"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
NOYB wrote:

Zogby is an Arab-American. He may be a wee bit biased, no?


"thunder" wrote in message
news
On Wed, 12 May 2004 19:05:42 +0000, NOYB wrote:


Perhaps America's long nightmare with G.W. Bush is coming to an end.

Perhaps not:

CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Bush 47, Kerry 45, Nader 5, None/No opinion 3

Investors Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor Bush 46, Kerry 41,
Nader 5, Not sure 7

Perhaps:

http://www.zogby.com/news/051004.html




Sheesh. Zogby is an honest pollster, an interesting fellow, and
Republican-leaning. No one questions his integrity...no one except a
BushLemming like you.

I'm not questioning his polling methods nor the results. I'm questioning
his interpretation of the statistics. He seems to ignore the significance
of a key sentence in his blog:
"In that same poll, Kerry leads by 17 points in the Blue States that voted
for Al Gore in 2000, while Bush leads by only 10 points in the Red States
that he won four years ago."

10 points is less than 17, but it's still a huge number to overcome. If
Bush wins the same states as 2000, as Zogby's poll suggests, he wins the
election. In fact, changes in the distribution of electoral college votes
makes Bush the winner by an even larger margin than in 2000.