This really surprises me. I thought we Kerry making Bush look like a dummy
in the 3 debates it would be enough to swing the noncommittal to his side.
It appears he has lost all of the increase from his first 2 debates.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Pre...chart3way.html

I think his often repeated comment about Cheney's daughter being a lesbian
is backfiring on him. I am a conservative who believe homosexuality is not
a choice, a homosexual is born that way. I also believe God does not make a
mistake so it must be ok with him. What I do believe is tacky is for any
candidate to emphasize their opponents family during a campaign. If he had
red hair or was left handed and it was mentioned in each of his opponents
campaign speeches it would sound tacky, but if they were in a wheelchair,
mentally ill, or was born with a sexual preference of 2-3% of the population
it is even tackier.
If Cheney's daughter wants to use her fathers campaign to push her agenda
that is her choice.

It appears that many people think Kerry has crossed the line.



"George Orwell" wrote in message
...
Bush Up By 8!!

The latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll has Bush up 52% to 44% among likely
voters. That's an 8 point lead!

Interviews with 1,013 adult Americans, including 788 likely voters and 942
registered voters, conducted by telephone on October 14-16, 2004
Although Americans think John Kerry did the best job in the debates, that
has not translated into an increase in his popularity, which in turn means
that he appears to have lost a little ground to Bush. Among registered
voters, a 48%-48% tie is now a 49%-46% edge for Bush -- not much of a
difference and, with the sampling error, not a significant change. The
Gallup likely voter model, which identified those respondents who are most
likely to cast a ballot, is magnifying those shifts, with a 49%-48%
advantage for Kerry turning into a 52%-44% lead for Bush. What's going on?

For one thing, the charge that Kerry is too liberal, which Bush emphasized
mostly in the third and last debate on Wednesday night, seems to be
sticking. Nearly half say Kerry's political views are too liberal. (Four
in
ten say Bush is too conservative.) But didn't Kerry win the debate? Yes,
as
with the first two debates, the public thinks Kerry did the better job on
Wednesday night. But as Al Gore learned in 2000, winning a debate on
points
does not necessarily translate into votes or make a candidate more
popular.
As in 2000, Bush's favorable ratings -- Americans view of him as a person
-- went up after a debate that he lost. Kerry's favorable rating has
remained flat. Republicans seem more enthusiastic about the election, and
thus more likely to vote, as reflected in the Gallup likely voter model.

Bush may have energized his base in the final debate at the expense of not
appealing to a wider audience -- but he managed to do so in a way that
made
him more popular than Kerry.

On Sun, 17 Oct 2004 20:37:24 +0000, Jon Smithe wrote:

This really surprises me. I thought we Kerry making Bush look like a
dummy in the 3 debates it would be enough to swing the noncommittal to his
side. It appears he has lost all of the increase from his first 2 debates.

I wouldn't weight the Gallup poll to seriously. Gallup polls are designed
to be sensitive to movement, and admittedly, can exaggerate a party's
turnout.

http://www.laweekly.com/ink/04/45/news-bearman.php

This is an extremely close race. It will probably be decided by Ohio or,
once again, Florida, or, perhaps again, the Supreme Court.