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On 3/29/2020 9:35 AM, Mr. Luddite wrote:
On 3/29/2020 9:30 AM, Keyser Soze wrote: Mr. Luddite wrote: On 3/29/2020 8:52 AM, Keyser Soze wrote: On 3/29/20 8:36 AM, Mr. Luddite wrote: On 3/29/2020 8:08 AM, John wrote: On Sun, 29 Mar 2020 07:01:11 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: Here's a great website for both general world wide statistics and those related specifically to the coronavirus pandemic. https://www.worldometers.info/ That's where the comparisons of deaths per 1M population came from: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Note that we're still doing better than those countries with the spectacular health systems, according to our resident liberal. I am still bothered with all the emphasis placed on the percentage of deaths per population though. It's a simple, mathematical statistical measurement that "feels good" but meanwhile the virus is spreading across the country. I suppose it's a reflection of a superior healthcare system in that fewer people die as a percentage of the population but meanwhile the "experts" are saying that NY won't "peak" for another 3 to 4 weeks.Â* How they get that estimate is beyond me and it doesn't reflect other parts of the country that are targets for the virus but haven't even begun to see the exponential rates of increase. Last night, using the historical data from the website you provided a couple of weeks ago, I created a spreadsheet of the number of confirmed cases and deaths in Massachusetts for the month of March, starting with March 1st and ending with March 28th.Â* I then generated a chart for the fun of it.Â* It reflected the same exponential rate that the national CDC graphs show.Â* It was discouraging, so I deleted it. Unless a proven and effective treatment is found (not a vaccine) I fear we are in for the long, long haul with this. Until the testing is near-universal, the value of knowing the "number of confirmed cases" is virtually nothing, especially in comparison to other countries or previous confirmed cases of earlier flu-like diseases. How many tests per state would one need to know the extent of the spread of the virus? Would you want to consider the number of tests per 1000 persons in a state? What are your parameters? This morning I saw a chart that stated there were 121,000+ known cases in the USA, based upon an unstated number of tests. How many "unknown" cases? Who knows? No one knows. How available are the tests in every community? Who knows? No one knows. Et cetera. All true but again, what does it matter?Â* The testing produces a number used to determine percentages of deaths.Â* That's all it does. Thus far, testing has done absolutely *nothing* to control the spread of the virus. I think doc Fauci has it right.Â* He says we should assume that *everyone* is infected and to act accordingly. That is the rule I used when I was a teen and sexually active...I assumed every girl was infected and always used a condom.Â* ![]() So, that means you are no longer se......Â* oh, forget it.Â*Â* :-) That's the way I read it. -- Pity Fat Harry. His ability to produce rational thought on his own, no longer exists, if it ever did at all. |
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