USD's converts to a $1.44 increase. And you were saying? Let's focus on what you're saying, or at least making an attempt to say. You either don't understand the concept of reduced purchasing power due to inflation, or have difficulty explaining it. A 1976 dollar was worth more in terms of purchasing power than a 2006 dollar. The exact opposite of the way you stated it. The Consumer Price Index was established in 1967, which shall be referred to as the base year. The CPI index for the base year is 100. The value of the index as of March 31, 2006 is 578.86, the latest statistic available. The index value for 1976, the year of comparison in this thread, is 170.5. This means that a 2006 dollar is worth only $.1728, when compared to a 1967 dollar (100/578.86). This also means that a 2006 dollar is worth only $.2945 when compared to a 1976 dollar (170.5/578.86). Therefore, it can also be said that a 1976 dollar was worth 3.4 times what a 2006 dollar is worth (578.86/170.5) in terms of purchasing power. Therefore, your calculation of a $.39 increase/gallon equating to a $1.44 increase in today's dollars is a bit overstated. The true math equates $.39 to $1.33 ($.39*3.4). However, this seems like an odd way to examine the situation. Why not just compare the cost of a gallon of gas then versus now, in terms of inflation adjusted dollars? A 1976 price of $.74 per gallon, after the mentioned increase that year, was offered in an earlier post. I'm not sure if that number is 100% accurate, but I have no quarrel with it. Using that 1976 value, and the CPI data offered above, that means that a gallon of gas today should cost $2.52 per gallon ($.74*3.4), if gas was to have increased in price commensurate with the CPI. The only conclusion that can be drawn from this is that the cost of gas appears to have risen slightly higher than the aggregate cost of living when using 1976 and 2006 as your goalposts in time, a conclusion I don't find particularly profound or shocking. Actually a bit of a bore, not really amounting to much. Not entirely unlike yourself, Jim. Using any different slices of time for comparison would likely yield different conclusions, or at least those drawn about the cost of gas. I just love these rationalizations you guys use in an attempt to make everyone feel better about being butt-fu*ked by the Friends of Bush. The friends of Bush? Regardless, I do not agree with or want folks to feel better about the way the oil companies are raping us. I have posted facts supporting that position, including posting of the billion dollar profits of Exxon and the million dollar payoff given to the retiring CEO of the same company. And contrary to what RG has to say I do understand inflation and I do not need his high school entry level economics class lecture to me/this NG on the matter. ;-) |
#2
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() " JimH" jimh_osudad@yahooDOT comREMOVETHIS wrote in message . .. Regardless, I do not agree with or want folks to feel better about the way the oil companies are raping us. I have posted facts supporting that position, including posting of the billion dollar profits of Exxon and the million dollar payoff given to the retiring CEO of the same company. As much as I'd like to blame bush, aren't these oil prices less related to bush tactics and more related to increasing world demand and static or decreasing world supplies. My gripe is with our consecutive administrations and the consecutive generations of voters which have failed to prepare for this very energy challenge that we all know existed. With open global markets and an absence of product to sell to the world (our major export is our consumerism), we find ourselves crying about the price of gas because our personal economies are overwhelmed by our dependence on gas. In my lifetime, the oil crisis of the '70's should have been our wakeup call. And, finally, my personal fear that we are at the mercy of other countries for our energy needs is what will be a major factor in the fall of the US Empire. Then, there's my personal conspiracy theory to add to the mix: the oil industry is manipulating supplies and prices to force us to allow the devastation of the continental shelf and arctic tundra for US oil profits. Again, a failure to make a break from our dependence on non-sustainable oil supplies for our countries energy needs. |
#3
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posted to rec.boats
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"Bryan" wrote in message
m... " JimH" jimh_osudad@yahooDOT comREMOVETHIS wrote in message . .. Regardless, I do not agree with or want folks to feel better about the way the oil companies are raping us. I have posted facts supporting that position, including posting of the billion dollar profits of Exxon and the million dollar payoff given to the retiring CEO of the same company. As much as I'd like to blame bush, aren't these oil prices less related to bush tactics and more related to increasing world demand and static or decreasing world supplies. You'd think, except for one thing: The price swings are too fast to reflect world demand. How quickly did we just go from $2.50 to $3.00? Three weeks? Demand most certainly did NOT increase by the same proportion. This is nothing but a game. Until we have a "hard" solution, I have an idea. Get futures traders the phuque out of the oil business. They serve no useful purpose. "Oil prices rose due to fears of this that or the other thing....". Bull****. |
#4
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posted to rec.boats
