Wow.

Abbot Labs has developed a super fast covid-19 test machine
that produces test results in 5 minutes.

They are shipping 50,000 of them a week.

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On 3/29/2020 5:47 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:

Wow.

Abbot Labs has developed a super fast covid-19 test machine
that produces test results in 5 minutes.

They are shipping 50,000 of them a week.



Whoops. Got that wrong. It's not 50K machines.

The machines they make use test kits that Abbot Labs makes.
The company will start shipping the test kits next week
and will be ramping up to 50K test kits a *day* (not a week).

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Mr. Luddite wrote:
On 3/29/2020 5:47 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:

Wow.

Abbot Labs has developed a super fast covid-19 test machine
that produces test results in 5 minutes.

They are shipping 50,000 of them a week.



Whoops.Â* Got that wrong.Â* It's not 50K machines.

The machines they make use test kits that Abbot Labs makes.
The company will start shipping the test kits next week
and will be ramping up to 50K test kits a *day* (not a week).


That's still a big achievement!

On 3/30/2020 7:12 PM, Alex wrote:
Mr. Luddite wrote:
On 3/29/2020 5:47 PM, Mr. Luddite wrote:

Wow.

Abbot Labs has developed a super fast covid-19 test machine
that produces test results in 5 minutes.

They are shipping 50,000 of them a week.



Whoops.Â* Got that wrong.Â* It's not 50K machines.

The machines they make use test kits that Abbot Labs makes.
The company will start shipping the test kits next week
and will be ramping up to 50K test kits a *day* (not a week).


That's still a big achievement!



Could be life saving.

Hey, I have a question. Been busy with stuff today and
haven't paid a lot of attention to the latest covid-19
stuff.

I understand that Doc Birx says current models point to
up to 2.2 million deaths if people do *nothing* in terms
of following CDC recommendations and 100K to 200K deaths
if people do things perfectly.

Is she talking world-wide or just in the USA?

Right now there are about 750K reported confirmed
cases world wide and about 37K deaths. Again,
that's world-wide.

If her predictions of 100k-200k deaths in the USA
by itself and under the best of conditions ...
that is mind-blowing.

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On Mon, 30 Mar 2020 19:50:24 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

I understand that Doc Birx says current models point to
up to 2.2 million deaths if people do *nothing* in terms
of following CDC recommendations and 100K to 200K deaths
if people do things perfectly.

Is she talking world-wide or just in the USA?

===

USA

If that seems far fetched, consider that the so called Spanish flu is
estimated to have killed over 500,000 in the USA at a time when the
total population was much lower than now.


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On Tue, 31 Mar 2020 01:00:17 -0400,
wrote:

On Mon, 30 Mar 2020 19:50:24 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

I understand that Doc Birx says current models point to
up to 2.2 million deaths if people do *nothing* in terms
of following CDC recommendations and 100K to 200K deaths
if people do things perfectly.

Is she talking world-wide or just in the USA?

===

USA

If that seems far fetched, consider that the so called Spanish flu is
estimated to have killed over 500,000 in the USA at a time when the
total population was much lower than now.

American Experience has a show about the 1918 flu that is running on
my PBS station as we speak.

On Tue, 31 Mar 2020 01:00:17 -0400,
wrote:

On Mon, 30 Mar 2020 19:50:24 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

I understand that Doc Birx says current models point to
up to 2.2 million deaths if people do *nothing* in terms
of following CDC recommendations and 100K to 200K deaths
if people do things perfectly.

Is she talking world-wide or just in the USA?

===

USA

If that seems far fetched, consider that the so called Spanish flu is
estimated to have killed over 500,000 in the USA at a time when the
total population was much lower than now.

From the interweb

The estimated population of the United States on 1 July 1918 was some
103 million (Linder and Grove 1943), so approximately 0.5 percent of
the US population died as a result of the epidemic. Worldwide, the
death toll is generally put at 20 million.

On 3/31/2020 1:00 AM, wrote:
On Mon, 30 Mar 2020 19:50:24 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

I understand that Doc Birx says current models point to
up to 2.2 million deaths if people do *nothing* in terms
of following CDC recommendations and 100K to 200K deaths
if people do things perfectly.

Is she talking world-wide or just in the USA?

===

USA

If that seems far fetched, consider that the so called Spanish flu is
estimated to have killed over 500,000 in the USA at a time when the
total population was much lower than now.




A month ago it was being reported that although serious, the covid-19
virus should be put in perspective with the yearly seasonal flu
that typically kills 10,000 to 12,000 yearly.

Now we are being told to expect up to 16 times that number dying
due to covid-19.

I am not sure I buy the "models" the scientists use to make these
predictions. Seems like they apply current "data" to an algorithm
that is missing some components and may or may not be realistic.

A simple analogy:

Picture sitting in your car on a highway. From a stand-still
put the pedal to the metal and hold it there, never releasing it.

The car will soon reach a maximum rate of acceleration but as
speed increases the rate of acceleration declines until at
some point other factors prevent any further speed increase.

Using this analogy, sometimes I think the covid-19 experts who are using
data to create their models are like taking the peak acceleration rate
of the car and assuming that rate becomes a constant.

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