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#1
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![]() wrote: wrote: An email this morning reads: Chuck I thought you may be interested in this detailed ocean/global warming piece we just sent to our members since this topic is really heating up. You might think an angelfish in the waters off Massachusetts is one confused and chilly little tropical critter, unless you know that scientists have watched ocean temperatures rising since 1975. Check out the new seven-part web feature on oceans and human-caused climate change, featuring our own scientists and Doug's son Chris Rader, a marine biologist in the Florida Keys. The feature gives you a run-down of solutions and science, including the basics of glaciers, ecosystems and the ocean's "conveyor belt." What were you doing the year that corals were bleaching in nearly every ocean during the warmest 12-month span on record? Piece - http://www.oceansalive.org/explore.c...contentID=4704. Now, Chuck, you know darn good and well that there isn't such a thing as global warming. That's just something those unpatriotic, terrorist loving, well educated, liberal scientists are using to undermine the war on terror in Iraq. Now, everybody back in line, and goose step. I'm blaming my new depthsounder, but I have been getting summer water temperature readings that are consistently 1 degree higher and in some cases 2-3 degrees higher than readings in the same areas in previous years. It isn't unusual to have one warm year, or one cool year, and the climate does fluctuate- but we shouldn't be willing to accept any extreme amount of change we observe as a natural phenomenon. The ozone "hole" is a good example; since the use of CFC's was generally banned the hole seems to be repairing itself. (Although some free marketeers would claim the ozone hole would have stabilized, anyway, and that removing certain chemical compounds from the environment had nothing to do with it. You can still find people to insist there's no medical evidence linking smoking with lung cancer, too) Changes in the ocean environment certainly impact how we use and enjoy our boats. Small changes can effect the number of fish, and even the species of fish, available to catch. A trend of generally warmer water temps have played hell with out Pacific NW salmon runs for several years, although we did enjoy a couple of years where the temps dropped parially back toward the historic norms and we had (relatively)adequate runs of fish. Oceans (as well as green plants on shore) are vital to the existence of life as we know it on this planet. There is always a chance that just maybe some guy grousing one minute about how salmon fishing ain't what it used to be and gd'ing "them liberal environmentalists and their global warming crap" the next isn't seeing the big picture. |
#2
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![]() wrote in message oups.com... wrote: wrote: An email this morning reads: Chuck I thought you may be interested in this detailed ocean/global warming piece we just sent to our members since this topic is really heating up. You might think an angelfish in the waters off Massachusetts is one confused and chilly little tropical critter, unless you know that scientists have watched ocean temperatures rising since 1975. Check out the new seven-part web feature on oceans and human-caused climate change, featuring our own scientists and Doug's son Chris Rader, a marine biologist in the Florida Keys. The feature gives you a run-down of solutions and science, including the basics of glaciers, ecosystems and the ocean's "conveyor belt." What were you doing the year that corals were bleaching in nearly every ocean during the warmest 12-month span on record? Piece - http://www.oceansalive.org/explore.c...contentID=4704. Now, Chuck, you know darn good and well that there isn't such a thing as global warming. That's just something those unpatriotic, terrorist loving, well educated, liberal scientists are using to undermine the war on terror in Iraq. Now, everybody back in line, and goose step. I'm blaming my new depthsounder, but I have been getting summer water temperature readings that are consistently 1 degree higher and in some cases 2-3 degrees higher than readings in the same areas in previous years. It isn't unusual to have one warm year, or one cool year, and the climate does fluctuate- but we shouldn't be willing to accept any extreme amount of change we observe as a natural phenomenon. The ozone "hole" is a good example; since the use of CFC's was generally banned the hole seems to be repairing itself. (Although some free marketeers would claim the ozone hole would have stabilized, anyway, and that removing certain chemical compounds from the environment had nothing to do with it. You can still find people to insist there's no medical evidence linking smoking with lung cancer, too) Changes in the ocean environment certainly impact how we use and enjoy our boats. Small changes can effect the number of fish, and even the species of fish, available to catch. A trend of generally warmer water temps have played hell with out Pacific NW salmon runs for several years, although we did enjoy a couple of years where the temps dropped parially back toward the historic norms and we had (relatively)adequate runs of fish. Oceans (as well as green plants on shore) are vital to the existence of life as we know it on this planet. There is always a chance that just maybe some guy grousing one minute about how salmon fishing ain't what it used to be and gd'ing "them liberal environmentalists and their global warming crap" the next isn't seeing the big picture. The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? How much is man to blame? 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. And has not come back. What caused this warming? Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? |
