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#11
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
Geoff Schultz wrote:
If you're coastal US, then I would believe that the localized coastal forecasts should be fairly accurate. Sure. Often, they're so vague or describe such a wide range of probably conditions that they're not useful, but they're usually quite accurate. On Jul 29, 6:38 am, wrote: And you would be wrong, at least in my part of the coastal US. Very wrong. I bet the problem is that you don't know how to read (or listen) to a weather forecast. I've kept a weather log as part of my general sailing & cruising for decades. This includes a decade of trailer-cruising, and trailering racing one-design class boats all over the eastern US... occasionally out West. Back in the 1970s, NOAA weather was about 75% accurate in all the areas I sailed. Since then, they've improved to about 90%. On our recent Great Loop, the weather forecasts were actually better than that. Often, they aren't very useful... "50% chance of thunderstorms" for example. "Winds 5 to 15 knots" for another. But the real problem is that people expect the weatherman to be able to lead them by the hand and tell them exactly what to expect. Sorry, nobody can do that. But private services who invest a lot in making you feel good can give a better result in terms of confidence. Fresh Breezes (50% chance of)- Doug King |
#12
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
On Jul 29, 7:59*am, wrote:
... Often, they aren't very useful... "50% chance of thunderstorms" for example. "Winds 5 to 15 knots" for another. I would say that both of those statements are VERY useful, as long as they are correct. One tells me that I might get wet and the other that I can probably sail, without needing a reef. Todd |
#13
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
wrote:
So, genius, how much of the great loop goes through the Long Island Sound? And Saltie/BB's inner soul speaks out.... bitter, lost, a failure, envious of those who have actually gone places & done things... How much of my post did you actually read & grasp? About the same as the weather reports you insist are so inaccurate? Got any one-design racing in LIS? Think anybody who has spent a couple decades traveling the eastern US racing sailboats might have been there once or twice? Tell you what, log a couple of years of these "inaccurate weather reports" tally the predictions and the actual conditions, and get back to us. As some others have said, it takes a bit of knowledge to interpret reported weather data, and you have to PAY ATTENTION to predictions since they often (usually, in fact) change over time. If you like the Accu-Weather people to hold your hand and tell you that when Mickey's big hand is on the three, then the wind will shift to the southeast, then I'm glad they are there to provide that service for you. Fresh Breezes- Doug King |
#14
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
...
Often, they aren't very useful... "50% chance of thunderstorms" for example. "Winds 5 to 15 knots" for another. wrote: I would say that both of those statements are VERY useful, as long as they are correct. One tells me that I might get wet and the other that I can probably sail, without needing a reef. Fair enough. If you can sail in 15 knots without needing to reef, you might find 5 knots of wind rather boring though The "50% chance of thunderstorms" is a joke. There's a 100% chance of thunderstomrs... the question is, will one hit right where you happen to be at the moment? And will it be a summer afternoon flash-bang or a 70-knot howler with golf-ball sized hail? I see this a key point! wrote: Doug does his boating safely indoors, and he doesn't have sails, just an ignition key. Nice to know that being an embittered ex-stalker hasn't changed the fact that you don't know WTF you're talking about, Saltie/BB. http://downloads.c-2.com/photos/1210001286.jpg DSK |
#15
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
wrote in message
... http://downloads.c-2.com/photos/1210001286.jpg DSK Doug.. nice pic. Is that the one right before the one where you're swept off the boat by the swinging boom? I heard it was a two-fer, since you got a picture from both the person taking this one and the guy in the boat taking one at just the right moment. Just kidding... LOL! Is this your new boat? -- "j" ganz @@ www.sailnow.com |
#16
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
http://downloads.c-2.com/photos/1210001286.jpg
"Capt. JG" wrote: Doug.. nice pic. Thanks, it's from a race, too.... well, a few minutes before the start ... Is that the one right before the one where you're swept off the boat by the swinging boom? I heard it was a two-fer, since you got a picture from both the person taking this one and the guy in the boat taking one at just the right moment. Just kidding... LOL! That incident was greatly exaggerated. Actually I wasn't swept off the boat at all, I managed to hold on to the swinging boom with one hand, continued to steer by dragging my feet in the water, doused the spinnaker with my free hand then brought the boat to a close-hauled course and stepped back aboard. We passed three of the other boats in the race, and also caught a fish, during this maneuver. There is no truth to the rumor that anybody went overboard, much less Angelina Jolie, during that race. I wish people would stop repeating & spreading these outlandish tales about what happens on my boat.... Is this your new boat? It's a 1981 but it's new to me! Been a lot of fun so far! DSK |
#17
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
wrote in message
... http://downloads.c-2.com/photos/1210001286.jpg "Capt. JG" wrote: Doug.. nice pic. Thanks, it's from a race, too.... well, a few minutes before the start ... Is that the one right before the one where you're swept off the boat by the swinging boom? I heard it was a two-fer, since you got a picture from both the person taking this one and the guy in the boat taking one at just the right moment. Just kidding... LOL! That incident was greatly exaggerated. Actually I wasn't swept off the boat at all, I managed to hold on to the swinging boom with one hand, continued to steer by dragging my feet in the water, doused the spinnaker with my free hand then brought the boat to a close-hauled course and stepped back aboard. We passed three of the other boats in the race, and also caught a fish, during this maneuver. There is no truth to the rumor that anybody went overboard, much less Angelina Jolie, during that race. I wish people would stop repeating & spreading these outlandish tales about what happens on my boat.... The set up for the fish catching part was great. Angelina only goes overboard when it comes to adopting kids from Africa. Is this your new boat? It's a 1981 but it's new to me! Been a lot of fun so far! DSK Looks great! -- "j" ganz @@ www.sailnow.com |
#18
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
On Tue, 29 Jul 2008 09:41:11 -0700 (PDT), wrote:
That incident was greatly exaggerated. Actually I wasn't swept off the boat at all, I managed to hold on to the swinging boom with one hand, continued to steer by dragging my feet in the water, doused the spinnaker with my free hand then brought the boat to a close-hauled course and stepped back aboard. Yes, but were you also trimming the main sheet with your teeth ? |
#19
posted to rec.boats.cruising
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Flying Pig Float Plan
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
... On Tue, 29 Jul 2008 09:41:11 -0700 (PDT), wrote: That incident was greatly exaggerated. Actually I wasn't swept off the boat at all, I managed to hold on to the swinging boom with one hand, continued to steer by dragging my feet in the water, doused the spinnaker with my free hand then brought the boat to a close-hauled course and stepped back aboard. Yes, but were you also trimming the main sheet with your teeth ? Well, duhhh.... -- "j" ganz @@ www.sailnow.com |
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