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On 3/29/2020 11:26 AM, John wrote:
On Sun, 29 Mar 2020 10:18:22 -0400, Justan Ohlphart wrote: On 3/29/2020 8:52 AM, Keyser Soze wrote: On 3/29/20 8:36 AM, Mr. Luddite wrote: On 3/29/2020 8:08 AM, John wrote: On Sun, 29 Mar 2020 07:01:11 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: Here's a great website for both general world wide statistics and those related specifically to the coronavirus pandemic. https://www.worldometers.info/ That's where the comparisons of deaths per 1M population came from: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Note that we're still doing better than those countries with the spectacular health systems, according to our resident liberal. I am still bothered with all the emphasis placed on the percentage of deaths per population though. It's a simple, mathematical statistical measurement that "feels good" but meanwhile the virus is spreading across the country. I suppose it's a reflection of a superior healthcare system in that fewer people die as a percentage of the population but meanwhile the "experts" are saying that NY won't "peak" for another 3 to 4 weeks.Â* How they get that estimate is beyond me and it doesn't reflect other parts of the country that are targets for the virus but haven't even begun to see the exponential rates of increase. Last night, using the historical data from the website you provided a couple of weeks ago, I created a spreadsheet of the number of confirmed cases and deaths in Massachusetts for the month of March, starting with March 1st and ending with March 28th.Â* I then generated a chart for the fun of it.Â* It reflected the same exponential rate that the national CDC graphs show.Â* It was discouraging, so I deleted it. Unless a proven and effective treatment is found (not a vaccine) I fear we are in for the long, long haul with this. Until the testing is near-universal, the value of knowing the "number of confirmed cases" is virtually nothing, especially in comparison to other countries or previous confirmed cases of earlier flu-like diseases. How many tests per state would one need to know the extent of the spread of the virus? Would you want to consider the number of tests per 1000 persons in a state? What are your parameters? This morning I saw a chart that stated there were 121,000+ known cases in the USA, based upon an unstated number of tests. How many "unknown" cases? Who knows? No one knows. How available are the tests in every community? Who knows? No one knows. Et cetera. The numbers are ALWAYS meaningful to someone who can interpret them. Until we have everyone in the country tested three or four times a day, Fat Harry will blame Trump for a 'lack of test kits'. And, as has been said multiple times, so what? Would it make the fat boy happy if everyone tested positive? -- Freedom Isn't Free! I can just see that. Over 300 million tests, many multiple. Ridiculous to even think about. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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