#3
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![]() Bill McKee wrote: The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? Something else...the hand of man. It is real, and quantifiable. Using sound scientific techniques, we know that there hasn't been anywhere near the magnitude of global warming, for a given time period as what is happening now. Polar ice melt, rising sea levels, rising sea temps, etc. How much is man to blame? An awful lot. 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? Not much. But, alas, you are comparing apples and oranges. 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. It broke off, and to wit, hasn't come back, because of global warming. What caused this warming? Warming didn't cause the break off, but global warming did contribute to the inability of glaciers to maintain mass. Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. that is pure horse****. What amount of CFC's, the leading cause of ozone depletion was spewed by Mt. St. Helen? NONE. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Horse****. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? Who said ANY part of human life was or was not causing the decrease? Stick to the subject. |
#4
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![]() wrote in message ups.com... Bill McKee wrote: The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? Something else...the hand of man. It is real, and quantifiable. Using sound scientific techniques, we know that there hasn't been anywhere near the magnitude of global warming, for a given time period as what is happening now. Polar ice melt, rising sea levels, rising sea temps, etc. How much is man to blame? An awful lot. 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? Not much. But, alas, you are comparing apples and oranges. 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. It broke off, and to wit, hasn't come back, because of global warming. What caused this warming? Warming didn't cause the break off, but global warming did contribute to the inability of glaciers to maintain mass. Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. that is pure horse****. What amount of CFC's, the leading cause of ozone depletion was spewed by Mt. St. Helen? NONE. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Horse****. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? Who said ANY part of human life was or was not causing the decrease? Stick to the subject. Just as much evidence that man's hand is causing the global warming as there is that we are causing the magnetic field decrease. Very little. Krakatoa in Indonesia almost killed the prairie settlers of the time. Caused a 3 year dip in temps where they had snow in July in the midwest and the crops failed. All those pointy heads have not figured out the reason for the global warming. The Kyoto Agreement was done by 99% non-hard science people. The Glacier Bay warming that prevented the 20 miles of glacier from rebuilding. What was man doing then that caused the warming. Burning too much whale oil? The Vikings were settling Nova Scotia, etc and later the temps dropped, killing off the settlements. Why the cooling? The sun goes through cycles. Maybe we are in the warming cycle. There is global warming, has been in the past. Do not blame man, until you can prove it!! |
#5
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![]() Bill McKee wrote: wrote in message ups.com... Bill McKee wrote: The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? Something else...the hand of man. It is real, and quantifiable. Using sound scientific techniques, we know that there hasn't been anywhere near the magnitude of global warming, for a given time period as what is happening now. Polar ice melt, rising sea levels, rising sea temps, etc. How much is man to blame? An awful lot. 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? Not much. But, alas, you are comparing apples and oranges. 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. It broke off, and to wit, hasn't come back, because of global warming. What caused this warming? Warming didn't cause the break off, but global warming did contribute to the inability of glaciers to maintain mass. Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. that is pure horse****. What amount of CFC's, the leading cause of ozone depletion was spewed by Mt. St. Helen? NONE. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Horse****. