December 2, 2005--Confidence in the War on Terror is up sharply compared to
a month ago. Forty-eight percent (48%) Americans now believe the U.S. and
its Allies are winning. That's up nine points from 39% a month ago and
represents the highest level of confidence measured in 2005.
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(They must have polled Joe Lieberman's household).

As goes Iraq, so goes Bush's poll numbers.