Thread: Testing fallacy
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Bill[_12_] Bill[_12_] is offline
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Default Testing fallacy

Keyser Soze wrote:
On 4/17/20 8:34 PM, Bill wrote:
Keyser Soze wrote:
On 4/17/20 7:08 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:


Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing"
due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody"
gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work.

Problem is that those who test negative
today could go out and become infected tomorrow.

In order to confirm that people going back to work are
free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested
every day.

Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once
infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming
infected again.

He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history
of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to
be the case with covid-19.


Everyone will need to be tested frequently, as I previously stated. But
that won't happen the way Trump is ****ing over the possibility of a
national response.


How many can you test a day? 380 million? The approximate population of
the country. 10 minutes a test, minimum. 380x10xx6 times 10 v 380x10xx7.
Divide by 6 to get the hours. Divide by 24 to get the man days required.
Which is about 33,000 man days required. Every day. Then we have a
logistics problem. We better hope than immunity comes with having survived
the infection. Now, how is President Biden going to accomplish his
testing? How would YOU accomplish the testing? Maybe you need to take the
bus in to DC and have lunch with the President and tell him how to do the
job.


We're way way behind on testing, Bilious. No one is suggesting that
everyone be tested every day.


How frequently are you suggesting? Every other day? Then you only need
16.5 thousand man days. Once a week? Who is making 380,000,000 tests a
week?