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? Who said ANY part of human life was or was not causing the decrease? Stick to the subject. All those pointy heads have not figured out the reason for the global warming. heheheh!!!!! You CAN'T be serious....can you???!!!!!!!!! . The Glacier Bay warming that prevented the 20 miles of glacier from rebuilding. What was man doing then that caused the warming. Nothing. Who said man was to blame? There are other factors that may cause a particular body of water to warm. Burning too much whale oil? The Vikings were settling Nova Scotia, etc and later the temps dropped, killing off the settlements. Why the cooling? The sun goes through cycles. Maybe we are in the warming cycle. There is global warming, has been in the past. Do not blame man, until you can prove it!! It's BEEN proven, idiot!!!!! See below, 7 MILLION observations!!!!!: New proof that man has caused global warming From Mark Henderson, Science Correspondent, in Washington The strongest evidence yet that global warming has been triggered by human activity has emerged from a major study of rising temperatures in the world's oceans. The present trend of warmer sea temperatures, which have risen by an average of half a degree Celsius (0.9F) over the past 40 years, can be explained only if greenhouse gas emissions are responsible, new research has revealed. The results are so compelling that they should end controversy about the causes of climate change, one of the scientists who led the study said yesterday. "The debate about whether there is a global warming signal now is over, at least for rational people," said Tim Barnett, of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, California. "The models got it right. If a politician stands up and says the uncertainty is too great to believe these models, that is no longer tenable." In the study, Dr Barnett's team examined more than seven million observations of temperature, salinity and other variables in the world's oceans, collected by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and compared the patterns with those that are predicted by computer models of various potential causes of climate change. It found that natural variation in the Earth's climate, or changes in solar activity or volcanic eruptions, which have been suggested as alternative explanations for rising temperatures, could not explain the data collected in the real world. Models based on man-made emissions of greenhouse gases, however, matched the observations almost precisely. Then read this: The Final Proof: Global Warming is a Man-Made Disaster by Steve Connor Scientists have found the first unequivocal link between man-made greenhouse gases and a dramatic heating of the Earth's oceans. The researchers - many funded by the US government - have seen what they describe as a "stunning" correlation between a rise in ocean temperature over the past 40 years and pollution of the atmosphere. The study destroys a central argument of global warming skeptics within the Bush administration - that climate change could be a natural phenomenon. It should convince George Bush to drop his objections to the Kyoto treaty on climate change, the scientists say. Tim Barnett, a marine physicist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego and a leading member of the team, said: "We've got a serious problem. The debate is no longer: 'Is there a global warming signal?' The debate now is what are we going to do about it?" The findings are crucial because much of the evidence of a warmer world has until now been from air temperatures, but it is the oceans that are the driving force behind the Earth's climate. Dr Barnett said: "Over the past 40 years there has been considerable warming of the planetary system and approximately 90 per cent of that warming has gone directly into the oceans." He told the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Washington: "We defined a 'fingerprint' of ocean warming. Each of the oceans warmed differently at different depths and constitutes a fingerprint which you can look for. We had several computer simulations, for instance one for natural variability: could the climate system just do this on its own? The answer was no. "We looked at the possibility that solar changes or volcanic effects could have caused the warming - not a chance. What just absolutely nailed it was greenhouse warming." America produces a quarter of the world's greenhouse gases, yet under President Bush it is one of the few developed nations not to have signed the Kyoto treaty to limit emissions. The President's advisers have argued that the science of global warming is full of uncertainties and change might be a natural phenomenon. Dr Barnett said that position was untenable because it was now clear from the latest study, which is yet to be published, that man-made greenhouse gases had caused vast amounts of heat to be soaked up by the oceans. "It's a good time for nations that are not part of Kyoto to re-evaluate their positions and see if it would be to their advantage to join," he said. The study involved scientists from the US Department of Energy, the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California and the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, as well as the Met Office's Hadley Center. They analyzed more than 7 million recordings of ocean temperature from around the world, along with about 2 million readings of sea salinity, and compared the rise in temperatures at different depths to predictions made by two computer simulations of global warming. "Two models, one from here and one from England, got the observed warming almost exactly. In fact we were stunned by the degree of similarity," Dr Barnett said. "The models are right. So when a politician stands up and says 'the uncertainty in all these simulations start to question whether we can believe in these models', that argument is no longer tenable." Typical ocean temperatures have increased since 1960 by between 0.5C and 1C, depending largely on depth. DR Barnett said: "The real key is the amount of energy that has gone into the oceans. If we could mine the energy that has gone in over the past 40 years we could run the state of California for 200,000 years... It's come from greenhouse warming." Those two articles should at least get your brain to work enough to realize that the hand of man is, indeed bad for the earth. If not, let me know, there's thousands and thousands of articles to back up the fact. |
