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Dennis Approaching Jamaica
DENNIS APPROACHING JAMAICA
As of 11 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Dennis was centered at 18.0 north, 75.6 west, or about 80 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Maximum sustained winds remain at 105 mph, with higher gusts. The estimated central pressure is 968 mb (28.58 inches). This makes Dennis a strong Category 2 hurricane. Dennis is moving toward the northwest at 10 mph, but this may be more of a wobble in its movement. A west-northwest track, toward Jamaica and then south of Cuba, is likely over the next 24-48 hours. A hurricane warning is in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, from the Dominican Republic border westward, for all of Jamaica, all of the Cayman Islands, eastern and central Cuba. A hurricane watch is now in effect for western Cuba. Hurricane conditions, including life-threatening flash flooding is imminent for these Caribbean islands. A hurricane watch has also been issued for the Florida Keys with a tropical storm watch now in effect for the south peninsula of Florida from Golden Beach southward on the east coast and Bonita Beach southward on the west coast. We expect Dennis to track over the western tip of Cuba late Friday or Friday night, and end up in the eastern Gulf of Mexico, most likely as a Category 3, or major hurricane. All U.S. interests, from the Florida Keys and the Florida west coast, all the way to the Texas coast, should closely monitor the progress of this strengthening hurricane. As of now, we believe Dennis will head for the central Gulf Coast, with a projected landfall in the vicinity of the mouth of the Mississippi River Sunday night or Monday. On a historical note, this is the earliest in the Atlantic hurricane season, that the "D" named storm has been reached. In no other season, back through the time in which records have been kept, have there been four named storms by this early date. Tropical Depression Cindy is centered over northern Georgia, and is moving northeastward. Heavy, flooding rainfall is the main problem with what is left of Cindy; to the right of track, there can be a few strong to severe thunderstorms. We think Tropical Depression Cindy, or Tropical Rainstorm Cindy will track up through the western Carolinas today, and into Virginia by tomorrow. Tropical waves to note: a wave, or actually a 1014 mb low is centered near 11 north, 18 west; strong convection, or thunderstorms, are nearby. This is a very large, impressive-looking system in the eastern Atlantic. A tropical wave is along 35 west, south of 20 north, moving west; no convection is associated with this system. A tropical wave is along 54 west, south of 16 north, moving west. |
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