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As predicted, Hurricane Isabel has regained her strength.
From Accuweather: Hurricane Isabel has strengthened again Saturday afternoon. As of 5 PM EDT Saturday, the center of Isabel was located near 22.6 north and 62.6 west, or about 375 miles northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The maximum sustained winds have increased again to 160 mph with gusts to 195 mph, back to a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Isabel is moving to the west at around 12 mph, and this general track should expected to continue for the next 24 hours. An eyewall replacement cycle took place this morning, which caused the winds to increase this afternoon. The forecasting of weakening and strengthening of an intense hurricane is very difficult, as the eyewall replacement cycles that govern the intensity of such storms are hard to predict. It is probable that Isabel will remain a category five hurricane for the next 12 hours or so, before beginning another eyewall replacement cycle that would result in temporary weakening. The current path will take Isabel north of the Leeward Islands and well north of Puerto Rico overnight. The hurricane should be north of the Dominican Republic by early Monday. On Tuesday, we expect it located east of the Bahamas. The main synoptic features that will play a role in the track of Isabel are the Western Atlantic high pressure ridge now nosing into New England and an upper-level trough that will approach the eastern U.S. late in the weekend and early next week. A weakening of the Western Atlantic ridge in the next couple of days will cause the hurricane to move on a west-northwest and even northwest track. If the ridge does not weaken, the storm will probably track farther south. Either way, Isabel is still several days away from affecting the U.S. mainland. The area of low pressure from the remnants of Tropical Storm Henri is still moving slowly northward through the mid-Atlantic Saturday with some rain and thunder. This feature was unable to get re-organized into a tropical system. Rough surf will continue through Saturday night but the winds have come down and will continue to do so as the system becomes weaker and more disorganized. A tropical wave is located along 92 west, south of 20 north Saturday. This system is causing showers and thunderstorms to fire up in the southern Bay of Campeche. Some of this moisture will be drawn northward into Deep South Texas on Sunday as a front moves into that area. In the eastern Atlantic, a tropical wave is located along 43 west, south of 20 north. Weak surface winds make this feature very hard to find. Another tropical wave is positioned over the Cape Verde Islands along 25 west and south of 18 north with scattered convection. -- * * * email sent to will *never* get to me. |
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Anyone Else Watching Hurricane Isabel? | General |