#6
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![]() wrote in message oups.com... Bill McKee wrote: wrote in message ups.com... Bill McKee wrote: The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? Something else...the hand of man. It is real, and quantifiable. Using sound scientific techniques, we know that there hasn't been anywhere near the magnitude of global warming, for a given time period as what is happening now. Polar ice melt, rising sea levels, rising sea temps, etc. How much is man to blame? An awful lot. 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? Not much. But, alas, you are comparing apples and oranges. 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. It broke off, and to wit, hasn't come back, because of global warming. What caused this warming? Warming didn't cause the break off, but global warming did contribute to the inability of glaciers to maintain mass. Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. that is pure horse****. What amount of CFC's, the leading cause of ozone depletion was spewed by Mt. St. Helen? NONE. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Horse****. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? Who said ANY part of human life was or was not causing the decrease? Stick to the subject. All those pointy heads have not figured out the reason for the global warming. heheheh!!!!! You CAN'T be serious....can you???!!!!!!!!! . The Glacier Bay warming that prevented the 20 miles of glacier from rebuilding. What was man doing then that caused the warming. Nothing. Who said man was to blame? There are other factors that may cause a particular body of water to warm. Burning too much whale oil? The Vikings were settling Nova Scotia, etc and later the temps dropped, killing off the settlements. Why the cooling? The sun goes through cycles. Maybe we are in the warming cycle. There is global warming, has been in the past. Do not blame man, until you can prove it!! It's BEEN proven, idiot!!!!! See below, 7 MILLION observations!!!!!: IT HAS NOT BEEN PROVEN! IF IT WAS PROVEN, THEN THE DEBATE IN THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY WOULD BE NON-EXISTANT! Now where is the proof there is a Guzzi Desmo model? |
#7
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![]() "Bill McKee" wrote in message ink.net... wrote in message oups.com... Bill McKee wrote: wrote in message ups.com... Bill McKee wrote: The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? Something else...the hand of man. It is real, and quantifiable. Using sound scientific techniques, we know that there hasn't been anywhere near the magnitude of global warming, for a given time period as what is happening now. Polar ice melt, rising sea levels, rising sea temps, etc. How much is man to blame? An awful lot. 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? Not much. But, alas, you are comparing apples and oranges. 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. It broke off, and to wit, hasn't come back, because of global warming. What caused this warming? Warming didn't cause the break off, but global warming did contribute to the inability of glaciers to maintain mass. Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. that is pure horse****. What amount of CFC's, the leading cause of ozone depletion was spewed by Mt. St. Helen? NONE. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Horse****. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? Who said ANY part of human life was or was not causing the decrease? Stick to the subject. All those pointy heads have not figured out the reason for the global warming. heheheh!!!!! You CAN'T be serious....can you???!!!!!!!!! . The Glacier Bay warming that prevented the 20 miles of glacier from rebuilding. What was man doing then that caused the warming. Nothing. Who said man was to blame? There are other factors that may cause a particular body of water to warm. Burning too much whale oil? The Vikings were settling Nova Scotia, etc and later the temps dropped, killing off the settlements. Why the cooling? The sun goes through cycles. Maybe we are in the warming cycle. There is global warming, has been in the past. Do not blame man, until you can prove it!! It's BEEN proven, idiot!!!!! See below, 7 MILLION observations!!!!!: IT HAS NOT BEEN PROVEN! IF IT WAS PROVEN, THEN THE DEBATE IN THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY WOULD BE NON-EXISTANT! Now where is the proof there is a Guzzi Desmo model? Kevin=Chicken little. He will provide the proof after he finishes drinking his "schnapps whiskey" LOL |
#8
