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#15
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Testing fallacy
On Sat, 18 Apr 2020 08:24:23 -0400, John wrote:
On Sat, 18 Apr 2020 08:18:39 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 4/18/2020 8:03 AM, John wrote: On Sat, 18 Apr 2020 01:24:27 -0400, wrote: On Sat, 18 Apr 2020 04:19:48 -0000 (UTC), Bill wrote: wrote: On Fri, 17 Apr 2020 19:08:07 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: Doc Fauci addressed an important issue regarding "testing" due to the growing concerns and even demands that "everybody" gets tested for covid-19 before they go back to work. Problem is that those who test negative today could go out and become infected tomorrow. In order to confirm that people going back to work are free of infection .... they'd have to literally be tested every day. I have been saying that all along. Another thing that he addressed is that many believe that once infected and recovered, a person is "immune" to becoming infected again. He said that's a reasonable assumption based on the history of other viral diseases, but it has not yet been 100% proven to be the case with covid-19. If our experience with the other Covids holds true, this will mutate and we won't be totally immune but the antibodies we have will make fighting it off easier. It may become another flu. Or just another nagging seasonal cold. Except for us old guys. I know many of you enjoy taking cruises but I've scratched any thought of that off my list permanently. When Mrs.E. and I celebrated our 50th wedding anniversary in February we gave some thought to taking a cruise in a nice, warm climate. I checked into the availability of two or three in January and we gave it some serious consideration since we've never done a cruise before (other than complements of Uncle Sam in the Navy) This was just before the seriousness of the covid-19 thing was known. Reflecting back now ... We are very thankful we opted *not* to do it. We ended up just having a celebration party organized by our kids and attended by about 75 people. That was on Feb 15th. Fortunately, it appears nobody in attendance had already been infected. If we had waited a few more weeks to schedule the party, I doubt it would have happened. We've been on several and enjoyed them tremendously. But, until there are some big breakthroughs in this Covid-19 thing, we won't be taking one any time soon. The Norwalk thing already had me staying off of cruises but this cinched it for me. The way things are going, we may be done with big vacations altogether. My wife still wants that northern lights thing tho. It looks like that might be a 2022 trip the way this is turning out and that is too far away to even think about seriously. |
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