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On Mon, 30 Mar 2020 17:35:02 -0000 (UTC), Bill
wrote: John wrote: On Sun, 29 Mar 2020 23:58:14 -0000 (UTC), Bill wrote: John wrote: On Sun, 29 Mar 2020 16:55:40 -0400, wrote: On Sun, 29 Mar 2020 08:36:13 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/29/2020 8:08 AM, John wrote: On Sun, 29 Mar 2020 07:01:11 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: Here's a great website for both general world wide statistics and those related specifically to the coronavirus pandemic. https://www.worldometers.info/ That's where the comparisons of deaths per 1M population came from: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Note that we're still doing better than those countries with the spectacular health systems, according to our resident liberal. I am still bothered with all the emphasis placed on the percentage of deaths per population though. It's a simple, mathematical statistical measurement that "feels good" but meanwhile the virus is spreading across the country. I suppose it's a reflection of a superior healthcare system in that fewer people die as a percentage of the population but meanwhile the "experts" are saying that NY won't "peak" for another 3 to 4 weeks. How they get that estimate is beyond me and it doesn't reflect other parts of the country that are targets for the virus but haven't even begun to see the exponential rates of increase. It is simply because social distancing is a lot easier out in the country than it is in New York. In Manhattan, each person only has less than 400 feet to spread out, throughout their entire time there. That gets a whole lot smaller when you include the bridge and tunnel crowd who then take the virus to the boroughs and Jersey. Hell, the subway is still running and all of the transport across and under the rivers is too. That may be the worst case scenario for the spread of any disease. Last night, using the historical data from the website you provided a couple of weeks ago, I created a spreadsheet of the number of confirmed cases and deaths in Massachusetts for the month of March, starting with March 1st and ending with March 28th. I then generated a chart for the fun of it. It reflected the same exponential rate that the national CDC graphs show. It was discouraging, so I deleted it. Unless a proven and effective treatment is found (not a vaccine) I fear we are in for the long, long haul with this. A vaccine is really the only hope beyond herd immunity coming from the people who survive it. Or an effective treatment, which could help people survive it. -- Freedom Isn't Free! That just helps the herd immunity. Is that bad? -- Freedom Isn't Free! Nope, but means a long time battle to fix the herd. I'm not thinking of fixing the whole herd, just me for starters! -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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