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![]() Bill McKee wrote: wrote in message oups.com... Bill McKee wrote: wrote in message ups.com... Bill McKee wrote: The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? Something else...the hand of man. It is real, and quantifiable. Using sound scientific techniques, we know that there hasn't been anywhere near the magnitude of global warming, for a given time period as what is happening now. Polar ice melt, rising sea levels, rising sea temps, etc. How much is man to blame? An awful lot. 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? Not much. But, alas, you are comparing apples and oranges. 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. It broke off, and to wit, hasn't come back, because of global warming. What caused this warming? Warming didn't cause the break off, but global warming did contribute to the inability of glaciers to maintain mass. Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. that is pure horse****. What amount of CFC's, the leading cause of ozone depletion was spewed by Mt. St. Helen? NONE. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Horse****. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? Who said ANY part of human life was or was not causing the decrease? Stick to the subject. All those pointy heads have not figured out the reason for the global warming. heheheh!!!!! You CAN'T be serious....can you???!!!!!!!!! . The Glacier Bay warming that prevented the 20 miles of glacier from rebuilding. What was man doing then that caused the warming. Nothing. Who said man was to blame? There are other factors that may cause a particular body of water to warm. Burning too much whale oil? The Vikings were settling Nova Scotia, etc and later the temps dropped, killing off the settlements. Why the cooling? The sun goes through cycles. Maybe we are in the warming cycle. There is global warming, has been in the past. Do not blame man, until you can prove it!! It's BEEN proven, idiot!!!!! See below, 7 MILLION observations!!!!!: IT HAS NOT BEEN PROVEN! IF IT WAS PROVEN, THEN THE DEBATE IN THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY WOULD BE NON-EXISTANT! Now where is the proof there is a Guzzi Desmo model? Hmm, you need to look, I proved my point. Now, why are you trying to change the subject, Bill? It's your typical m.o. because you are almost always shown to be wrong, then you change the subject!!!! Do you not call *7 MILLION OBSERVATIONS* conclusive??? Does that mean that you've seen over seven million Autolite carbs that have a tag on a bolt? |
#9
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![]() "Bill McKee" wrote in message ink.net... wrote in message oups.com... Bill McKee wrote: wrote in message ups.com... Bill McKee wrote: The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? Something else...the hand of man. It is real, and quantifiable. Using sound scientific techniques, we know that there hasn't been anywhere near the magnitude of global warming, for a given time period as what is happening now. Polar ice melt, rising sea levels, rising sea temps, etc. How much is man to blame? An awful lot. 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? Not much. But, alas, you are comparing apples and oranges. 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. It broke off, and to wit, hasn't come back, because of global warming. What caused this warming? Warming didn't cause the break off, but global warming did contribute to the inability of glaciers to maintain mass. Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. that is pure horse****. What amount of CFC's, the leading cause of ozone depletion was spewed by Mt. St. Helen? NONE. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Horse****. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? Who said ANY part of human life was or was not causing the decrease? Stick to the subject. All those pointy heads have not figured out the reason for the global warming. heheheh!!!!! You CAN'T be serious....can you???!!!!!!!!! . The Glacier Bay warming that prevented the 20 miles of glacier from rebuilding. What was man doing then that caused the warming. Nothing. Who said man was to blame? There are other factors that may cause a particular body of water to warm. Burning too much whale oil? The Vikings were settling Nova Scotia, etc and later the temps dropped, killing off the settlements. Why the cooling? The sun goes through cycles. Maybe we are in the warming cycle. There is global warming, has been in the past. Do not blame man, until you can prove it!! It's BEEN proven, idiot!!!!! See below, 7 MILLION observations!!!!!: IT HAS NOT BEEN PROVEN! IF IT WAS PROVEN, THEN THE DEBATE IN THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY WOULD BE NON-EXISTANT! Now where is the proof there is a Guzzi Desmo model? Another few holes in kevins 'proof' http://online.wsj.com/article_email/...b62Em4,00.html By JAMES SCHLESINGER August 8, 2005 "Almost unnoticed, the theology of global warming has in recent weeks suffered a number of setbacks. In referring to the theology of global warming, one is not focusing on evidence of the earth's warming in recent decades, particularly in the Arctic, but rather on the widespread insistence that such warming is primarily a consequence of man's activities -- and that, if only we collectively had the will, we could alter our behavior and stop the warming of the planet. It was Michael Crichton who pointed out in his Commonwealth Club lecture some years ago that environmentalism had become the religion of Western elites. Indeed it has. Most notably, the burning of fossil fuels (a concomitant of economic growth and rising living standards) is the secular counterpart of man's Original Sin. If