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Until we have a "hard" solution, I have an idea. Get futures traders the
phuque out of the oil business. They serve no useful purpose. Actually they do. If your business profits are significantly influenced by the price of oil, futures contracts pay a very important role in the stabilization and predictability of those profits. It's called hedging. But I suspect you knew that. |
#5
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() "RG" wrote in message . .. Until we have a "hard" solution, I have an idea. Get futures traders the phuque out of the oil business. They serve no useful purpose. Actually they do. If your business profits are significantly influenced by the price of oil, futures contracts pay a very important role in the stabilization and predictability of those profits. It's called hedging. But I suspect you knew that. The product is too important to be left up to the whims of a bunch of suits. And, whims is exactly what they are. Did you notice that when that Saudi refinery was attacked a month or two ago, the price hiccup was nothing compared to the current one, which is based on absolutely nothing? |
#6
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posted to rec.boats
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#7
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posted to rec.boats
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![]() "Doug Kanter" wrote in message ... "RG" wrote in message . .. Until we have a "hard" solution, I have an idea. Get futures traders the phuque out of the oil business. They serve no useful purpose. Actually they do. If your business profits are significantly influenced by the price of oil, futures contracts pay a very important role in the stabilization and predictability of those profits. It's called hedging. But I suspect you knew that. The product is too important to be left up to the whims of a bunch of suits. And, whims is exactly what they are. Did you notice that when that Saudi refinery was attacked a month or two ago, the price hiccup was nothing compared to the current one, which is based on absolutely nothing? Yes, I noticed. It may seem like the current market move is based on absolutely nothing, but I think that is a mischaracterization. The basis for a market movement may not be obvious, tangible, or even logical but it's there. The market wouldn't move without it. However, you are on the right track about whims. Markets tend to be very psychological and emotional, and often not immediately rational. How is the recent movement in oil prices any different than a 200 point swing up or down of the Dow on any given day? Was there really a commensurate shift in the fundamental value of those thirty companies during that six and a half hours of trading? Not likely. The reason for all short-term market movements can usually be traced to the basic motivators of fear and greed. And there is no shortage of suits that wish they had the power to move oil prices up or down by merely wishing it so. But it just doesn't work that way. Collective fear and greed for the future make those short-term movements happen. As to the event of the Saudi refinery attack, if the attack had been successful, you would have seen a much different market reaction. As it was, what you witnessed was a sigh of relief after a major bullet was dodged. |
#8
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posted to rec.boats
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Doug,
Read up on the Futures Market before you make yourself look foolish. "Doug Kanter" wrote in message ... "RG" wrote in message . .. Until we have a "hard" solution, I have an idea. Get futures traders the phuque out of the oil business. They serve no useful purpose. Actually they do. If your business profits are significantly influenced by the price of oil, futures contracts pay a very important role in the stabilization and predictability of those profits. It's called hedging. But I suspect you knew that. The product is too important to be left up to the whims of a bunch of suits. And, whims is exactly what they are. Did you notice that when that Saudi refinery was attacked a month or two ago, the price hiccup was nothing compared to the current one, which is based on absolutely nothing? |
#9
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posted to rec.boats
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Doug Kanter wrote:
"Bryan" wrote in message m... " JimH" jimh_osudad@yahooDOT comREMOVETHIS wrote in message m... Regardless, I do not agree with or want folks to feel better about the way the oil companies are raping us. I have posted facts supporting that position, including posting of the billion dollar profits of Exxon and the million dollar payoff given to the retiring CEO of the same company. As much as I'd like to blame bush, aren't these oil prices less related to bush tactics and more related to increasing world demand and static or decreasing world supplies. You'd think, except for one thing: The price swings are too fast to reflect world demand. How quickly did we just go from $2.50 to $3.00? Three weeks? Demand most certainly did NOT increase by the same proportion. This is nothing but a game. Until we have a "hard" solution, I have an idea. Get futures traders the phuque out of the oil business. They serve no useful purpose. "Oil prices rose due to fears of this that or the other thing....". Bull****. Exactly... astronomical profits for a few... misery for the masses. |
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