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Default Testing fallacy



Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


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Default Testing fallacy

On 4/17/20 7:08 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:


Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


Everyone will need to be tested frequently, as I previously stated. But
that won't happen the way Trump is ****ing over the possibility of a
national response.

--
MAGA - Manipulating America's Gullible Assholes
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Default Testing fallacy

Keyser Soze wrote:
On 4/17/20 7:08 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:


Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


Everyone will need to be tested frequently, as I previously stated. But
that won't happen the way Trump is ****ing over the possibility of a
national response.


How many can you test a day? 380 million? The approximate population of
the country. 10 minutes a test, minimum. 380x10xx6 times 10 v 380x10xx7.
Divide by 6 to get the hours. Divide by 24 to get the man days required.
Which is about 33,000 man days required. Every day. Then we have a
logistics problem. We better hope than immunity comes with having survived
the infection. Now, how is President Biden going to accomplish his
testing? How would YOU accomplish the testing? Maybe you need to take the
bus in to DC and have lunch with the President and tell him how to do the
job.

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Default Testing fallacy

On 4/17/20 8:34 PM, Bill wrote:
Keyser Soze wrote:
On 4/17/20 7:08 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:


Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


Everyone will need to be tested frequently, as I previously stated. But
that won't happen the way Trump is ****ing over the possibility of a
national response.


How many can you test a day? 380 million? The approximate population of
the country. 10 minutes a test, minimum. 380x10xx6 times 10 v 380x10xx7.
Divide by 6 to get the hours. Divide by 24 to get the man days required.
Which is about 33,000 man days required. Every day. Then we have a
logistics problem. We better hope than immunity comes with having survived
the infection. Now, how is President Biden going to accomplish his
testing? How would YOU accomplish the testing? Maybe you need to take the
bus in to DC and have lunch with the President and tell him how to do the
job.


We're way way behind on testing, Bilious. No one is suggesting that
everyone be tested every day.

--
MAGA - Manipulating America's Gullible Assholes
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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Jan 2017
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Default Testing fallacy

Keyser Soze wrote:
On 4/17/20 8:34 PM, Bill wrote:
Keyser Soze wrote:
On 4/17/20 7:08 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:


Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


Everyone will need to be tested frequently, as I previously stated. But
that won't happen the way Trump is ****ing over the possibility of a
national response.


How many can you test a day? 380 million? The approximate population of
the country. 10 minutes a test, minimum. 380x10xx6 times 10 v 380x10xx7.
Divide by 6 to get the hours. Divide by 24 to get the man days required.
Which is about 33,000 man days required. Every day. Then we have a
logistics problem. We better hope than immunity comes with having survived
the infection. Now, how is President Biden going to accomplish his
testing? How would YOU accomplish the testing? Maybe you need to take the
bus in to DC and have lunch with the President and tell him how to do the
job.


We're way way behind on testing, Bilious. No one is suggesting that
everyone be tested every day.


How frequently are you suggesting? Every other day? Then you only need
16.5 thousand man days. Once a week? Who is making 380,000,000 tests a
week?



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Default Testing fallacy

On Fri, 17 Apr 2020 19:08:07 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:



Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.


I have been saying that all along.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


If our experience with the other Covids holds true, this will mutate
and we won't be totally immune but the antibodies we have will make
fighting it off easier.
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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Jan 2017
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Default Testing fallacy

wrote:
On Fri, 17 Apr 2020 19:08:07 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:



Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.


I have been saying that all along.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


If our experience with the other Covids holds true, this will mutate
and we won't be totally immune but the antibodies we have will make
fighting it off easier.


It may become another flu.

  #8   Report Post  
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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Jul 2007
Posts: 36,387
Default Testing fallacy

On Fri, 17 Apr 2020 20:46:41 -0400, Keyser Soze
wrote:

On 4/17/20 8:34 PM, Bill wrote:
Keyser Soze wrote:
On 4/17/20 7:08 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:


Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


Everyone will need to be tested frequently, as I previously stated. But
that won't happen the way Trump is ****ing over the possibility of a
national response.


How many can you test a day? 380 million? The approximate population of
the country. 10 minutes a test, minimum. 380x10xx6 times 10 v 380x10xx7.
Divide by 6 to get the hours. Divide by 24 to get the man days required.
Which is about 33,000 man days required. Every day. Then we have a
logistics problem. We better hope than immunity comes with having survived
the infection. Now, how is President Biden going to accomplish his
testing? How would YOU accomplish the testing? Maybe you need to take the
bus in to DC and have lunch with the President and tell him how to do the
job.


We're way way behind on testing, Bilious. No one is suggesting that
everyone be tested every day.


If you are only looking at active cases, Fauci did.
Ref Richard's note
He admits, otherwise it is useless to determine if it is safe for you
to be around other people.
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Default Testing fallacy

On Sat, 18 Apr 2020 04:19:48 -0000 (UTC), Bill
wrote:

wrote:
On Fri, 17 Apr 2020 19:08:07 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:



Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.


I have been saying that all along.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


If our experience with the other Covids holds true, this will mutate
and we won't be totally immune but the antibodies we have will make
fighting it off easier.


It may become another flu.


Or just another nagging seasonal cold.

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Default Testing fallacy

On Fri, 17 Apr 2020 19:08:07 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote:



Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


The Democrats expect Trump to give 330,000,000 tests every day, and in some case
multiple times during the day.
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