only we would repent and sin no more, mankind's actions could end the threat of further global warming. By implication, the cost, which is never fully examined, is bearable. So far the evidence is not convincing. It is notable that 13 of the 15 older members of the European Union have failed to achieve their quotas under the Kyoto accord -- despite the relatively slow growth of the European economies. The drumbeat on global warming was intended to reach a crescendo during the run-up to the summit at Gleneagles. Prime Minister Blair has been a leader in the global warming crusade. (Whether his stance reflects simple conviction or the need to propitiate his party's Left after Iraq is unknown.) In the event, for believers, Gleneagles turned out to be a major disappointment. On the eve of the summit, the Economic Committee of the House of Lords released a report sharply at variance with the prevailing European orthodoxy. Some key points were reported in the Guardian, a London newspaper not hostile to that orthodoxy: . The science of climate change leaves "considerable uncertainty" about the future. . There are concerns about the objectivity of the international panel of scientists that has led research into climate change. . The Kyoto agreement to limit carbon emissions will make little difference and is likely to fail. . The U.K.'s energy and climate policy contains "dubious assumptions" about renewable energy and energy efficiency. Most notably, the Committee itself concluded that there are concerns about the objectivity of the IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] process and about the IPCC's crucial emissions scenario exercise".......................... "Much has been made of the assertion, repeated regularly in the media, that "the science is settled," based upon a supposed "scientific consensus." Yet, some years ago in the "Oregon Petition" between 17,000 and 18,000 signatories, almost all scientists, made manifest that the science was not settled, declaring: "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gasses is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate." Several additional observations are in order. First, the "consensus" is ostensibly based upon the several Assessment Reports of the IPCC. One must bear in mind that the summary reports are political documents put together by government policy makers, who, to put it mildly, treat rather cavalierly the expressed uncertainties and caveats in the underlying scientific reports. Moreover, the IPCC was created to support a specific political goal. It is directed to support the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change. In turn, the Convention calls for an effective international response to deal with "the common concern of all mankind" -- in short, to reduce the emissions of greenhouse gases. Statements by the leaders of the IPCC have been uninhibitedly political. Second, science is not a matter of consensus, as the histories of Galileo, Copernicus, Pasteur, Einstein and others will attest. Science depends not on speculation but on conclusions verified through experiment. Verification is more than computer simulations -- whose conclusions mirror the assumptions built in the model. Irrespective of the repeated assertions regarding a "scientific consensus," there is neither a consensus nor is consensus science." |
#10
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![]() "Bill McKee" wrote in message nk.net... wrote in message oups.com... wrote: wrote: An email this morning reads: Chuck I thought you may be interested in this detailed ocean/global warming piece we just sent to our members since this topic is really heating up. You might think an angelfish in the waters off Massachusetts is one confused and chilly little tropical critter, unless you know that scientists have watched ocean temperatures rising since 1975. Check out the new seven-part web feature on oceans and human-caused climate change, featuring our own scientists and Doug's son Chris Rader, a marine biologist in the Florida Keys. The feature gives you a run-down of solutions and science, including the basics of glaciers, ecosystems and the ocean's "conveyor belt." What were you doing the year that corals were bleaching in nearly every ocean during the warmest 12-month span on record? Piece - http://www.oceansalive.org/explore.c...contentID=4704. Now, Chuck, you know darn good and well that there isn't such a thing as global warming. That's just something those unpatriotic, terrorist loving, well educated, liberal scientists are using to undermine the war on terror in Iraq. Now, everybody back in line, and goose step. I'm blaming my new depthsounder, but I have been getting summer water temperature readings that are consistently 1 degree higher and in some cases 2-3 degrees higher than readings in the same areas in previous years. It isn't unusual to have one warm year, or one cool year, and the climate does fluctuate- but we shouldn't be willing to accept any extreme amount of change we observe as a natural phenomenon. The ozone "hole" is a good example; since the use of CFC's was generally banned the hole seems to be repairing itself. (Although some free marketeers would claim the ozone hole would have stabilized, anyway, and that removing certain chemical compounds from the environment had nothing to do with it. You can still find people to insist there's no medical evidence linking smoking with lung cancer, too) Changes in the ocean environment certainly impact how we use and enjoy our boats. Small changes can effect the number of fish, and even the species of fish, available to catch. A trend of generally warmer water temps have played hell with out Pacific NW salmon runs for several years, although we did enjoy a couple of years where the temps dropped parially back toward the historic norms and we had (relatively)adequate runs of fish. Oceans (as well as green plants on shore) are vital to the existence of life as we know it on this planet. There is always a chance that just maybe some guy grousing one minute about how salmon fishing ain't what it used to be and gd'ing "them liberal environmentalists and their global warming crap" the next isn't seeing the big picture. The question is not global warming, but the cause. Is it the natural cycles of earth, or something else? How much is man to blame? 10k years ago was a mini ice age, what did man do to cause it? 1860 or there abouts 20 miles of glacier in Glacier Bay meltet. And has not come back. What caused this warming? Mt. St. Helens spewed more ozone killing chemicals in one eruption than man put up in 10-20 years. The same "Enviromentalists" were saying global cooling in 1970. When that grant money dried up, they are now touting man caused global warming. Maybe it is grant money that causes the problems. Does not seem to bring solutions. Which part of human life is causing the decrease in the earth's magnetic field? In the early middle ages there was another warming trend that allowed the Vikings to establish colonies in Greenland, and had much to do with the development of the European continent during that time. The enviro wackos have jumped on the "global warming" bandwagon because that is where the money is. "Scientific conclusions should be based on observable facts, not political agendas. Yet politics is driving the global warming debate. "Science, in the public arena, is commonly used as a source of authority with which to bludgeon political opponents and propagandize uninformed citizens," Dr. Lindzen lamented in his Wall Street Journal article. "This is what has been done with both the reports of the IPCC and the NAS. It is a reprehensible practice that corrodes our ability to make rational decisions." Yet rational decisions can be made. All that is necessary is to separate the politics from the science and examine the known facts: .. Climate variability: The climate is constantly changing, not just season to season but year to year, century to century, and millennium to millennium. In his Journal article, Dr. Lindzen pointed out that "two centuries ago, much of the Northern Hemisphere was emerging from a little ice age. A millennium ago, during the Middle Ages, the same region was in a warm period. Thirty years ago, we were concerned with global cooling." During the global cooling scare of the 1970s, some observers even worried that the planet was on the verge of a new ice age. .. The actual temperature record: The global mean temperature is approximately 0.5 degrees Celsius higher than it was a century ago. Based on surface readings, the temperature rose prior to 1940, perhaps in response to the end of the little ice age, which lasted until the 19th century. From about 1940 until about 1975, the temperature dropped, sparking the above-mentioned global cooling scare. More recently the temperature has been rising again, sparking concerns about global warming. The accuracy of the surface temperature record must be kept in mind when evaluating trends measured in fractions of a degree. One significant problem is the extent to which the data may be skewed as a result of urbanization. Atmospheric physicist Dr. S. Fred Singer wrote in a letter that appeared in the May issue of Science: "The post-1940 global warming claimed by the IPCC comes mainly from distant surface stations and from tropical sea surface readings, with both data sets poorly controlled (in both quality and location)." On the other hand, "surface data from well-controlled U.S. stations (after removing the urban 'heat-island' effects) show the warmest years as being around 1940." In his testimony to the Senate Commerce Committee on July 18th of last year, Singer bluntly stated: "The post-1980 global warming trend from surface thermometers is not credible." Dr. Singer, who established the U.S. Weather Satellite Service and served as its first director, is just one of many scientists who believe that temperature data collected by weather satellites provides a far better measuring stick than the surface readings. After all, the satellite data is truly global, and it is not skewed by the urban heat effect. The satellite data from January 1979 (when this data first became available) through May 2001 shows a warming trend of 0.038 degrees Celsius per decade - or less than four-tenths of one degree per century. This minuscule rate of increase, which could change, is far less than the dramatic increases in temperature the forecasters of doom have been warning against. .. Man's effect on the climate: In the interest of scrupulous accuracy, Dr. Lindzen acknowledged in his May 2nd Senate testimony that "man, like the butterfly, has some impact on climate." Obviously this was true when the Vikings were able to cultivate Greenland, Iceland, and Newfoundland. But it is true even today. In the April 3rd issue of the Wall Street Journal, George Melloan noted that, according to "serious scientists," "the greenhouse gases are a fundamental part of the biosphere, necessary to all life, and . industrial activity generates less than 5% of them, if that." .. Carbon dioxide's effect on climate: According to the global warming theory, the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which has been established, is causing the global temperature to rise. Most of the increase in the surface temperature during the past century occurred before most of the increase in atmospheric CO2. The temperature in 1940, recall, was not much different than it is now. Yet, as astrophysicist Sallie Baliunas pointed out in a letter published in the August 5, 1999 Wall Street Journal, "more than 80% of the manmade carbon dioxide has entered the air since the ' 40s." One reason why the global warming theory may be flawed is that the amount of atmospheric CO2 is not the only variable determining the earth's temperature. It is not even the main "greenhouse" gas. In a chapter appearing in the compendium Earth Report 2000, Dr. Roy Spencer, senior scientist for climate studies at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center, noted: "It is estimated that water vapor accounts for about 95 percent of the earth 's natural greenhouse effect, whereas carbon dioxide contributes most of the remaining 5 percent. Global warming projections assume that water vapor will increase along with any warming resulting from the increases in carbon dioxide concentrations." The projected "positive feedback" to the initial CO2-induced warming may not occur to the extent that global warming theorists are predicting, however. As Dr. Spencer points out, "there remain substantial uncertainties in our understanding of how the climate system will respond to increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases." Moreover, the natural greenhouse effect that heats the earth is moderated by natural cooling processes. "In other words," concluded Dr. Spencer, "the natural greenhouse effect cannot be considered in isolation as a process warming the earth, without at the same time accounting for cooling processes that actually keep the greenhouse effect from scorching us all." .. The sun's effect on climate: One factor global warming theorists ignore is the effect that the sun's changing activity may have on the global temperature. A brighter sun may cause the global temperature to rise, and vice versa. Dr. Baliunas, in the Wall Street Journal letter referenced above, explained how the sun's activity can be measured by the length of the sunspot cycle (the shorter the cycle, the more active the sun). Dr. Baliunas ' letter included a chart showing a close correlation between changes in the length of the sunspot cycle and Northern Hemisphere land temperature for 1750-1978. Climate Models The known facts do not point to catastrophic global warming. That prediction is not based on the known temperature record but on complicated computer models that have been grossly inaccurate in the past. Those models do a very poor job of properly applying all the myriad factors that shape the world's climate, in large part because much of the mechanisms of climate remain largely unknown. Dr. Frederick Seitz warned against relying on computer models of the climate in the Wall Street Journal for April 19th: "According to climate change models, the earth's surface temperature should have increased substantially in the past few decades because of man-made carbon dioxide already added to the atmosphere. However, actual temperature measurements show that these computer models have exaggerated the amount of warming by at least a factor of two." In light of this failure, Dr. Seitz reasoned: "Since the computer estimates of global warming for the past few decades have been cut back by a factor of two or more, to bring them in line with the measured temperature increases, the same correction should be applied to temperature predictions for the coming century. This would reduce the projected warming in 2100 to well within the range of natural variability of climate - the normal fluctuations that occur in nature without any human influence." Dangerous Solution To head off the theoretical global warming threat, America and other developed nations are supposed to subject themselves to a global warming treaty that would result in an energy crisis so severe as to make California 's energy shortfall appear mild by comparison. Full implementation of Kyoto would not save the earth from catastrophic global warming since no such threat exists. It would, however, reduce our standard of living and consolidate more power into the hands of those who intend to control and allocate the earth's supposedly limited resources. It is not too surprising that the Clinton-Gore White House supported Kyoto, considering that administration's overt radicalism. Nor is it surprising that Clinton never submitted the Kyoto treaty to the Senate for ratification. He knew that the treaty would be dead on arrival, since that body had earlier voted 95-0 not to ratify any global warming treaty that did not include commitments on the part of developing nations such as India and China. What is surprising is that George W. Bush is now being cast as an anti-environment, anti-Mother Earth ignoramus for having criticized Kyoto in its present form when he should have stated that no global warming threat exists." http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1435624/posts |